Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 9/30

Garnet Barnsdale|Sep 28, 2022

Meet Stats: 536 - 1645 / $2,696.90 (-$593.10)

Best Bets: 81 - 150 / $277.80 (-$22.20)

Spot Plays: 40 - 152 / $274.00 (-$28.00)

Best Bet: WHICHWAYTOTHEBEACH (7TH)

Spot Play: POINTOMYGRANSON (4TH)

Early Pick 5: 4,7,8/2,4/3,6/1,3,4/2,6 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 2,5/3,8/4,5/1,2,5 = $24

Early Pick 4: 1,3,4/2,6/2,5/3,8 = $24

Late Pick 4: 3,8/4,5/7,9,10/1,2,5 = $36

Race 1: NW $2,100 L3 AE: Starters of a purse of $9,000 or less L3 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) WISHYOUDTELLME fired sub-28 kickers in two straight and he gets a better post here. He does his best work on the front end and I think Sorrie blasts with him tonight; top call. (8) HAWAII drops out of a faster race where she faced tougher and she is an obvious threat tonight; using. (4) CONQUEST AS won well at Flamboro now he gets McNair. He is another in with a shot. (10) ROWLEN was good here last week and Young won from the 10-hole with one on Tuesday night. Being that he is 2 for his last 30, I'll use him underneath.

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Race 2: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $31,200 L8 AE: Starters for a purse of $15K or less L4 AE: OPT CLM $60,000

Droppers from the Mares Preferred should battle it out here and I think it will come down to (2) AWESOME HILL and (4) SHES NUN BETTOR A. I'll side with the former who gets a driver change to Roy and will probably offer the better price tonight. (8) KICKUPYAHEELS N is another one dropping from the top class but she got the worst of it at the post draw. I'll use her underneath. (3) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP will likely close late for a share.

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Race 3: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD Fifth Leg 3YO COLTS and GELDINGS

(6) ST LADS STERLING was used hard facing some salty older rivals last week and I think that will serve him well in this Gold leg vs. fellow sophomores; top call. (3) KOLBY TWO STEP got a good tightener in the same race and he figures to be the one to fend off late here. (7) RON is another coming out of that race and he should be closer early tonight. I'll use him underneath. (2) ALLADIN's first start over this track was good and he is in the exotics mix tonight.

Race 4: NW $3,950 L5 or $8,500 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $9K or less L3 - Pick 4

(3) POINTOMYGRANSON took some sneaky money last week and he raced okay closing from far back. I think J Mac sends him this time and he could lead all the way here. (1) TWIN B HEARTHROB takes a big class drop here but I don't love the rail post for him. He can obviously win, but I wouldn't be shocked if he gets too far back early and closes too late. (4) HERVEY HANOVER ducked early last week and he is another that should be blasting here on the class drop; using. (5) MAYHEM LIKE ME tried to chase in swift fractions last time and it didn't work out. He can sit and rally for a share here.

Race 5: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $40,000 LT

(2) FINAL CHEESERECIPE probably beats some really good Grassroots colts if he gets clear sailing last week, but he caused interference coming out of the hole which also affected him. He gets top billing here. (6) FROZEN HANOVER will be chalk dropping out of Grand Circuit company and he will probably be the one to catch. (1) POINTTO SWEET LOU similarly likely would have won if he had a clear lane in the stretch and he also caused interference fishing for room and he was set back. He can be an exotics factor here. (5) JK MIKI MANTLE steps up off a gritty win and he can take a slice here.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD Fifth Leg 3YO COLTS and GELDINGS - Pick 5

(2) STONEBRIDGE HELIOS paced a monstrous winning mile to win on 8/26 then he got sick. He was so good in that last mile that I'll take him on top despite missing time. He does add Lasix for this. (5) COLD CREEK QUESO has paced three sub-1:50 miles in a row which makes him a gelding to deal with late in the season. He is the other one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (3) SOUTHSIDE EDDY is sharp and his tactical speed should get him in position to take a good share tonight. (6) MAGICAL ARTHUR should be good for a small share in this small field.

Race 7: NW $6,000 L5 or $13,500 L10 AEL NW $1,500 L3 - Pick 4

(3) WHICHWAYTOTHEBEACH was hard-driven on the engine by Mark Macdonald last week and he laid down some fast fractions but he couldn't last. He drops again and gets J Mac and he should be hard to beat here. (8) FLYINGEVENBETTOR N is another dropper who flashed early speed last week that figures in here; using. (2) ILLGETMYOWN THANKS flies home late in most miles and he should get a good share here. (5) CAPITANO ITALIANO is on a roll but these are much tougher. I'll use him underneath.

Race 8: F&M NW $6,500 L5 or $14,000 L8 or NW $80,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(5) COME ROLL WITH ME paced s sub-54 back 1/2 uncovered and still won going away last time. Off that strong performance, she gets the call to repeat here. (4) MIA CULPA is usually right there when she races at this level and she can be an Exacta factor tonight. (6) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL’s late kick should play better at this level. I see her closing for a piece of the Tri or Super. (2) BETTER BE DONNA N drops but this isn't an easy NW $6K L5 class tonight. I'll use her on the bottom.

Race 9: F&M NW $2,150 L3 AE: OPT CLM $15,000

Good betting race here. I'll take a swing with (9) CASIMIR SWAMP GIRL who faces easier for this third start of the year and will offer a good price from a wide post with Kelly driving. (7) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N should find this level easier and she gets Jamieson back. She's in the mix tonight. (10) CHERIE AMOUR was claimed out of her third win in a row by Pentland and she adds Lasix tonight; price look. (8) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY figures on paper here but she tends to be trip dependent and from a wide post I'll use her underneath.

Race 10: F&M Who have started for a purse of $12,000 or less in 1 of L4 AE: NW $2,750 L5

Another good betting race to end the Pick 5. I can see the two inside mares leaving fastest and (2) BEACH MOMENT getting the perfect trip following (1) MAJOR LEAGUE N around the track to the stretch. (5) EXOTIC DRAGON ships in from Grand River with that meet having ended and she is in terrific form. She is another that is worth a look for multi-race tickets. (3) SPORTY TORI fits here but she has a stale date and adds Lasix. I'll play to beat her tonight. (7) MY MOTHER PEARL should close for a slice at this level.