Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Monday 10/12/26

Top Pick Stats: 573/1831 (-$955.20)

Best Bets: 67/165 (-$47.50); Spot Plays: 35/168 (-$106.00)

Best Bet: LIQUID (Race 10)

Spot Play: JUST BUSINESS (Race 8)

Early Pick-5: 5,9/6/6,8/5/4,7,10 $2.40

Late Pick-5: 6,10/1/5/3,4,5/6 $1.20

Race 1: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. LEG 1.

(5) LETS GO FISHIN got easy fractions on the lead and cruised to a maiden-breaking win. She draws a good post and will try to get things her way again. (9) DEL RAY SEELSTER has paced quality miles in her last two but those fillies are quicker. If she gets into the race early, she will be a threat. (1) SANTORINI SEELSTER was a fringe Grassroots player all year but should do okay here if she stays toward the inside.

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Race 2: 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 (FM 5) RACES OR $50,000 (OS $65,000) LIFETIME.

(6) UPTO LAURA HANOVER more than held her own in the Elegant Image and should be rolling past these horses late. (1) KAYLAS INCHARGE snagged another check last week and now finds a shorter field. The right trip will have her in play. (5) FRENCHMONI HANOVER has versatility but I see her firing out and trying to hold on for a piece.

Race 3: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. LEG 1.

(6) SUMLUCKYLADY just missed in the Grassroots Final and showed a new dimension in the process. Hard to ignore her given this draw. (8) OUTLAST has been a bit of a fringe stakes type all season but her outing in the Champlain once again makes you think she has more. I’ll be curious about her development over the winter. (7) LADY JAG scored on the front end last week and is likely put in play again tonight.

Race 4: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. LEG 1.

(5) SOPHIES SECRET comes out of the same race as Del Ray Seelster but has just shown more raw ability thus far. She is an obvious choice. (9) DANCIN LADY LOU put in another good Mohawk outing last week but could be stifled near the back if horses like the #6 and #7 leave out. (1) LMC BUBBA LOO looks like a fringe type but another step forward could see her challenge for a piece.

Race 5: 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES: NW 1 RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.

(7) SHADYS MOMENT produced a sharp rally on debut and now picks up the leading driver. Hard to imagine she doesn’t show more tonight. (10) MY POPSICLE has done well in limited outings at Hippodrome 3R and will look to make it stick on the bigger track for new connections. (4) GRANTON GEM looked better in her latest and could be rounding into form that can get her a check.

Race 6: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. LEG 1.

(10) BIG HEART N SOUL raced great in her Mohawk debut and is a filly that I’ll have no trouble backing despite the wide draw. (6) IN THIS MOMENT grabbed a check in her latest from well off the pace. I can see some early speed types setting it up for her. (7) BISCUITINTHEBASKET came up short to a familiar foe last week but it’s hard to ignore her big track form to this point.

Race 7: HARVEST SERIES: ONTARIO SIRED OR BRED 2 YEAR OLD FILLIES, NW $30,000 IN 2026 AS OF SEPTEMBER 30TH 2026. LEG 1.

(1) MADIGAN was excellent in her second career start and will look to continue building on that. I expect (8) TH FRANCESCA to be more involved this week. Hopefully the connections have figured out what happened two back. (6) SHAKE YOUR MASS found a group that was too tough last week. I would expect her to rebound tonight.

Race 8: 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 2 (FM 3) RACES OR $20,000 (OS $25,000) LIFETIME. AE: 3 YO FILLIES NW 2 RACES IN 2026.

I’ll guess that (5) JUST BUSINESS finally found a group that she can beat. It could set up for her to pounce from up close. (2) TRUDYBIRD showed a decent burst of speed to get to the lead but couldn’t sustain it. We might see the same thing here. (3) WILD ROSE HANOVER draws inside this week and shouldn’t have to work as hard to get her preferred trip.

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Race 9: FILLIES & MARES, CLAIMING $20,000 FOR NW 8 RACES OR $60,000 (OS $75,000) LIFETIME. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE.

(5) COLD CREEK ESPERO was unleashed on the outside and produced a big upset. She needed to go in for a claimer a while ago, apparently. (4) THE LIES WE TELL draws much better tonight after a sharp second behind my top pick. I’m not sure if she has the burst to edge away, however. (3) CENTURY MOO got shuffled in her latest but still got a check. A better trip should see her rebound.

Race 10: HORSES & GELDINGS CLAIMING $20,000 FOR NW 4 RACES OR $30,000 (OS $37,500) LIFETIME. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE. AE: N/A $800 P/S IN 2026.

(6) LIQUID drops in for a claimer after many starts of chasing horses that were just plain too good for him. Big effort inbound, I believe. (1) D A SUPER GLO was better in his latest and has appeared to figure something out since moving off Lasix. (2) WINDSUN TUXEDO adds Lasix after coming up short as the favorite. I wouldn’t mind if he was put in play again given that change.