Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 9/10

Meet Stats: 220 –- 623 / $1,172.10 (-$91.90)

Best Bets: 31 - 58 / $115.40 (-$0.60)

Spot Plays: 19 - 58 / $144.90 (+$28.90)

Best Bet: LYONS TILT HANOVER (7TH)

Spot Play: NICE KITTY HANOVER (10TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,3,7/1,3,7/2,9/5,9/4,5 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 3,4,6,7/5/3,4,6,7/1,6/3,7,9 = $19.20

Early Pick 4: 5,9/4,5/3,4,6,7/5 = $16

Late Pick 4: 5/3,4,6,7/1,6/3,7,9

Race 1: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $62,500 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) AINT SHE PERFECT had an impossible trip in the Simcoe and she still kept coming. She can handle this group and she gets top call. (7) NECTAR was absolutely airborne at the wire last week but the leaders weren't stopping because of the slow early fractions. The small field should help her tonight; using. (2) NIGHTLIFE SEELSTER has faced a steady diet of tougher fillies and she should be heard from tonight, likely racing close to the front. She's not out of this. (1) BEST KEEPSAKE finished just ahead of Nectar and she can take a share tonight.

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Race 2: WILLIAM WELLWOOD CONSOLATION 2 YEAR OLDS

(3) DELGADO made two moves in his elimination in a decent effort. He rarely gets bet and Young isn't shy to put him into play. I'm hoping for a good price here tonight. (1) SAFE CONDUCT fits well here and he should be able to make a move of his own vs. these. He is the second of three in this race that I'll use in this Pick 5. (7) DEVEREAUX SEELSTER is capable of a strong late brush if he stays flat this week. The Millard Farms stakes winner is another possibility. (6) DRINKS AT HOME should be good for a small share in this spot.

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Race 3: F&M NW $3,650 L5 or NW $7,000 L10

(9) MARY KAT should be formidable here dropping to the bottom conditioned level and an aggressive Macdonald steer is likely; top call. (2) QUESO RELLENO tripped out to win and take a new life's mark at a similar level two starts back and she could get another favorable journey here; using. (6) TUAPEKA JESSIE N fits well at this level and from a good post she should take a nice share tonight. (5) DOCS HARMONY is another that takes a class drop but I prefer to use her underneath the top three choices.

Race 4: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $16,000 LT AE: 3YO Fillies who are NW $1,100 L5 - Pick 4

(9) AMERICAN TICKET was even money in a Grand Circuit race last time now she faces non-winner of two; enough said. (5) STATE OF MIND finishes well in her first race in five months and she has some upset appeal here; using. (3) CONTROL THE THONG produced her best effort in a few starts last week. I see her landing in the Tri again. (7) VILLAGE JADE should be forwardly-placed early again and she could beat this prediction if she gets another good trip.

Race 5: SIMCOE 3YO FILLIES

(4) AMAZONE DUHARAS is drawn perfectly to get another great trip racing near the front and she gets the nod to take another Grand Circuit win. (5) IMEXTRASPECIAL gets to dodge hot HP Mama B and she should give the choice all she can handle tonight; using. (7) UP AND READY is right there every race and she should be part of the Tri again tonight. (6) YOU WILL BE QUEEN has improving form and she is worth using underneath at a price.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRED 3YO FILLIES GRASSROOTS STARTERS in 2021 - Pick 5

This looks like a good spot for (7) SWEET PINK to set sail for the front leaving and never look back; top call. (3) SHIATZU SEELSTER is a good bet to sit in the choice's pocket and that gives her a chance tonight; using. (4) CARSONS GOUDA is improving rapidly and she isn't out of this although I wonder if she might get overbet in this spot. (6) OURLITTLEMIRACLE has been finishing fast in her recent miles and she can pass some of these to take a share.

Race 7: F&M NW $20,000 L5 or $26,000 L10 or NW $160,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000 - Pick 4

(5) LYONS TILT HANOVER was first up in a paceless race trying to gain in a 26 2/5 final 1/4 which was mission impossible. There should be more action early here and I look for her to roll by the leaders late. (4) MACHNHOPE and (7) GIAS SURREAL both command resect dropping out of the Roses Are Red final but their presence will also boost the price on the choice. I'll try to beat them. (6) SNOW SHARK should pass a few of these late to take a share.

Race 8: NW $5,300 L5 or $10,000 L10

(3) OKEANOS faces easier here and he this is a race that he should win if he stays flat. (6) LIFE IS A FEAST took advantage of a slowing late pace last week, but he still passed seven horses in the stretch to get up for the win which isn’t something you see every night. I'll toss him in multi-race wagers. (4) SHES GOT PIZAZZ improved in her second start back and she fits well here. She is another possibility for late multi-race bets. (7) WHAT A RUSH has had some past success here with driver Macdonald and he is worth a look for the exotics tonight.

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Race 9: Ont. Sired 3YO Fillies Grassroots Starters in 2021

(6) VOLUPTUOUS should make front leaving the gate tonight and she may get some soft fractions with these fillies racing between Grassroots starts; top call. (1) CYCLONE SISTER has really taken off in the past month and her last effort was excellent in defeat. She is the one to fear. (2) AMINI can get position at the start and ride it to a high placing; using underneath. (5) SPORTS DUCHESS never misses the top four and she should be part of the Super again tonight.

Race 10: F&M NW $9,000 L5 or $22,500 L10 AE: NW $130,000 LT

(3) NICE KITTY HANOVER paced a blistering 26 3/5 second 1/4 to make front and a 54-flat middle 1/2 in a move that was destined to fail and she was still clear in the lane until midstretch. She should get a better trip here and she gets the nod. (9) ROSE RUN VICTORY should be much better by default plummeting several classes and she is on my multi-race tickets. (7) LADY ARTHUR gets away from the Grand Circuit here and she is another that should improve sharply; using. (6) LAURAS LOVE couldn't seal the deal as the 4 to 5 chalk now she faces a tougher group; using underneath. (10) MY BABY GIRL would be rated higher from a better post but from out there I can only use her on the bottom.