Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 9/17

Meet Stats: 232 - 677 / $1,250.90 (-$103.10)

Best Bets: 33 - 62 / $120.50 (-$3.50)

Spot Plays: 20 - 63 / $148.30 (+$22.30)

Best Bet: GAME OF SHADOWS (10TH)

Spot Play: ALUMINI SEELSTER (8TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,9/7/1/2,4,7,9/1,2,5,9 = $6.40

Late Pick 5: 3/2,3,6/3,4/4,7,8/7 = $3.60

Early Pick 4: 2,4,7,9/1,2,5,9/3/2,3,6 = $48

Late Pick 4: 4,7,8/7/2,3,6/3,6 = $18

Race 1: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 3YO FILLIES **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(9) CYCLONE SISTER made a second move on the winner last week but that filly wasn't going to be passed after stealing a 58 4/5 middle 1/2. She should be all business tonight with some Grassroots points on the line; top call. (3) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL is showing the signs of reaching peak form and she should be flying late tonight; using. (5) GOT SEXY SCARS has only missed the Exacta once in 10 starts this year and she should be in the hunt for a good share here. (6) SHES A SASSY BEACH looked much better last week and she is worth a look for use underneath.

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Race 2: NW $5,000 L5 or NW $10,500 L10 AE: OPT CLAIMING $18,000

(7) H P BRUXELLES takes a big drop tonight and this is a field she is supposed to handle. Expect an aggressive Henry steer. (1) SUPERLATIVE broke at 2 to 5 when she dropped to the bottom. The rail likely isn't the best post for her, but I can see her making a late charge for 2nd. (2) WHAT A RUSH closed well for Macdonald last week and he can be part of the exotics again tonight. (3) VILLEFRANCHE AS was decent in a race where she needed a clean line and she should land in the Tri or Super again if she stays flat tonight.

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Race 3: MILTON PACE Elimination 3YO and Older Fillies and Mares

(1) LYONS SENTINEL is too good right now for me to pick against. (3) WARRAWEE UBEAUT is razor-sharp right now and if there is one that might take down the choice, it is likely her. (5) KEEP ROCKIN A had an impossible trip in the Roses Are Red final and she was still only beaten five lengths. She should be in the Tri tonight. (4) PEAKY SNEAKY is yet to register a win this year but she is capable on her best. I'll watch her with an eye to a possible upset play next week.

Race 4: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 3YO FILLIES - Pick 4

(7) VOLUPTUOUS was sharp in victory here last week and she gets the call to repeat vs. similar Grassroots rivals tonight. (2) SHES GOT IT ALL was 2nd to a very good filly last time and she figures to be the one that the choice will need to beat here. (4) SHIATZU SEELSTER is a good Grassroots performer that brings a consistent effort every time and she should be in the exotics mix again. (9) SWEET PINK would be rated higher from a better post; using underneath.

Race 5: F&M NW $9,000 L5 or $26,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(9) IVANA FLYBYE N should have a good chance to boss this group on the multi-level class drop and she gets the nod. (1) THIS DRAGON ROCKS made a decent late charge last week considering she was poorly positioned. She gets major post relief now and she is worth using on multi-race tickets. (5) WESTBEACH drops a few levels and she will take action here. She can win, but I'm not convinced she is worth taking a short price on. (2) KICKIN COWGIRL was a well-backed winner at a similar level here two starts back and she should be another that could win this if she gets a trip.

Race 6: MILTON PACE Elimination 3YO and Older Fillies and Mares - Pick 5

(3) ROCKNIFICENT raced well in both starts here and she was beat by the razor-sharp Lyons Sentinel who tripped out in the Roses Are Red final. (7) DRAMA ACT has been a win machine in Ohio and she is right there every week no matter what trip she gets. She should be an Exacta factor tonight. (1) SO MUCH MORE never throws a bad race and she should be in the mix again tonight getting major post relief. (6) WATCH ME NOW N is interesting coming off a big mile and going into the Montini barn, but I'll use her underneath.

Race 7: NW3 (F&M5) or $40,000 (F&M $51,000)

(6) AUNT IRENE is winless this year but this is a field that she should beat and she gets top call. (3) WARRAWEE WHISPER is the other filly dropping out of stakes company and she figures to contend from close range here; using. (2) IGLARE AM is as sharp as a tack right now and Macdonald is a good partner for her. These are tougher, but she might be this good. She could go off as an overlay here. (9) HAWAII was a close second in the Casual Breeze but that wasn't the toughest Grand Circuit field. I'll use her underneath here.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 3YO FILLIES

(4) ALUMNI SEELSTER stayed sharp racing against Gold types and she gets top billing here facing Grassroots foes again and starting from a good post. (3) ANDRA DAY has a similar profile and she races best at this level; using. (2) DOCS DELIGHT is capable of being close if she brings her best race, but I prefer to use her underneath in this spot. (1) KATYS DELIGHT can close for another small share here.

Race 9: ARMBRO FLIGHT FINAL F&M 3YO and Older - Pick 4

(4) WHEN DOVESCRY seems to be peaking when others might not be and she draws the best post here; call to upset. (8) MANCHEGO wasn't at her best in the Maple Leaf Trot, perhaps affected by the time off. She can never be counted out. (7) ATLANTA has always shown an affinity for this track and she should e in the hunt again tonight. (6) SORELLA simply hasn’t been as good this year. I'll tab her for a small share.

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Race 10: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS 3YO FILLIES

(7) GAME OF SHADOWS drops into Grassroots from the Grand Circuit and this is a field that she is supposed to handle with ease. (2) AMINI has a good chance to land in the choice's pocket here and that makes her an Exacta factor. (5) OURLITTLEMIRACLE has developed a good late kick. She should be part of the Tri or Super. (6) VILLAGE JADE was 2nd last time she raced in Grassroots and she is another one to consider for the exotics.

Race 11: F&M 5YO and Younger NW5 or $100,000 LT

(2) WESTERN WISH made a couple of moves to beat similar last time and she continues to race tough every time; call to repeat. (6) JODY beat the choice two starts back but she was out of position last time. She is a threat if she gets put into the race. (3) SOMEWHERE NORTH got shuffled from first to second last and re-rallied to close on the choice late. She could win this if she gets a better trip. (1) DABARNDAWGSWATCHING was narrowly beaten by the choice two starts back. She is another that is capable but I'm inclined to use her underneath because of the date of her most recent start.

Race 12: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or NW $14,500 L10

(3) LADY ROCKNROLLA A drops off a solid closing effort and she gets top call here facing a couple of others that are getting class relief. (6) LAURAS LOVE failed twice in a row at odds on vs. tougher. She was first up in both of those races and she drops again tonight; speed blast coming? (5) SUNDAY AFTERNOON is another that will probably get more aggressive in this class and she should be good for a share racing from close range. (2) MARY KAT should get positioned in the top five early and ride a trip to a spot in the Super or High-5. (1) JUST MY SHADOW brings some good form in from Rideau Carlton and she is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics at a price.