Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 10/17

Meet Stats: 566 - 1720 / $2,854.20 (-$585.80)

Best Bets: 85 - 158 / $288.20 (-$27.80)

Spot Plays: 44 - 160 / $300.70 (-$19.30)

Best Bet: LOGAN PARK (9TH)

Spot Play: REAL WILLEY (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,5,8/2,6/1,6,7/5/3,6,8 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 2,4,5/3,4,7,9/1/4/1,4,8,9 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 5/3,6,8/2,4,5/3,4,7,9 = $36

Late Pick 4: 4/1,4,8,9/5,6/1,5,6,8 = $32

Race 1: NW3 or $40,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(2) THEWINNERTAKEITALL jogged at this level last week and he stands a good chance to repeat despite facing tougher tonight. (8) HERSHEY SEELSTER is developing a terrific late kick and she will be the one to fend off if the early pace is honest. (5) ROSE RUN XCENTRIC tried a closing approach in a Gold race last Thursday but the leaders never slowed. She should be closer early here which gives her a chance. (3) CHOCOLATE PARFAIT hasn't raced poorly once yet and she is in the exotics mix.

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Race 2: Harvest Series 1st Leg Ont. Sired 2YO Fillies

(6) NO ANGEL LIKE ME broke her maiden winning the Grassroots final and she looks best here; top call. (2) DIVINNE MAGIC blew up at the start of that race and lost all chance. She can be a threat if she stays flat here. (1) ENOLA was 3rd to the choice and she should be in the exotics mix here off another good trip. (4) SANT AMBROGGIO is having a good year but she faces tougher tonight; small share predicted.

Race 3: Harvest Series 1st Leg Ont. Sired 2YO Fillies

(6) TALK CURDY TO ME is only a neck shy of being 3 for 3 and she looks best here as the probable favorite. (7) BEST ACTRESS faced some tough rivals in her last three starts and she should be right there vs. this group; using. (1) TWIN B ECHO is another that should improve in this company. She's in the exotics mix. (3) SPLASH OF PINK fires an honest effort for her owner/trainer/driver every week. She should be along late for her usual share.

Race 4: NW $13,300 L5 or $20,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $16,000 or less in 1 of L4 - Pick 4

(5) TRUFFLES TOO takes a big plunge from the top class tonight and Macdonald will likely send him right down the road. (3) ALL WRAPPED UP looks next best in here and he can close for 2nd. (7) I GOT THE LOOKS gets a better post here which means he might get sent forward leaving the gate this time; price look. (8) SPARTAN GENERAL needs a clean line tonight. I think he sits back and rallies late for a share if he stays trotting.

Race 5: NW $2,800 L3

I liked (6) REAL WILLEY's comeback effort against a favored class dropper and he could do here from the best post as the probable second choice to (3) JM JACK OF HEARTS. The latter is obvious on the big class drop but he will offer no value. (8) ALTA ENGEN A will be happy to see that Pipewrench Charlie isn't lined up to he left at the start. He's another in with a shot here. (7) RAYS KREDIT can pass a few of these and sneak into the Super.

Race 6: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000 - Pick 5

This looks like a race that will fall apart late so I'll side with stalker (5) SNAP TEST, who races off the Marfisi claim. (4) STATE OF PLAY goes to Moreau off the claim and he is another that should be passing horses late; using. (2) TOUGHSONOFABEACH was given a perfect Macdonald steer to blow up the tote board in his second start for Montini. He is in the mix again. (8) HIGH FLYIN JAMIE was bet like he couldn't lose off two terrible lines since being claimed last week and he delivered. I have no idea what he might do tonight but the tote board should provide a clue.

Race 7: Harvest Series 1st Leg Ont. Sired 2YO Fillies

I'll take a shot with Maritimes shipper (7) SINGING RAMONA who goes to the Paige Austin barn and gets the leading driver. She seems to fit okay here. (9) RUTHY B had two eventful trips in a row to start her career. If she can put it all together, she may upset here. Look for equipment changes on this filly tonight. (3) SIS should improve by default exiting Grassroots races but I wonder if she will be over bet and offer little value. Let price be your guide here. (4) DEWITT THIS MOMENT should contend for at least a share in this spot.

Race 8: NW $13,300 L5 or $20,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $16,000 or less in 1 for L4

(1) PERFETTO flashed early speed last week which should set him up perfectly for a drop and pop here. (7) GOLD EDITION was confidently driven to victory by Hudon last week. He should be an Exacta factor right back. (2) SAYLOR is sharp but these are tougher; small share predicted. Similarly, (3) THE PRINCE is on a roll but he faces much tougher now and a small slice is likely for him.

Race 9: PREFERRED 2 - Pick 4

(4) LOGAN PARK gets major class relief tonight after facing the best on the continent in his last few starts and he should convert with the leading driver in the bike. (5) HP MAMA B should be closer early in this smaller field and she can be an Exacta factor. (1) COMBS HANOVER, recently 2nd to the streaking Fashion Frenzie, should be in the exotics mix again tonight. (3) WHITE TIGER is in solid form and he should be good for another small share tonight.

Race 10: NW $6,100 L5 or $13,600 L8

(1) MUSCLE FASHION was good in an amateur drivers race last week but no one was catching the winner. He fits well vs. this group; slight nod. (9) KAMERAN HANOVER comes off a nice effort where he showed speed both early and late in the mile. He is in with a good chance here. (4) DERF HANOVER took lots of action on the class drop and he raced well, but the winner was too tough. He isn't out of place vs. these. He is another that could win. (8) CASCADA is worth a look at a price for the bottom of the exotics.

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Race 11: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000

(6) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT was used hard early last week and he stuck around for a share. He projects to get an easier trip on the lead tonight and he gets top billing. (5) PETER POOLE made two moves in a decent effort and he should be the main threat here. (7) SOUTHWIND BRONN was claimed off Moreau and goes to a barn that has recorded 8 wins in 52 starts lifetime. I'll use him underneath. (4) ALLGONOWHOA 0 for 32 this year, figures to take a small share here.

Race 12: CLM HDCP $10,000 TO $14,000

Good betting race to end the card. (1) THUNDERING JIM steps up but he couldn't be sharper. I think he stalks and pounces tonight. (6) THE AMAZINGSANDO hinted at improvement two starts back then he crushed last week. He is sharp and dangerous. (8) SIR GALAHAD is in strong form for trainer Waxman and he is another in with a shot here. (5) SKYLAR should be in the exotics mix on the class drop here. (3) MACH ART IN MOTION should take a small slice off an inside following trip.