Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 10/30

Top Pick Stats: 502 - 1487 / $2,683.70 (-$290.30)

Best Bets: 79 - 140 / $285.40 (-$5.40)

Spot Plays: 24 - 142 / $150.20 (-$133.80)

Best Bet: WARRAWEE XALT (6TH)

Spot Play: ROYAL REGATTA (12TH)

Early Pick 5: 6/3,8/6,7,8/1,10,11/5,7,9 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 3/1,4,8,9/6,7/3,6,7/2,5 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 1,10,11/5,7,9/3/1,4,8,9 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 3,6,7/2,5/3,4,9/8,10 = $7.20

Race 1: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2023 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2023 Leg 2 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) ONE MORE BET missed 22 days prior to her dominant win in the opening leg last week and she can be even sharper now which is a scary proposition for her rivals. (4) TAMARA HANOVER is the other leg 1 winner in here and her sizzling late speed makes her a threat to the choice. It's unlikely that these two don’t make up the winning Exacta but it won't pay much. (1) ALWAYS A CATCH, a distant 2nd to the choice last week, likely closes for another good share here in this short field. (5) CATCH SOME SUN should be able to sneak into the Super tonight.

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Race 2: 5YO and younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45,000 LT AE: 3YO 4YO 5YO claiming $50,000

(3) PRETTY SPECIAL shoots for the fourpeat here and she should be tough to fend off late again. (8) BUSY MAKING MONI raced tough on the rim most of the way last week. Post 8 is probably no worse than the rail and she can be an Exacta factor. (7) WARRAWEE YES gets on a 7-day rotation here and she should be in the exotics mix this time returning quicker. (6) BELLA CAVALLA is always around the money it seems, and she should be good for at least a small share here.

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Race 3: NW $15,000 in 2023

This is a women's driver race and (6) GOING FAST has the best post and the best woman driver in the country so she gets my nod. (7) MIGHTY MACH is in solid form and driver Ouelette won a similar race here in the spring. I'll use this gelding in the Pick 5. (8) GRAND POOBAH has the speed to clear to the front and that makes him a threat. He is. (3) LYONS KING faces easier, and he should get a share tonight.

Race 4: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2023 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2023 Leg 2 - Pick 4

(2) RADICAL LEGACY stayed perfect last week, and she is the one to beat as she seeks a sixth win in as many starts. (11) P L RAINBOW DASH won as expected last week and she will be right there if she can work out a trip from the second tier post. (10) MUSCONE is in excellent form, and she won't get bet much here. She is one that could add value to the Pick 4 and Pick 5. (9) TEA LAKE was better last week but she couldn’t go with the choice late.

Race 5: Horses that have started for a purse of $15,000 or less in 1 of L3

(9) ROYALTY BEER was good winning from the 9-hole here last week and this spot doesn't look any tougher; call to repeat. (5) PHEONIX beat similar two starts back and he figures to be the main threat in this spot, likely racing close to the front throughout. (7) THE LIONKING AS will take action on the class drop here but I prefer to use him underneath. (4) ALL GAS NO BRAKES improved sharply to win on the class drop but this is tougher. I'll use him underneath here.

Race 6: 5YO and younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45,000 LT AE: 3YO 4YO 5YO claiming $50,000 - Pick 5

(3) WARRAWEE XALT was 1 to 5 last week when dropped to this level and he won easily. He will be tough to beat here at a similar price. (6) BUSTING WITH PRIDE returns quicker after closing well last week despite having missed six weeks. He can be an Exacta factor this time. (8) CRYSTAL BALLER is racing well for Henry. He should be good for another share here racing from close range. (10) ITSTIMETOGOHOME would be rated higher if he drew better. From out there, I'll use him on the bottom.

Race 7: NW $14,000 L5 or $35,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $65,000 AE: NW $21,000 in 2023

(1) MUSCLE FASHION looked good converting the drop and pop last week and he could be even sharper in this third start back. I'll give him the nod to repeat in a race with several possibilities. (4) PIKACHU HANOVER gets off the rail and that gives him the opportunity to leave hard for the front as he did when he won at this level two starts back; using. (8) MISCHEVIOUS ROSE tried the Breeders Crown and missed the final. In this spot, she will likely close for a share. (9) MIKEY MASS is in very good form, and he can take another share here despite starting from a wide post.

Race 8: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2023 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2023 Leg 2

(7) WICKED LEADER was good in the opening leg, but she got picked off by the pocket sitter in an all-out final quarter sprint. She's the one to beat here. (6) ANN requalified after a poor outing in the Gold Superfinal. She is a Gold winner that is an obvious threat here but she may provide a perfect pocket trip for the choice. (5) PEELER has really improved in her last two starts. She should be part of the Tri. (1) QUIET ASSURANCES should pass a few of these late. She is a good one to use on the bottom of the Super.

Race 9: NW $8,850 L5 AE: OPT CLM $45,000 - Pick 4

(3) P L OPPORTUNITY raced well on the engine last week, but a class dropper was just better. She has a good chance to score here. (6) WARRAWEE YANG made a nice late charge that could indicate a peak effort is coming soon. I'll use him at a price here. (7) TOKYO SEELSTER is another that raced well on the lead last week and he should get a good trip here racing close to the lead. He is another that is in with a shot in this spot. (2) DONATOVER closed some ground in a fast mile, and he should be in the exotics mix again.

Race 10: PREFERRED

(2) FASHION FRENZIE is king when Logan Park is out of town, and he should notch another win as chalk here. (5) AMIGO VOLO has been racing great but unfortunately for him, he is the third best trotter on the grounds right now behind the aforementioned duo. He will probably complete the Exacta again. (6) PEMBERTON can close for a slice in this spot. (4) PATRIARCH HANOVER steps up off a win and he likely finishes on the fringes tonight.

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Race 11: NW $2,850 L3 AE: OPT CLM $15,000

(4) MIDNIGHT MIRACLE has been facing a steady diet of tougher company and this is a good spot for her tonight, top call. (3) MISTER MAGIC tried his guts out last week as is typical with him, he just couldn’t get past the class-dropping winner. He figures to be a threat right back. (9) SOUTHWIND ONCORE lost as the chalk in the slop last start but he raced okay in the slop and his price will be much better now if you still like him. (7) UNBEATABLE KEMP was better last time, and he gets Macdonald back now. He is worth using in exotic bets.

Race 12: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $16,000

(10) ROYAL REGATTA raced well in defeat last week and there don't appear to be many leavers in this race. He should be able to clear to the front before the first turn and he should be the one to catch. (8) MACH ART IN MOTION gets Macdonald back and he fits well here. I wouldn't be surprised to see him leave quicker in this spot; using. (1) MACHIN A TRICK made a rare break in the third 1/4 last week which took him out of contention. He made a nice recovery to get a check and he could do here if he stays flat. (6) TRIDENT SEELSTER improved sharply last week, and he is an obvious contender, but I wonder if he will get overbet tonight. (4) SAULSBROOK KAISEN should sit a trip and land in the bottom of the exotics.