Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 9/24

Garnet Barnsdale|Sep 22, 2021

Meet Stats: 248 - 733 / $1,362.30 (-$104.70)

Best Bets: 36 - 67 / $130.20 (-$3.80)

Spot Plays: 20 - 68 / $148.30 (+$12.30)

Best Bet: WATCH ME NOW N (10TH)

Spot Play: SPELLCHECK HANOVER (6TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,4/2,3,4/2,4,8,9/1,3/2,4 = $19.20

Late Pick 5: 2,4/2,6,8/2,3,5/2,5/5 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 1,3/2,4/2,4/2,6,8 = $24

Late Pick 4: 2,3,5/2,5/5/6,9 = $12

Race 1: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(4) MIA CULPA jogged in this class racing in a monsoon on Tuesday night and she will be very tough right back having been double entered to notch two wins this week. (1) SPRINGBRIDGEVISION jogged and beat better last time she shipped in from Ottawa to Mohawk in April. She took more action than you would expect that night so the tote board might provide a clue here. (3) JUST MY SHADOW exits a fast race and she fits best at this level. She should be an exotics player tonight. (2) DOCS HARMONY can be closer here if she avoids another first-up trip; using underneath.

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Race 2: ONTARIO SIRED 3YO Fillies Grassroots Starters in 2021

(3) SHES A SASSY BEACH paced a 26 4/5 third 1/4 first up and she still managed to produce a 27 3/5 kicker. She's sharp now and she will likely offer an overlaid price here; top call. (4) SHES GOT IT ALL is right there every race and she does well with Henry in the bike. She should be a threat again. (2) ANDRA DAY, like many horses, does her best work with McNair in the bike and she is another to consider in a small but competitive field. (7) SHIATZU SEELSTER didn't have much of a chance trying to close into a 27-flat kicker last week. I can see her passing some of these to take a share.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com! ]

Race 3: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

Tough race here. (9) NEVER MIND N steps up and draws wide, but he raced better in his first start out of a new barn and he gets the nod. (8) ARCANUM drops and keep McDonell and can improve sharply in this spot; using. (2) EXEMPLAR’s recent form is improving and he is another in with a chance here. (4) WHAT A RUSH appears to have errors in his race line as he was never 4th and I can’t see where he went off stride. He can close for a share here, however.

Race 4: F&M NW $9,000 L5 or $19,000 LT AE: NW $60,000 or 4 races LT - Pick 4

(3) GAME OF SHADOWS never got into the race last week in a race where she was on too much cover. She should be more aggressive here and she can beat these if she gets put into the race. (1) SETTN A PRECEDENT has been lights out recently and she will be the one to fear late in this mile. (2) TOWN DELINQUENT gets McNair back and she draws inside tonight. She can take a share here. (7) TWIN B TIPSTER was game in defeat last week and she is sharp. She should be in the exotics mix.

Race 5: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 3YO FILLIES

(2) VOELZ DELIGHT stands out here off her strong performance in the Fan Hanover and she gets top billing. (4) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN got a perfect trip last week and she converted, taking a new life's mark in the process. She should be the main danger. (8) WESTERN WISH's best efforts have come in these Gold races and she will offer a much better price this week. She has upset potential. (1) AINT SHE PERFECT is capable of better than she showed last time; consider for the exotics.

Race 6: F&M NW $6,300 L5 or $13,000 L10 - Pick 5

(4) SPELLCHECK HANOVER faces elders here but this should be easier than racing against sophomore Grand Circuit fillies. She should wake up in this spot. (2) LADY ROCKNROLLA A led to deep stretch in a good effort last week and she should be right in the mix again tonight. (3) THIS DRAGON ROCKS was first up last week and that's not her best trip. She should be part of the Tri tonight. (1) BORN A DRAGON should improve with the move inside; using underneath.

Race 7: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $63,000

(2) CENTURY HANNIBAL gave a big favorite a scare last week and this is a spot where he seems to fit well; top call. (8) LANCASTER BOMBER acquitted himself decently in the Simcoe and he should be the one to overhaul here. He's on my multi-race tickets. (6) CAPTAINOFROCKNROLL is fast enough to compete with these if he is ready to fire off the layoff; price look. (4) CONTROL HEAVEN has raced over his head the past two races. He can take a share vs. these.

Race 8: Ontario Sired 3YO Grassroots Starters in 2021 - Pick 4

(5) NO PLAN INTENDED raced tough from an outside post last time and he was game in defeat. He has a big shot here starting from the middle of the gate. (2) STONEBRIDGE REX is always tough in this company and if he steals a breather that makes him very hard to catch; using. (3) PROLINE should be closer early tonight but he might not get the pace he needs in this short field; using underneath. (7) MUSTANG BEACH got a lucky trip last week and he converted. I see him taking a small share here.

Race 9: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $31,000 LT

(5) CONTROL ME ONCE has been solid in every start at Mohawk Park and he figures to be tough to beat racing near the front again. (2) SARATOGA BLUE CHIP has shown he has the speed to contend here, especially if he produces an effort like he did two starts back; using. (7) BELIEVE IN BRIAN closed late to nab 2nd behind a colt that uncorked a huge mile. He can share here, too. (8) HESINCONTROL fits at this level and he should be in the exotics mix.

Race 10: F&M NW $28,000 L5 or $175,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000

(5) WATCH ME NOW N missed the final of the Milton and she faces considerably easier here. She's a multi-race single for me. (6) KENDALL SEELSTER was in tough against the boys and she fits better here Exacta factor. (4) BETTER BE DONNA N was closest to a 1 to 2 shot last time and she should be in the exotics mix again. (1) LYONS TILT HANOVER can take another small share using her strong late kick.

Race 11: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT

(6) DIVINE DEO was moving fastest when the horses hit the wire; now she draws better. I'll give her the call to upset. (9) RACING FORTHE MARK couldn’t have looked any better dominating in the slop in her local debut. She's the one to beat. (2) MY ONLY SUNSHINE dug in to win last week but she loses Macdonald who goes to (4) A BETTER GAME. I'll be using both of these fillies underneath. (3) MY MOTHER PEARL is in the mix every week. She might be rated a bit low here based on her last three starts.