Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 9/11

Meet Stats: 208 - 659/ $1143.40 (-$174.60)
Best Bets: 33 - 59 / $111.40 (-$6.60)
Spot Plays: 11 - 61 / $85.30 (-$36.70)

Best Bet: SWEET DEISEL (10TH)
Spot Play: KLOOF STREET (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,3,8,9/5,6/2,5/4,7,8,10/4,5 = $25.60
Late Pick 5: 2,6/3,9/6/1,2,3,6,8/6,10 = $8
Early Pick 4: 4,7,8,10/4,5/2,4,6/3,9 = $9.60
Late Pick 4: 6,10/1,5,7/2,9/2,4,9 = $36

Race 1: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $18,500 LT **GTD $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) COVER STORY drops back into a NW2 where she raced well on July 28th and I'll give her the nod to upset (2) NECTAR, who is likely to be heavily bet dropping out of a Grand Circuit race. (9) NICE KITTY HANOVER exploded late to win at a big price on August 18th and I'll use her in this Pick 5 expecting a square price from the 9-hole. (8) UPTOWN CALLIE is another that is capable if she can work a decent trip out from post 8.

Race 2: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(5) TWIN B TIPSTER takes a multi-level class drop and moves off the worst post. She should be tough in here.(6) JAN also drops and she could get position on the choice early. She's the other one that I’ll use in this Pick 5. (8) VILLAGE JAMIE gets slight post relief here and she may be close enough to hit the ticket at a price. (2) NAUGHTY LADY B is likely to take a following trip following a failed speed try and she should be in the Super.

Race 3: SIMCOE 3YO FILLIES

(2) FORTUNE STARLET's romp vs. NW2 on September 4th sets her up perfectly for this stakes try and she should be tough to beat. (5) MCKEES ANGEL looks for her second stakes win in a row and if she stays flat, she should give the choice a battle. (1) WHOSE BLUES doesn't have to chase superstar filly Sorella and that puts her in the picture here. (7) WARRAWEE VICKY should make it into the Tri or Super if she stays trotting this time.

Race 4: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000 - Pick 4

(4) MISSION THREE races off the Fellows claim here and he draws better than his main rival so I'll give him a slight nod. (10) BUDDHA BLUE CHIP continues to roll right along but it might be worth trying to beat him here after he drew a second-tier post. (8) ALLSTAR SEELSTER fell just short of wiring conditioned foes on September 7th and he should be a speed threat again here, (7) MACH IMPACT's most recent race puts him in the mix for at least a share.

Race 5: F&M NW $19,000 L5 or $31,500 L10 or NW $110,000 LT AE: NW $3,000 Per Start in 2020

(4) KLOOF STREET drops and she could get the same golden trip that she got two starts back when she sat (5) IVANA FLYBYE N's pocket then pounced late; top call. The latter is in stellar form and she is clearly the one to beat. (10) SUNNY DEE has improving form and she can close for a piece of this. (9) DONT STOP BELIEVIN fits well here but starting from out there a small share is likely her ceiling.

Race 6: SIMCOE 3YO OPEN - Pick 5

(6) THREEFIFTYTWO took a week off after tiring in his Goodtimes elimination and I expect a bounce-back effort here. (2) CAPORNICUS moves up by default with Ready For Moni not here; using. (4) HAYEK should last longer in this spot and he isn't without a chance. (7) BEYOND KRONOS didn't get any breaks at the draw but he should be good for a piece of this.

Race 7: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $20,000 L10

(3) SYLPH HANOVER has a better post from which to blast off the gate here and she could lead these all the way. (9) SKATER CHICK's last effort was quite good and she could upset these if she can find a live helmet this time. (1) LADY ROCKNROLLA A is not out of this stepping up off a sharp win but she'll need to be faster in this class. (10) TAJMEALLOVER should get a better start here following the #1 and she could sneak into the exotics at a price.

Race 8: SIMCOE 3YO FILLIES

(6) RAMONA HILL; enough said. (5) TRINA had a good tightener for this racing in open company and I like her chances of completing the Exacta. (1) SUSIES LADY keeps improving and she should be good for a share in here. (3) MODERN MASS will likely look for a following trip and then fight for scraps with the others not named Ramona Hill.

Race 9: FILLIES AND MARES PREFERRED

(6) SO MUCH MORE gave a good account of herself chasing WARRAWEE UBEAUT in the Roses Are Red and I'll give her a slight nod in a contentious race here. (1) TALL DRINK HANOVER can build off her first 2020 win which came here in this class in August and she should be a threat here. (3) TREACHEROUS REIGN is always in the mix with these and she is hard to leave off Tri bets. (2) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP has never been better and she wouldn’t be the worst flyer to take on this card.

Race 10: NW3 or $61,000 LT – Pick 4

(6) SWEET DEISEL just beat non-winners of six at Pocono and took a new life's mark now he races out of the Robinson barn and picks up Henry to drive. He's hard to go past here. (10) TWIN B FRENCHTOAST exits a lightning fast mile and he could be the one the choice is trying to fend off late. (5) NIGHT WATCHMAN has been in tough recently. He can take a share racing from close range. (1) BRONSONS DELIGHT can stalk and come on late for a slice.

Race 11: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $13,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $18,000

(1) SANDBETWEENURTOES raced much better when dropped to this level last time now she moves inside 8 posts; top call. (5) JUST MY SHADOW took plenty of action last week after shipping in from Ottawa and she raced well. She moves up but is a contender here. (7) BACK IN THE GAME has a better chance here moving to a better post and she should be a speed threat. (8) DEB is dropping but she could get stung early if she tries to make front; demand a price.

Race 12: NW $16,500 L5 or $30,500 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(2) ALWAYS A HOTSHOT drops and likely pops here. (9) NOCTURNAL BLUE CHIP had a start back and he too drops. Henry could be sending him and that makes him a threat despite his post. (4) MONGOLIAN HERO N responded to the driver change to Filion and notched an upset in a good effort. A couple of these are tougher so I'll use him underneath. (1) WESTERN EXPOSURE was kicking well late last week; he could land in the Super here.

Race 13: F&M 4YO and Younger NW3 or $31,000 LT

(2) THE BANDIT QUEEN N had a nice first local start now she draws well and gets Gingras to drive in a spot that shouldn't be that tough; top call. (4) MIA CULPA has been racing well vs. Some tough ones recently and she is a must-use for me here. (9) NEED UR OPINION comes off some strong efforts and if the intent is there in between Grassroots starts, J Mac could fire here right to the front from out there; using. (1) KEYSTONE KALIMBA often shares and she should be good for a slice here starting from the inside. (7) HALLSGLENSMAVIS faces tougher but she has a great record and she can make it into this High-5.