Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 10/26

Meet Stats: 285- 908 / $1656.30 (-$159.70)
Best Bets: 46 - 80 / $150.20 (-$9.80)
Spot Plays: 13 - 82 / $108.50 (-$55.50)
Best Bet: HAWAII (6TH)
Spot Play: STEUBEN HANOVER (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 3/1,2,4/3,4/4,7,9/1,4,6,8 = $14.40
Late Pick 5: 3/4,6,9/2,5,9/3,5,6/2 = $5.40
Early Pick 4: 4,7,9/1,4,6,8/3/4,6,9 = $36
Late Pick 4: 2,5,9/3,5,6/2/5,8 = $18

Race 1: F&M NW5 (F&M7) or $70,000 (F&M $87,500) LT **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) ONEY HALL just smoked a similar field and lowered his lifetime mark doing it. He's hard to go past here at a short price in the opener. (2) HOT WHEELZ suffered an untimely miscue in his Gold Superfinal and he can contend for a spot in the Exacta if he stays flat tonight. (7) CONQUEST AS brings excellent form north but he has controlled most races on the front end and the choice isn't likely to allow that here; smaller share predicted. (6) HP BRUXELLES was 2nd to the choice last week and she should be on the ticket again this week.

Race 2: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONT SIRED 2YO FILLIES

(1) CARNIVAL HEART has developed a potent late kick with teamster Young driving and she has a good shot of swooping past these late. (4) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN made a middle move to the front as the pace slowed and from there it was never in doubt that she'd be the winner. She is the one to catch here. (2) TROUBLE BREWING didn't show much when heavily-favored last week and it didn’t help that the final 1/4 was the fastest when she was trying to chase down the leaders. She comes back in a week this time and she should be a threat. (5) JACKIEOFALLTRADES disappointed last week when she took strong betting action; using on the bottom.

Race 3: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONT SIRED 2YO FILLIES

(3) SHES A SASSY BEACH was a confident winner last week, taking advantage of a slow early pace to control the race but she has also shown in the past that she can stalk the pace and win so she should be tough here looking for a repeat. (4) PLATINE ALPHA got hung out but she stayed game to finish 2nd and she can improve here coming back quicker and making her second start in a week; using. (7) SIRI BLUE CHIP was in a bad spot racing first up chasing accelerating leaders and she has some upset appeal in this spot. (6) ALWAYS WATCHING rarely misses the top four and she should take another share here.

Race 4: NW $12,000 L5 or $24,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $30,000 - Pick 4

(9) STEUBEN HANOVER did well to take third last week when he was forced to follow a rival that was shut out and he should offer a great price here; call to upset. (4) ONLY TAKE CASH and (7) IM THE MUSCLE drop out of the same race where they finished close to each other and they are obvious contenders who are hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (3) SWEET CHAPTER has improving form and she can take a share while stepping up tonight.

Race 5: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000

(1) KOMODO BEACH raced tough against better last week and he gets the nod vs. this group. (8) LOUS DELIGHT was right there in two fast races in a row and he should be the main danger. (6) NOTAWORD N got a needed clean line racing against NW3 foes and he raced well to be close. He should be a threat here for at least a small share. (4) WINSDUN AZAR should leave better in this spot and that gives him a chance to chase them all down late; using.

Race 6: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONT SIRED 2YO FILLIES - Pick 5

(3) HAWAII delivered as the big chalk in the first leg of the series and she will be tough again with her only serious rival (10) TEALICIOUS mired in the second tier at the start. Call the former to repeat with a short Exacta payoff likely coming. (9) FUZZY ANGEL broke at odds of 4 to 5 last week in the opening leg and she is worth a look for the exotics at what should be a much higher price tonight. (4) SOMEWHAT SACY raced well last week and she should be on the Tri or Super ticket when they hit the wire.

Race 7: CLAIMING HANDICAP $25,000 to $30,000

(9) ALLSTAR SEELSTER shoots for four straight wins and the way Henry has him leaving the gate, the 9-hole probably won't stop him. (4) P L IDAHO is racing well for Moreau and he does his best work on the front end so he could be making a bid to wrestle command from the choice at some point of this mile. That has the possibility of setting this race up for a closer like (6) UF BETTORS HANOVER who tries hard every week and is capable of rolling by late if the pace collapses. (2) LONE WOLF TERROR was going better last week until he jumped it off. He is quirky but capable at this level if he behaves.

Race 8: NW $18,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $125K LT AE: NW1 in 2020 - Pick 4

(2) GRANDMA HEIDI drops again after finishing 2nd then getting placed last week and she is an obvious threat to lead all the way. (9) ONLY FOR JUSTICE was a winner last time he raced in this class and he should offer a good price here; using. (5) ON THE ROPES is another who should improve on the drop and from a good post he is a threat. (1) LOVEDBYTHEMASSES steps up after easily handling Grassroots rivals and he's worth a look considering his sharp current form.

Race 9: PREFERRED

(6) HEY LIVVY trotted a sub-54 back 1/2 last week indicating that she's back and the short field can only help her; top call. (3) P L JILL gets post relief and she rarely trots two races in a row where she doesn't contend; using. (5) PERFETTO beat most of these last time and he has never been better; another in with a shot. (4) MASS FORTUNE K is always in the mix and hard to leave off Tri and Super tickets.

Race 10: NW $5,000 L5 or $12,000 L8

(2) EAST END drops again and this is a field that he should have no trouble beating. (1) TIGERS WAY has improved his form recently and he has a good chance of completing the Exacta. (3) WESTSLUCKY TERROR often contends at this level and he is sure to be blasting for position early; using underneath. (6) DREAMFAIR MOXY ran off the screen vs. easier two starts back then regressed back to normal racing a class higher than this. I'll tab him for a small share here.

Race 11: NW $8,000 L5 or $17,000 L10 AE: OPT CLAIMING $20,000

(5) MUSCLE FASHION had the misfortune of running into Musical Rhythm when they met at this level two starts back and he couldn't repel that rival late. There are no Musical Rhythms in here and this Muscle Hill gelding gets the nod. (8) WILD AND CRAZY GUY gets Filion here and they have had success in the past. I expect a more aggressive approach and I'll use him in the late Pick 4. More was expected from (6) B YOYO than a belated charge for third last week and at this same level I'll use him underneath in a spot where he could be overbet. (4) SOMBRE can come on late for a slice. (9) GOLD EDITION is another one that might sneak into the High-5 at a price at this level.