Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 10/2
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Top Pick Stats: 457 - 1360 / $2,439.50 (-$280.50)
Best Bets: 73 - 129 / $249.30 (-$8.70)
Spot Plays: 23 - 130 / $145.80 (-$104.70)
Best Bet: RIGHTEOUS RESOLVE (3RD)
Spot Play: PHEONIX (7TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,6,9/2,5,6/9/2,3,5,9/1,2,6,8 = $28.80
Late Pick 5: 8,9/5,7/4,9/1,7/3,5,8 = $9.60
Early Pick 4: 2,3,5,9/1,2,6,8/8,9/5,7 = $12.80
Late Pick 4: 4,9/1,7/3,5,8/6,8,9 = $7.20
Race 1: 5YO and younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45,000 LT AE: 3YO 4YO and 5YO OPT CLM $50,000 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5
(6) BUSY MAKING MONI trotted a big mile parked a long way to get 3rd last time and he looks good vs. these. Keep in mind he has taken 13 slices vs. 3 wins before you take a short price. (9) DEVILS ARCH flashed big early speed in Grassroots company in his first start back following a rest and he should be tighter for this. His speed makes him a threat. (2) MERCUTIO is the unknown here making his first start of the year. I like the way he kicked home in his qualifier on 9/15 and I’ll use him in the early Pick 5. (1) STONEBRIDGE BOMBER is capable of better than he has shown recently. Toss him in Super bets.
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Race 2: NW $8,600 L5 AE: OPT CLM $45,000
(6) ALL WRAPPED UP races better at this level and Borth should give him a more aggressive steer in this spot; top call. (5) DEALIN WITH DEWEY drops and Roy sides with him over the choice. He should improve here, and he is an obvious contender. (2) P L OPPORTUNITY probably needed last week's start when returning from a rest. He is another possibility in a race with no standout. (8) ROWLEN comes off a strong effort, but he will likely take a small share here starting from a wide post.
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Race 3: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GOLD LEG 5: 3 YEAR OLD TROTTING FILLIES
(9) RIGHTEOUS RESOLVE raced great against tough filly Bond in a Grand Circuit race last week which can be a signal that she has reached her peak form. She gets top billing here. (1) CLIMB THE POLE’s break in stride in that race was due to equipment and she beat the choice two starts back. She has shown to have no issue with the rail post, and she should be the main threat to the choice tonight. (8) BELIEVE U ME returns from Kentucky in good form and she is in the exotics mix here. (2) BARONESS HILL is in the mix every race and she will likely round out the Tri or Super tonight.
Race 4: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $16,000 - Pick 4
(3) MACHIN A TRICK’s big late kick should play well in here. I see him rolling past the leaders at the 1/8th pole. (5) MACH ART IN MOTION finished ahead of the choice last week and his current form makes him a top contender in this spot; using. (9) MACH IMPACT never misses the top three it seems, and Henry will likely blast for position with him. I'll use him underneath tonight. (2) PROMISE ME A WIN should show speed racing off the claim and he can hang around for a share.
Race 5: NW $15,000 L5 or $28,950 L8 AE: OPT CLM $65,000 AE: NW9 LT
This is a great betting race where several are in with a real chance. I'll side with closer (1) SPARTAN GENERAL, who should get the setup he needs for his potent late kick. (2) PATRIARCH HANOVER stacks up well vs. these, but he has failed to get the job done vs. similar three straight times at odds of 7 to 5 or less. Your call. (8) MISCHEVIOUS ROSE comes off a solid win and now faces tougher. Her price should make her worth including on multi-race tickets. (6) WHITE TIGER is always a threat at this level. He's hard to toss.
Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GOLD LEG 5: 3 YEAR OLD TROTTING COLTS AND GELDINGS - Pick 5
(8) HASTY BID is only 1 for 10 this year but he has amassed more than a 1/4 million in earnings and comes off a nice effort where he was only a length behind two of the top Grand Circuit colts. He can take win #2 here. (9) OSCEOLA exits the same race, and he has already shown that he can win Golds. Expect an aggressive McNair steer tonight. (5) THE HAZLETON hasn't missed the board this year and he keeps improving. He has a puncher's chance at a price. (3) GHOSTLY CASPER got a good tightener in when 2nd to Southwind Coors. He should be good for a share.
Race 7: Horses that have started for a purse of $15K or less in 1 of L3
(7) PHEONIX wasn't asked for much in two straight starts when mired in post 10. Filion will probably get aggressive with him this time and he gets the nod at what should be a good price. (5) ALL GAS NO BRAKES ships north sharp for The Stable and he gets the leading driver. He has a good chance here racing on or near the front. (3) KEVIN ANTHONY fits well in this spot, and he will probably be the one closing hardest in the lane; using. (1) DONATOVER scored the upset with Henry driving two starts back then he got an impossible trip. Henry returns to the bike, and he is another in with a shot.
Race 8: NW $15,000 in 2023 - Pick 4
(4) GRAND POOBAH exits the best race where he was only four lengths back in 1:50 flat. Drury might send him right down the road tonight. (9) THATLL BE SPORTY was good last week and he is still fresh having made only four starts this year to this point. He should be right there vs. these. (5) KOBRA KAI should pass many of these in the final 1/4 to take another share. (2) YOURTHEONE should get a good trip racing near the front, and he can stay for a share vs. these.
Race 9: FREE FOR ALL
(7) LOGAN PARK trotted one of the best miles of his life to beat most of these last week and he will be very tough to beat if he comes close to repeating that effort. (1) AMIGO VOLO returns quicker, and he can be better in this second race over the track. I'll toss him on late multi-race tickets. (4) ONEY HALL is in solid form, and he was closest to the choice last week. He should be part of the Tri. (3) PEMBERTON will likely close from far back for another minor share.
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Race 10: CLM HDCP $25,000 to $30,000
(5) FROWNIES MIRACLE goes for Barrington off the claim, and he can improve enough to beat these. (8) CHANGE STRIDE N was game in defeat last time and he continues to race well. He should be the main threat here racing from close range. (3) MILTARY SECRET couldn't be any sharper but he exits Moreau’s barn and steps up in class. I'd be careful to not take too short a price here. (6) DOC HOUSTON can work out another good trip and land a spot in the Super.
Race 11: Horses that have started for a purse of $9K or less in 1 of L3
(6) THATLL BE TIGER paced a big back 1/2 in his local debut and he gets a much better post now; top call. This is an easier spot for (8) ALLY FLIGHT. He should wake up in this spot and he will be on my late Pick 4 ticket. (9) SUN CHIP took a lifetime mark of 1:51 1/5 here earlier in the year and he is coming back to good form now. He would be no surprise in this spot. (2) JOE DIMAGIO finished ahead of Sun Chip at Kawartha, but he got a much better trip then. A small share is likely for him in this spot. (5) PUNCHESINBUNCHES can close for a share vs. these.

