Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 9/25

Meet Stats: 245 – 775 / $1318.80(-$231.20)
Best Bets: 38 - 69 / $125.40 (-$12.60)
Spot Plays: 13 - 71 / $102.00 (-$40.00)
Best Bet - BESTSELLER HANOVER (8TH)
Spot Play - LEADER TONIGHT (3RD)
Early Pick 5: 2,5/5,6,7,8/6,8/4,5,6/1,3 = $19.20
Late Pick 5: 4,5/4,5,6,7/7/4,8/2,6 = $6.40
Early Pick 4: 4,5,6/1,3/4,5/4,5,6,7 = $48
Late Pick 4: 4,8/2,6/3,4/4,5 = $16

Race 1: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $8,500 LT **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(5) SONIC FLARE was used hard early then came on again late for second in a good effort last week. He gets the nod here. (2) SOLARCTIC is a homebred full brother to millionaire Solar Sister and he finds a good spot to debut. It would be no surprise if he gets heavily bet here. (4) THREE DRAGONS exits the same race as the choice and he was involved early then tried a late move. He is in the mix here. (1) ASSASSINS CREED hinted at improvement last week. He can come on late to land in the Tri or Super this time.

Race 2: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

Tough race that has several options; I'll side with (6) UPVOTE HANOVER who goes for the Johnson barn and picks up driver Roy who has been hot. (8) SOMBRE made a sustained move and grabbed the favorite's cover at the right time, but that was an impressive mile and he is a contender right back. (5) ITS HUW YOU KNOW is an obvious threat making his second start out of Moreau's barn; using. (7) HILL OF A COLT would have these at his mercy with anything close to his best, but the big drop into a claimer after missing nine months is concerning; demand a price.

Race 3: CLM HDCP $10,000 to $12,000

(8) LEADER TONIGHT was bet down last week, and he made two moves in a fast mile. He could be a better price tonight and he has a decent chance vs. these. (6) E L WILD SPIRIT was used up early when claimed now he goes for Fellows who is good with these types and he picks up the leading driver; using. Veteran (2) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER rarely throws in a clunker and he should be good for a share in this spot. (5) FERN HILL BREEZE will be better here with his nose back on the gate; consider for the bottom of Tris and Supers.

Race 4: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $33,500 LT - Pick 4

(4) MAJOR BATTLE gets a better post this week and I expect she will be blasting for position near the front early. She can beat these if she gets an aggressive steer. (5) MOUTH WATERING gamely held off a rival that rode her perfect cover to midstretch and she is one that is hard to leave out here. (6) THE BANDIT QUEEN N has had two long uncovered trips in a row. She is another that is capable if she can work out a better trip tonight. (2) KOUNNIS was sharp in victory last week but these are tougher, and I see her taking a small slice this time.

Race 5: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $35,000 LT

(3) REVOLT was a good 2nd to an unbeaten colt last week and he gets the nod here making his second start over the track and coming back in a week. (1) NATIONAL SPORT paced a huge mile to win at a big price last week but that was in a Grassroots race and the semi-final and final is coming soon so I would demand a price here. (6) MENLO PARK was dead game in the lane last week to keep a rival at bay and he is another in with a chance here. (4) GOING FAST rarely misses a check and he is a good one to use on the bottom of Tris and Supers.

Race 6: NW2 (F&M3) or $27,500 LT - Pick 5

(4) TOCCOA FALLS trotted a big mile in defeat last time when coming off a short break and a repeat of that effort would make him tough to beat in here. (5) CHEESES MURPHY trotted a big back 1/2 in his first start out of the Barrington barn and he could pop now at what should be a square price. (7) ROWLEN was relentless last week and although he steps up, he should contend for at least a share. (9) VICTOR INVICTUS gets out of the second tier here and he is likely to be sent forward leaving the gate; using underneath.

Race 7: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000

(4) BROOKLETSJUSTIFIED was picked off late by a tripped-out rival last time. He has a good chance to control this race from the outset. (5) MISSION THREE was first up in that race when claimed by Moreau and he can be closer here if he finds cover. (6) OAKROCK ELDORADO was prominent throughout racing off the Shepherd claim and he is another in with a shot in a contentious race. (7) DARKEST SECRET is worth a look racing off the Fritz claim as he is likely to move up.

Race 8: F&M NW $8,000 L5 or $16,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(7) BESTSELLER HANOVER gets to take a big class drop here and Roy doesn’t fool around in these situations; down the road. (1) SKATER CHICK should be blasting for position here and she can be an Exacta factor at a price. (3) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY gets her nose back on the gate and she is likely to sit an inside following trip then come on late to make it into the Tri or Super. (2) SWIFT ALLY closed a ton last week. She's another who is good to use on the bottom.

Race 9: F&M NW $3,100 L5 or $7,600 L10 - Pick 4

(4) LYONS HEDGEABET was a winner last time she raced at this level and she should get an aggressive steer here; top call. (8) JAN is usually close at this level and from post 8 she could provide some Pick 4 value; using. (7) BACK IN THE GAME is also in a better spot here and she should get put into this race early. I’ll use her underneath. (6) WHISTYS PARADISE can get aggressive at this level and she wouldn't be the worst flyer to take on this card.

Race 10: F&M NW $34,000 L5 or $175K LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000

(6) KENDALL SEELSTER was lights-out beating many of these last week and she gets the call to repeat. (2) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP is as sharp as a tack right now and she should be the main threat. (3) IVANA FLYBYE N races tough every week, but she looks third best here; using on the bottom. (5) ROLL WITH SPARKY should blast for position then stick around to take a share.

Race 11: NW 3 or $62,500 LT

(3) PREEMINENCE gave a good account of herself in Grand Circuit company now she meets a field she should beat if she gets a reasonable trip. (4) MIA CULPA has been dead game while winning two in a row and she could give the choice a race here; using. (5) TUAPEKA JESSIE N hasn't missed the board in eight starts over this track and she will likely continue that streak here. (1) MARY KAT should be closing late to take a slice.

Race 12: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT

(4) DEVIL OR ANGEL raced tough first-over last week but he was outsprinted late by the leader who was unwavering. He looks clearly best in here. (5) CAVIART VAL was in deep racing against unbeaten Enavant and he gave a good account of himself. He can be in this Exacta. (6) FAR BETTER should get a good trip racing on or near the front and he is a good one to use in Tris and Supers. (10) PERSEUS SEELSTER should get an inside following trip and come on late for a share.