Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 10/23

Top Pick Stats: 498 - 1477 / $2,665.60 (-$288.40)

Best Bets: 78 - 139 / $274.90 (-$3.10)

Spot Plays: 24 - 141 / $150.20 (-$131.80)

Best Bet: I AMA ROCKET (11TH)

Spot Play: MUSCLE FASHION (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,3/2,4,5/3,4,5,8/3/1,7 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 5,7/6,7/2,3/3,5,8/3,6,7 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 3/1,7/5,7/6,7 = $1.60

Late Pick 4: 3,5,8/3,6,7/7/3,8,9 = $5.40

Race 1: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2023 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2023. LEG 1 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) WICKEDWOMAN DE VIE comes off a good try where she was used aggressively, and she has a recency advantage over likely favorite (1) ONE MORE BET. A slight nod goes to the former. The latter is the obvious horse to beat coming off a 2nd in a Gold race but she has missed three weeks and I'm not sold on taking odds-on considering that absence. (2) PEELER tripped out to beat maidens as the even money choice. This is tougher but she is sharp, and she can take a share. (7) BETH should be good for a small share here.

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Race 2: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2023 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2023

(4) RADICAL LEGACY brings an unbeaten record in from the 'B' tracks, and she looks good here to extend her win streak to five and stay unbeaten. (5) SHETROTSALOT took a check in the Grassroots Final and this is a much easier spot. She is the obvious danger. (2) BILLIE JEAN QUEEN did well to stay for a share after being parked the route. She is in with a puncher's chance here. 0 for 10 (7) TEA LAKE likely closes late for another share here.

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Race 3: NW $18,000 in 2023

(8) FINAL CHEESERECIPE has gate speed and one of the best drivers and he looks as good as any in this amateur drivers race. (3) MIGHTY MACH comes off a solid closing effort and he figures to be the one to fend off in deep stretch; using. (5) GRAND POOBAH is another with gate speed that is dangerous. Leaders often get loose in these races and pace away from their rivals. (4) MR BEAST should be good for at least a slice in this spot.

Race 4: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2023 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2023 - Pick 4

(3) P L RAINBOW DASH has been chasing the best rookie female trotter in the country recently and this is a big drop for her. She should break her maiden tonight. (5) ZIPPY ZIPPORAH was only a neck behind the choice last time. She figures to be the main threat here. (2) ABIKADABRA raced well in Grassroots company in the summer. She can be a threat returning from a break here. (1) SANDOON has been in the Exacta in all seven starts to date. She will need to be faster tonight, but she is in the exotics mix.

Race 5: 5YO and younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45,000 AE: 3YO 4YO 5YO OPT CLM $50,000

(1) BUSY MAKING MONI gets McClure back after finishing 3rd with the owner/trainer in the bike and she gets the nod to return to her winning ways. (7) WARRAWEE YES should find these easier after facing the likes of Bond and Mommamia Volo. She should be a speed threat here. (8) STORM TROTTER’s first start back was good, but he has taken shares in 3/4 of his 2023 starts so far. I'll play to beat him here. (10) ROYALTY BEER rolls in from Flamboro in great form but beating these from post 10 is probably a tall order; small share predicted.

Race 6: CLM HDCP $17,000 to $22,000 - Pick 5

(7) BLAKESAGENT carved out some big fractions while dominating similar after starting from post 10 last week. A repeat of that mile would make him very tough to beat here. (5) MACH IMPACT is sharp, and he races off the Lester claim here. He could be a pocket rocket in this spot; using. (4) UF BETTORS HANOVER tripped out to win one level below this. I don't see that trip being repeated here but he should be good for a share. (2) MASKEDMAN will likely sit another following trip and pass some of these late to land in the bottom

Race 7: NW $9,000 L5 or $15,500 L8 AE: NW8 LT or 2 in 2023

(7) MUSCLE FASHION got a needed start in after being off since May and he trotted a sub-56 back 1/2. I'll take a price stab with him here expecting an aggressive steer. (6) P L OPPORTUNITY comes off a decent front end try at this level, and she is in with a shot in this fourth start back. (5) SERENITY CRUISE drops to a better level, but she is 1 for 17 this year and likely best used underneath. (2) GIGONDAS had no excuse last week and he is another that I will try to beat here as the morning line favorite.

Race 8: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2023 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2023

(3) WICKED LEADER made a couple of moves to break her maiden impressively and she gets the call to repeat here. (2) SCRIVENER HANOVER should wake up in this spot exiting the Grassroots Final, the only concern being that she has missed three weeks. (1) TAMARA HANOVER wasn't that far behind the choice last time. She can take a share here. (7) DEFININGTHE MOMENT’s return race was decent. She will likely be part of the exotics in this small field.

Race 9: NW $9,000 L5 or $15,500 L8 AE: NW8 LT or 2 in 2023 - Pick 4

(5) DONATOVER got an impossible trip last week parked the mile from post 10. He has a much better chance starting from the middle of the gate tonight; call to upset. (3) RICKY RESOLVE trots incredible parked out trips virtually every week where he takes a ton of air and just keeps coming. He could fall into a great trip this time; using. (8) SHESTHELUCKYONE drops for this second start back and McClure will likely get aggressive with her facing easier. She would be no surprise here. (9) FLEURIE is another dropper that figures but she is winless this year. I'll play to beat her starting from the widest post.

Race 10: NW $15,500 L5 or $24,000 L8 AE: OPT CLM $65,000 AE: NW $1,000 in 2023

(7) MIKEY MASS raced tough in defeat when facing similar last time. He can win here if he gets a slightly easier trip. (6) PATRIARCH HANOVER moves from the worst post to the best one and he figures to get a better trip. He could lead all the way here. (3) FREE WILLY HANOVER is having a good year and his potent late kick should get him another share here. (5) MRMAYOR HANOVER stole a 58 opening 1/2 but he couldn’t convert. I'll use him underneath here.

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Race 11: CLM HDCP $25,000 to $35,000

(7) I AMA ROCKET goes back to Barrington here and he won 9 times in 15 starts racing out of that barn at this track in 2023 and took his lifetime mark of 1:50 1/5. He should prove tough to beat tonight. (6) HERVEY HANOVER made a big late bid that fell just short in his first start racing off the Auciello claim and he draws best now. He will likely lay closer to the front this time and he can close to complete the Exacta. (8) CHANGE STRIDE N gets away from another hot Barrington trainee but runs into the choice now. Another slice is likely for him. (4) VIPER popped and dropped and looked good doing it, but this is tougher; using underneath.

Race 12: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $16,000

(3) MACHIN A TRICK's big late kick should play well in this spot, and I see him rolling past the leaders in mid stretch; top call. (9) JJ TOMMY will likely go straight to the front here and try to go right down the road. He has a tactical advantage on the choice and that gives him a shot. (8) PROCRASTINATOR raced better last week and he can get a good trip racing on or near the lead here; using. (4) MUSIC TO MY GEARS is on a roll but these are tougher. A small share is likely for him tonight. (10) DREAMFAIR MOXY would be rated higher if he drew better.