Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 9/4

Meet Stats: 190 - 615 / $1056.70 (-$173.20)
Best Bets: 29 - 55 / $89.70 (-$20.30)
Spot Plays: 11 - 57 / $85.30 (-$28.70)
Best Bet: LADY ROCKNROLLA A (7TH)
Spot Play: CASIMIR RICHIE P (6TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,10/1,6/1,3/1,4,5/1,4,7 = $14.40
Late Pick 5: 2,3/5/2,8/4,5,8,9,10/1,6 = $8
Early Pick 4: 1,4,5/1,4,7/2,3/5 = $18
Late Pick 4: 4,5,8,9,10/1,6/6,7/7,9 = $40

Race 1: ONT. SIRED 3YO WHO HAVE STARTED IN THE GRASSROOTS SERIES IN 2020 **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(2) REMEMBER TITANS takes a big class plunge here out of the Grand Circuit ranks and he should be tough to beat. (10) CROSSFIT MOUSE continues to improve and I'm going to use him in this Pick 5 despite drawing post 10. (4) MIKEY MASS races well in Grassroots company typically and he should be in the mix racing close to the front. (8) FREEDOM EXPRESS is another who has been improving that can take a smaller share in this spot.

Race 2: 2YO NW1 or $7,100 LT

(6) HIGHLANDBEACHSBEST drops out of the Grand Circuit. Now or never? (1) SOUTHBEACH HANOVER is another exiting a Grand Circuit race that is sure to improve in this spot; using underneath. (4) SIR GENE G HANOVER should be good for another smaller share in this spot. (3) KOMODO BEACH can improve off an even debut effort and land in the Super.

Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $30,000 (F&M $25,000 LT)

(1) FORTUNE STARLET passed some fillies in the final of Hambletonian Oaks, so she stands a good chance of notching her first 2020 win against these. (3) ROYALTY DEAL is obviously capable, yet risky with breaks in three of his last five starts; your call. (9) AUSSIE LOVER has finished third in 50% of his 2020 starts and he could boost the Tri payoff starting from out there. (4) TYMAL RIGGS could be good for a small share staring from an inside post this week.

Race 4: F&M 6YO and Younger NW3 or $68,000 LT - Pick 4

(5) AMERICAN TOUR N takes a class dive and a form reversal is likely in her second start back after missing a month. (4) HIGHMOON SUNSHINE races off the claim for the same barn the choice is racing out of and they have been hot recently. Stepping up out of a claimer should help her price; using. (1) MAJOR BATTLE is right there every week and she's hard to toss starting from the rail. (7) TUAPEKA JESSIE N was game in defeat last week and she is holding her form well. She should take a share here.

Race 5: F&M NW $10,000 L5 or $20,000 L10

(4) SLY ELEANOR N was nipped by a mare that got a golden trip last week, while she endured a tough trip after starting from the worst post. Her price should climb here, and she has a decent chance vs. these. (1) COUSIN MARY steps up after throttling easier but she isn't out of place here and she should get position early starting from the inside. (7) FIREBBY A is another who steps up off a win that should be a factor here from the outset; using. (5) SPRINGBRIDGE SASSY has been facing the tough Parisian Blue Chip recently and with that rival gone she has upset potential in this spot.

Race 6: NW $17,000 L5 or $32,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000 - Pick 5

(5) CASIMIR RICHIE P was coming close here in the top class before he took a trip to the Maritimes and he should be tough here racing on the lead. (2) SIR PUGSLEY raced decently for Gingras at a big price last week and he has upset possibilities here. (4) TORRIN HANOVER is in a better spot here and he should be in the exotics mix. (7) HERVEY HANOVER can pass a few of these late and make it into the Super.

Race 7: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(5) LADY ROCKNROLLA A gets several factors swinging her way here: a class drop, post relief, a much quicker return and she goes for a hot barn; top call. (7) BIDFORA HUG has improving form and she should be an Exacta factor here. (2) LADY FINETUNE has drawn poorly in every start at this track. Starting from an inside post, she may land in the Tri or Super at a big price. (10) CHOCOLATEMILKTOAST has a good closing kick on her best day and she's another I'll use underneath looking to create some value.

Race 8: F&M NW $30,000 L5 or NW $175,000 LT OPT CLM $60,000

(2) KENDALL SEELSTER will likely look to trip out here after a failed attempt on the front when facing easier and her price will be better; slight nod. (8) PHILLY HANOVER is in her easiest spot all year and an all-out speed try is likely; using. (6) DON’T STOP BELIEVIN was on a roll before trying the top class. She can hit the board here. (1) BETTER BE DONNA N has enough class for these but the time missed makes me use her underneath.

Race 9: NW $12,000 L5 or $25,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $30,000 - Pick 4

(9) SPORTS COLUMN made an uncharacteristic break at the start last week now he gets to drop another level. Post 9 keeps his price up; slight nod. (5) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN is almost sure to be put into this race early leaving from the middle of the gate and that makes him dangerous. (8) ROCKIN N TALKIN passed nine horses last week in the final 3/4 of a mile but the winner was long gone. He is sharp but he needs a trip from out there. (4) WINDSUN RICKY can pass a few of these and land in the Super.

Race 10: F&M NW $16,000 L5 or $30,500 L9 or NW $110,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000

(6) SUNNY DEE drops to a good spot to take her first win of 2020 and she figures to be tough to beat here. (1) SYLPH HANOVER gets a good post for the first time since July 25th and she should be the main danger. (7) ROLL WITH SPARKY is another who class drops here but she regularly finishes 2nd or 3rd in these classes; using underneath. (5) IVANA FLYBYE N can take a share racing from close range.

Race 11: PREFERRED HANDICAP

This race should come down to a battle between (6) WHEELS ON FIRE and (7) MATTICULOUS GB, who finished 3rd and 2nd, respectively, in last week's Preferred. In a race that seems like a coin toss between these two, I'll use both in the late Pick 4. (4) ROCKME ROLLME draws better here and he can sit a trip and make it into the Tri or Super at a price. (5) PRETTY HANDSOME continues to race well and he is worth a look for the Super.

Race 12: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $13,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $18,000

(9) SANDBETWEENURTOES takes the plunge here and if she can clear to the front from post 9, the race will likely be for second. (7) VILLAGE JOULES has been blasting off the gate every week and she could fall into a great trip here; using. (4) OUTLAW IMAHOTVIXEN is in a better spot here and she has an upset chance. (8) FRANSCHOEK encountered a lot of traffic trouble last week and she raced well to keep coming and get third. She's in the exotics mix here. (1) CATCH AN ACE should be able to rally to get a late share.