Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 10/19/26

Top Pick Stats: 586/1874 (-$989.90)

Best Bets: 67/169 (-$55.50); Spot Plays: 35/172 (-$114.00)

Best Bet: SHADYS MOMENT (Race 4)

Spot Play: LIQUID (Race 11)

Early Pick-5: 1,9/2,3/5/6/2,5,8 $2.40

Late Pick-5: 4,6/1/4/1,3,5/6,7 $2.40

Race 1: 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 2 (FM 3) RACES OR $20,000 (OS $25,000) LIFETIME.

(1) INTEL QUEEN comes off a convincing victory at Mohawk, winning by more than three lengths against similar company. Her recent performance makes her the horse to beat from the inside post. (9) BASELITZ is riding a three-race winning streak, showing consistency and an ability to finish races. The outside post and step up to Mohawk are concerns, but her current form makes her dangerous. (2) P L TEQUILA has won her last two starts, including a victory at Mohawk with James MacDonald driving. Her early speed and favorable post should put her in contention.

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Race 2: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. LEG 2. AE: LEG 1 STARTERS.

(2) JYN ERSO been competing against some of the best two-year-old trotting fillies in Ontario, including a respectable fourth in the Ontario Sires Stakes Gold Final. The class relief makes her extremely appealing here. (3) LADY JAG comes off a solid runner-up finish in the opening leg of the Harvest Series, following a victory at Mohawk. Her tactical speed and recent consistency make her a legitimate win threat. (1) PINK GIN FIZZ finished third in the opening Harvest Series leg after competing well in the Prospect Series. Her inside post and proven ability to hit the board give her a strong chance to grab another piece.

Race 3: CLAIMING HANDICAP $30,000 TO $40,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE & SEX. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000.

(5) PREMIER FIRST STAR comes off an impressive victory in this claiming division. His recent success against many of these same rivals makes him the clear top choice. (2) WATERLOO finished second behind Premier First Star in his latest start after winning his previous race. His inside draw and strong recent performances give him another opportunity to challenge the favorite. (6) SHADOW OF AN ANGEL won two starts back, demonstrating the speed needed to compete at this level. A rebound from his latest disappointing effort would put him in the mix.

Race 4: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. LEG 2. AE: LEG 1 STARTERS.

(6) SHADYS MOMENT produced a sharp Mohawk debut and paced away from her rivals late in the mile. Hard to ignore an effort like that. (9) MIDNIGHT MATRIMONY comes off a strong victory in the opening leg of the Harvest Series. Her ability to take control of a race and finish strongly makes her the top selection despite the outside draw. (7) TH PENELOPE has been competing against quality two-year-old pacing fillies and brings useful stakes experience into this matchup. She has the ability to improve with the right trip and figures to be competitive.

Race 5: 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 (WINNERS FOR A PURSE OF $12,000 OR LESS 2 RACES) RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(8) UP TO NO GOUDA comes off a runner-up finish at Mohawk, showing improvement while competing against similar company. His recent effort suggests he is getting closer to breaking through, making him a strong win candidate. (5) NICKSIN has been knocking on the door in recent starts, including a competitive effort on October 8. His consistency and ability to stay close to the leaders make him a major contender. (2) FEET OF THE MOON has been competing regularly in this class and benefits from an advantageous inside post. A clean trip and improved finishing effort could put her in the top three.

Race 6: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. LEG 2. AE: LEG 1 STARTERS.

(6) A MOMENT OF GRACE comes off an impressive victory in the opening leg of the Harvest Series, winning by more than four lengths. Her ability to control the pace makes her the one everyone else will have to catch. (4) BISCUITINTHEBASKET has shown excellent early speed and the ability to race aggressively near the front. Her latest Harvest Series performance suggests she belongs among the leading contenders. (3) PA LILA had a disappointing finish in her latest Harvest Series appearance but previously showed winning ability in the Prospect Series. She has enough early speed to secure a good trip and bounce back.

Race 7: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $150,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. AE: OPT. CLM. $100,000. LEG 1.

(1) POWNAL BAY BOBBI appears to have the most raw speed in this group and could just overpower these with a front-end trip. (2) HORSE WITH A PLAN has been racing consistently against quality stakes competition and brings solid recent performances into this matchup. Her favorable post position should allow her to work out a productive trip. (7) ARTISTIC DELIGHT has faced some of the toughest three-year-old pacing fillies in Ontario, including the Gold Final. Although recent finishes have been disappointing, the class relief makes her dangerous with the right trip.

Race 8: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $150,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. AE: OPT. CLM. $100,000. LEG 1.

(4) BARBARA MAY has displayed outstanding speed against Ontario Sires Stakes competition, including a strong performance in the Grassroots Final. Her ability to control races from the front makes her a serious threat. (7) SATU WANIA comes off a competitive appearance in the Ontario Sires Stakes Gold Final after racing well against conditioned company. Her recent form and tactical versatility make her a strong alternative. (3) FLOWING TRIBUTE has demonstrated the ability to compete against top-level stakes horses, including a strong performance in the Gold Final. Her inside draw and proven speed make her a legitimate contender.

Race 9: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $150,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. AE: OPT. CLM. $100,000. LEG 1.

(3) ROMANTIC BEAUTY has been racing well against Ontario Sires Stakes competition, including a strong performance in the Grassroots Final. Her tactical speed and recent consistency give her an excellent chance to control this race. (1) JEN TILLY comes out of the Ontario Sires Stakes Gold Final and has consistently faced high-quality opposition. The rail draw should help her secure an economical trip and make her a major factor. (5) MCBUBBLES comes off a narrow runner-up finish at Mohawk after showing strong early speed. Her recent competitiveness and ability to race near the front make her an appealing contender.

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Race 10: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $150,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. AE: OPT. CLM. $100,000. LEG 1.

(6) A SPLASH OF GREEN has been facing tough stakes and conditioned competition, including a recent appearance against older mares. Her class experience and proven speed make her the top selection in this field. (7) BINGO NIGHT has competed against some of Ontario's strongest three-year-old trotting fillies, including an appearance in the Gold Final. The class relief should give her a better opportunity to contend for the victory. (4) UPGRADE has been racing against quality Ontario Sires Stakes competition and possesses enough ability to compete at this level. Her mid-pack draw should help her find a favorable position and work into contention.

Race 11: HORSES & GELDINGS CLAIMING $20,000 FOR NW 4 RACES OR $30,000 (OS $37,500) LIFETIME. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE. AE: N/A $760 P/S IN 2026.

(6) LIQUID comes off a strong front-running victory at Mohawk against claiming company. His ability to control the early fractions and carry his speed makes him the horse to beat. (4) SAULSBROOK RODEO has been competing in similar conditioned and claiming company and draws a favorable middle post. A well-timed move and clean trip could make him a serious challenger. (9) CABO SAN LUCAS moves to a more manageable level after competing in the Ontario Sires Stakes Gold Final. His runner-up finish in claiming company two starts back suggests he can be competitive despite the outside draw.