Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 10/31

Garnet Barnsdale|Oct 28, 2022

Meet Stats: 595 - 1812 / $2,984.30 (-$640.10)

Best Bets: 91 - 166 / $306.60 (-$25.40)

Spot Plays: 44 - 167 / $300.70 (-$33.30)

Best Bet: LOCATELLI (9TH)

Spot Play: MAPLE LEAF BOUND (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 2,3/4,7,9/6,7,9/3,6,8/3,8 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 3,4,6/2,5,8/4,5,6/6/4,6 = $10.80

Early Pick 4: 3,6,8/3,8/3,4,6/2,5,8 = $54

Late Pick 4: 2,5,8/4,5,6/6/4,6 = $18

Race 1: HARVEST SERIES FINAL Ont. Sired 2YO Fillies **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) MISS EXPO has won two straight in this series with never once looking in danger of getting beat and she is clearly the one to take down at a short price in this final. (2) NO ANGEL LIKE ME makes the final despite not having raced in a preliminary leg. She has missed time since winning the Grassroots final but she is the only one that looks capable of beating the choice if she is sharp enough. (4) ENOLA was a non-threatening 2nd to the choice last week. She likely takes another small share here. (1) SANT AMBROGGIO is consistently in the mix and his good gate speed should put him in position to take a good share tonight.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT AE: NW2 in 2022

(9) JK MIKI MANTLE was 2nd to Southside Eddy who would smoke this NW2 field and he gets top billing here. (4) TANGO SEELSTER raced well last week but he provided golden cover for the 2 to 5 favorite who then passed him in the lane. He is in with a decent chance here. (7) CONTROL THE POWER was a 1:52 winner in this class two starts back and he is another possibility for the early Pick 5. (2) SIP OF BOURBON raced okay from the 10-hole last week. He should get a similar trip here and land in the Super.

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Race 3: NW3 or $40,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000

This looks like a good spot for (9) MAPLE LEAF BOUND, who faces a few that step up from NW2. He should offer a decent price starting from the widest post, too. (7) HOW THE HELL is clearly improved and he is a contender here despite moving up. (6) LENIS was good last time and he had missed close to three weeks. He should be sharper tonight and he is another in with a shot. (8) ROSIES WAR BONDS should sit a trip racing near the front and stay for a share.

Race 4: NW $5,300 L5 or $12,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $35,000 - Pick 4

(6) HESOHOT HANOVER was produced late in the mile last week but he wasn't catching sharp Ritson. This looks like a spot where he can reach up late; slight nod. (8) ITSTIMETOGOHOME drops to a much easier spot where he should rebound with a much better effort; using. I like that (3) VILLEFRANCHE AS showed speed last week. I can see her sitting and rallying this time and she is a threat. (7) MUSCLE FASHION is another that is in the mix on the drop but I prefer to use him underneath.

Race 5: HARVEST SERIES FINAL Ont. Sired 2YO Fillies

(3) GIMMIE A CORONA is peaking for this final and she should get a good setup for her late kick; top call. (8) SUNNY DREAMS is another improving filly that should be right there on the wire tonight. (5) SIS was perfectly tripped out by McNair last week and a repeat isn't out of the question. (1) TALK CURDY TO ME will likely look to control this race as she has been typical for her but I see her getting pressured into defeat tonight.

Race 6: Winners of 3 (F&M4) but not more than 6 (F&M7) or $80,000 LT - Pick 5

(6) MIDNIGHT MIRACLE was good last week but Inaminute Hanover raced like a horse possessed on the engine. This mare should be tough in here racing on or near the lead. (3) DRINKS AT HOME dominated at this level and he is the clear on to fear here. (4) UNEVERGONNAGETHIS was a close 4th in a good race and he should be a threat vs. these tonight. (5) SEA CAN flew late at 100 to 1 last week. He can close for another slice here.

Race 7: NW $10,000 L5 or $20,000 L10 or NW $80,000 LT AE: Starters for a purse of $16K or Less in 1 of L4 - Pick 4

(8) SAYLOR drops and probably benefits from moving outside where he can float out and get position early. I think he gets more aggressive here and he gets the nod. (2) GOLD EDITION beat similar two starts back and he can get a good trip racing near the front here; using. (5) ALL WRAPPED UP needs a setup and he could get it here with plenty of speed lined up on the gate. He is another in with a shot. (7) CHARMBO PRINCE was closing well at the wire last week. He is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000

(5) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT did all the work and he was resilient holding off the perfectly-pocketed (4) MODERN ROCK who had a clear shot in the lane. These two will likely fight it out again. I liked (6) REAL WICKED last week and he never really got into the race. It’s quite possible he can improve sharply in this second start off the Auciello claim, but I wonder if he will get overbet on the class drop. (2) PETER POOLE takes frequent shares and he should be part of the Tri or Super again.

Race 9: NW $20,000 L5 or $43,000 L8 or NW $135,000 LT

(6) LOCATELLI was lights out beating most of these last week and he gets the call to repeat. (1) MACALLAN will probably fly under the radar here coming back from a spell. His best race puts him right there and he could provide some exotics value. (3) AHUNDREDDOLLARBILL and (5) PATRIARCH HANOVER, 2nd and 3rd to the choice last week, figure to be in the exotics tonight.

Race 10: CLM HDCP $8,000 to $12,000

(4) THUNDERING JIM raced okay in a tougher field last time and he finished willingly. He is the one to beat here. (6) MACH ART IN MOTION finished slightly ahead of the choice last week and he should benefit from getting off the rail here; using. (1) WINDSONG NAPOLEON wheels back quick after racing from a tough post at Flamboro on Thursday night. He can land in the exotics at a price here. (2) XTERNAL ships west after getting two tough trips in Quebec. He is another that could sneak into the Tri or Super at a price. (5) BARN ONE exits the same race as the choice and he can close for a small slice in here.