Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 10/25

Meet Stats: 308 - 901 / $1,653.40 (-$148.60)
Best Bets: 47 - 81 / $160.40 (-$1.60)
Spot Plays: 23 - 83 / $168.20 (+$2.20)
Best Bet: HALLSGLENSMAVIS (10TH)
Spot Play: YARIS SEELSTER (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,8,9/1,4,7/3/1,2,8/2,5,9 = $16.20
Late Pick 5: 2,3,6/5,6,8/5,6,7/5,7/9 = $10.80
Early Pick 4: 1,2,8/2,5,9/2,3,6/5 = $27
Late Pick 4: 5,6,7/5,7/9/3,4,5,7 = $24
Race 1: F&M CLM HDCP $8,000 to $12,000 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(8) SAUBLE DELIGHTFUL worked a bit too hard to make front in the second 1/4 last week, pacing in 27 3/5 for that frame to get to the lead. She gets top billing here facing the mare that tripped out to beat her and several shippers. (9) WATCH ME DANCE slid past the choice late and she is likely the one to fear again. (1) ZARCONIA SEELSTER has recorded 10 wins and 10 2nds in the past two seasons and she will be closing late again. She's another in with a chance. (7) CENTURY GIANNA is worth a look for the exotics picking up the leading driver.
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Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $19,500
(7) TRAVEL BAN couldn't get close racing against Beach Glass, but so far, no horse does. He should bounce back vs. this group and he gets top billing. (1) MR CHARISMA got used up early racing over a wet track last time. He should get a better trip here and he should be a threat. (4) GLOBAL CRUSH is another that was used hard early in a fast mile. He is capable vs. these and I'll use him in the Pick 5. (6) KODIAK SEELSTER ripped off a 1:52 4/5 mile two starts back then showed little. He could sneak into the exotics vs. these.
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Race 3: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONTARIO SIRED 2YO FILLIES
(3) GLOBAL NEWS will be bet down here after dominating some of these last week and she is obviously the filly to beat; top call. (6) LADYFLIX came ready for action for a barn that does well with young trotters. She will need to be faster here to challenge the choice, however, so I'd demand a price. (9) DA ROYAL MIRACLE, a distant 2nd to the choice last week, will likely be an exotics player again tonight. (2) SAUNDRA stopped in the lane as the 3 to 5 chalk. She'd have to make up 13 lengths on the choice to turn the tables tonight. A small share is likely for her.
Race 4: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000 - Pick 4
(2) YARIS SEELSTER had a wild wide trip when facing much tougher and having missed five weeks when making his first start off the claim. Returning quicker and dropping back into a claimer gives him a decent chance tonight. (8) MACH IMPACT is sure to be bet racing off the Barrington claim. He's hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (1) LEGAL BETTOR paced a big mile in defeat last week and he is another in with a chance in a race with several live options. (6) LOVEMYROCKINBIRD is always around the money and he should be an exotics player again.
Race 5: HARVEST SERIES 2ND LEG ONTARIO SIRED 2YO FILLIES
(5) DAY TO PARTY made a big move on the backstretch last week, but that 27-flat third 1/4 that she paced took its toll late. She is sharp and she can turn the tables here. (9) QUEBECOISE showed some grit coming back on the choice and she is the one to beat despite drawing wide. (2) MOMENTARILY won the slower Harvest division last week but she did so impressively and she has developed a powerful late kick. She's not out of this. (6) JUST CALL ME SONG was third to the top two last week and she should be good for another share tonight.
Race 6: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 - Pick 5
(3) DR JOE and (2) PETER POOLE finished 1/4 length apart after leaving from the two worst posts last time and they look best here despite having already had many chances. Slight nod to the former who seems to be improving currently. (6) NICOTIME is likely to get involved earlier tonight and that gives her a chance vs. these. (1) KATIES BET, a $14K Lexington buy, is a full-sister to a three-time winner who took a mark of 1:54. This isn't the toughest spot to debut. I'll use her on multi-race tickets.
Race 7: NW $12,000 L5 or $28,000 or NW $80,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000
(5) ALL WRAPPED UP raced decently in the top class last week now he drops to the level where he last won six starts back. If he gets a reasonable trip, he beats these. (8) REFI was right there in a fast mile at this level two starts back and he should be a top contender tonight; using. (6) TIMESTORM gets away from the hot Teddys Littleangel and he has upset potential in this spot. Give him a look for the exotics. (7) WHITE TIGER was loaded and always looked the winner last week but these are much tougher; small share predicted.
Race 8: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,400 L10 - Pick 4
(5) RHYTHM IN MOTION pocket popped on a class-dropping 2 to 5 favorite last week and that move didn't work out. He should be a big threat here racing on the lead or in the pocket; top call. (7) CORTEZ THE KILLER will likely double up if he replicates his winning mile from 10/04, but that's hard to predict with him coming off a vet scratch; your call. (6) REVOLT finished ahead of the choice last week and he fits well vs. these. He could be the one to fend off late. (10) NIGHT WATCHMAN is the wild card coming off a big qualifying win and going back to trainer Barss barn tonight. He isn't impossible in this spot.
Race 9: NW5 (F&M8) or $80,000 (F&M $87,500) LT
(5) THE PRINCE gamely dug in to win the Grassroots Final and I'll give him a slight nod in a tough NW5 dash. (7) P L OPPORTUNITY impressively won the filly Grassroots final and her form is impeccable; using. (4) IGLARE AM faces tougher here, but she boasts some of the fastest miles. She is another in with a chance. (6) POWERFUL SPIRIT made an early miscue then trotted a huge mile to win last time but he beat a much weaker field. I will use him on the bottom tonight.
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Race 10: F&M CLM HDCP $13,000 to $18,000
(9) HALLSGLENSMAVIS, who won three straight racing out of the Barrington barn, goes right back to him after a one race absence and I expect she will return to her winning ways tonight. (3) ERIKAS SHADOW used her good late kick to rally into a faltering late pace to upset last week and she can be an Exacta factor here. (6) TUGGINONCREDIT went too fast too soon last week and she still hung on for 2nd. She should be in the exotics mix again tonight. (8) JUST MY SHADOW frequently finishes in the edges and she is a good one to use on the bottom here.
Race 11: NW $8,500 L5 or NW $19,500 L10 AE: OPT CLM $25,000
(3) SERENITY CRUISE finished with good energy last week after being held up on the final turn and in early stretch by the pocket-sitter who was gradually backing up. I'll stick with her tonight. (7) DERF HANOVER drops again and he gets away from red-hot Teddys Littleangel. He should be a speed presence here; using. (4) SOMBRE has won twice this year when class dropping and he is worth a look here in a spot where he should offer a square price. (5) NIMBUS DEO finished well last week and was just ahead of the choice. She is one that I prefer to use underneath in this spot. (8) OKEANOS should be passing rivals late again; using on the bottom.

