Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 10/24

Garnet Barnsdale|Oct 21, 2022

Meet Stats: 582 - 1766 / $2,910.20 (-$621.80)

Best Bets: 89 - 162 / $301.60 (-$22.40)

Spot Plays: 44 - 164 / $300.70 (-$27.30)

Best Bet: MISS EXPO (1ST)

Spot Play: REAL WICKED (8TH)

Early Pick 5: 2/2,6,7,9/1,3,4/1,2,8/7,10 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 1,3,6/3,7/2,8/1,2,3/2,7,8 = $21.60

Early Pick 4: 1,2,8/7,10/1,3,6/3,7 = $36

Late Pick 4: 2,8/1,2,3/2,7,8/3,6 = $36

Race 1: Harvest Series 2nd Leg Ont. Sired 2YO Fillies **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(2) MISS EXPO, bet like she couldn't lose last week, crushed in the opening leg and she will likely repeat at a very short price here. (6) ENOLA was closest to the choice at the wire and she can take 2nd again. (4) SANT AMBROGGIO, a rallying 3rd last week, can close for a share again here. (5) HOME FROM AWAY will likely round out the Super.

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Race 2: NW $10,500 L5 or $20,000 L10 or NW5 or $80K LT AE: OPT CLM $65,000

(6) HAMMER TIME made a big move on the last turn last week and he looked a winner but got picked off late. Drawing best here, he gets top billing. (9) I GOT THE LOOKS raced well to be 2nd to a big chalk that was dropping in class and he should be the main threat. (7) SPARTAN GENERAL got a needed clean line now he will likely be more aggressive; using. (2) RENEGADE GYPSY is having a good year and he just took a new life’s mark, but these are tougher and I'll use him underneath.

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Race 3: Harvest Series 2nd Leg Ont. Sired 2YO Fillies

(1) TALK CURDY TO ME likely controls this race similar to her trip last week and she gets the call to repeat in this short field. (3) TWIN B ECHO was beat a length by the choice now she returns to a 7-day rotation. She's in with a shot here. (4) VIRTUAL KISS tripped out to win last week. She's in the mix again. (6) SUNNY DREAMS will probably close late again for a share.

Race 4: NW $5,000 L5 or $12,500 L8 - Pick 4

(2) KAMERAN HANOVER was never involved last week at 9 to 5 now he gets to drop one level. He should get a better start here; top call. (1) RITSON jogged last time he raced this low. He is an obvious threat here. (8) RYDGEMONT SON N ships north, goes for Auciello and adds Lasix but he has missed close to three weeks. He is obviously capable at this level using. I can see (10) ROWLEN closing late for a small share at a price here.

Race 5: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000

(10) MILITARY SECRET couldn't be any sharper right now and he had no problem with a wide post last time; call to repeat. (7) SIR GALAHAD is similarly extremely sharp but he changes barns off the claim here. I'm not sure I'd take a short price this week. (6) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT persevered when beating easier last week. He likely takes a slice this time. (1) PETER POOLE should be good for another share here.

Race 6: Harvest Series 2nd Leg Ont. Sired 2YO Fillies - Pick 5

(6) CHARMING VIXEN raced well in defeat in leg 1 and she is the one to beat here. (3) GIMMIE A CORONA finished full of pace while lacking room. She should be a big threat here. (1) UNCONTROLLED is another that had stretch traffic issues last week that is worth using on multi-race tickets tonight. (2) BEST ACTRESS returns quicker here and she should improve.

Race 7: NW $10,500 L5 or $20,000 L10 or starters for a purse of $16K or less L4 or NW 5 or $80K LT AE: OPT CLM $65,000

(3) DERF HANOVER steps up off a sharp win and he is in top form now; call to repeat. Sophomore (7) RED OVERBACH fits well here and he should get an aggressive steer; using. (1) IGLARE AM is fast enough to contend here if she stays flat but I don't love the rail post for her; using underneath. (5) MYSTIC should contend around for a share on the class drop here.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000 - Pick 4

(2) REAL WICKED goes to Auciello and adds Lasix. The only other start he made out of that barn as a wire-to-wire lifetime-best win on 9/19; top call. (8) JULERICA is usually the one to catch and beat and that is probably the case again in this spot. (7) QUAN BLUE CHIP looked terrific blowing past the leaders in the lane last week, but he isn't known for stringing wins together. I'll play to beat him as a likely underlay tonight. (6) HERESTHATMANAGAIN should be in the bottom of the exotics again tonight.

Race 9: NW $29,500 L5

(3) AHUNDREDDOLARBILL raced better last time and he is capable of beating these on his best. Stepping up should ensure he offers a good price; slight nod. (2) PEMBERTON can win if he stays flat but he seems to have some issues. I’d demand a price here. (1) HP ROYAL THEO was in the mix facing better last week and he is in the mix here. (5) LOCATELLI should be good for another share in this spot.

Race 10: Starters for a purse of $12,000 or less in 1 of L4

(7) CUPID HANOVER dominated vs. similar last week and he gets the call to repeat tonight. (8) ON THE ROPES moves back into the barn where he has had the most success and he would be no surprise tonight. (2) HP RUNNING MASS woke up with a much better effort when winning and he should be a threat right back here. (5) AUSSIE LOVER was in good form when he scratched sick. A small share is likely for him tonight.

Race 11: CLM HDCP $10,000 to $14,000

(3) BETTOR NOTBITTER A drops and he should be tough in this spot. He will likely be closer than normal at the head of the lane, then pounce. (6) THE AMAZINGSANDO was beaten by a rival that kicked in 27 2/5 to get past him. He is the obvious danger. (8) JIM STRIKESITRICH strangely showed nothing racing off the Auciello claim. He drops and will probably be much better tonight. (5) BIG JOURNEY shows improving form and he should be in the exotics mix. (2) BARN ONE raced okay from the 8-hole at Flamboro the other night. He can take a share here.