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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 8/7

Garnet Barnsdale|Aug 05, 2020
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Meet Stats: 131-448/ $693.70 (-$221.30)
Best Bets: 22-41/ $70.20 (-$11.80)
Spot Plays: 9-42 / $64.90 (-$19.10)
Best Bet:
GAME OF SHADOWS (9TH)
Spot Play: SUNDAY AFTERNOON (11TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,7,8/2,5/2,3,7,8/2,4,5/4,7 = $28.80
Late Pick 5: 4,7,8,9/6,8,9/1,3,7/6/5 = $4.80
Early Pick 4: 2,4,5/4,7/4,7,9/6,8 = $36
Late Pick 4: 1,3,7/6/5/2,5,9 = $9

Race 1: Ontario Sired 2YO Fillies NW $9,500 LT **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(7) JOLIETTE HANOVER, a $50,000 Harrisburg buy, is a 1/2-sister to two $700,000 earners and she is sent out for a barn that likes to win early; top call. (8) TREASURES GEM can improve with a race under her belt and her barn continues to run hot; using. (1) NIGHTLIFE SEELSTER, a $72,000 London Selected Sale buy, is a 1/2-sister to millionaire Nirvana Seelster and she looks ready to contend at first asking; exotics factor. (5) WILDCAT VICTORIA is interesting here coming in with a warmup race at Kawartha under her belt and getting a notable driver change to Roy. Consider using her underneath at a price.

Race 2: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(5) KNIGHT ANGEL drops to a good spot here after Roy had a test drive last week against better starting from the worst post. He can break the goose egg in the 2020 win column here. (2) MANOFMANYIMAGES should be the main threat shipping in to face easier and getting aggressive teamster Henry in the bike. (6) PINK PISTOL was game beating weaker last week and she can take a slice here. (9) CINDY LYNN takes a big class drop here but from post 9 I will watch her for next week where she may get to drop to the bottom conditioned level.

Race 3: 2 Year Old Fillies

(2) JACKIEOFALLTRADES flashed good speed both early and late to win her debut and I'll give her a slight nod in a contentious race. (3) ALUMNI SEELSTER gets post relief here so she should be in the thick of the action in a race where she fits well. (8) TWIN B SUNKISSED fits much better here and Henry is likely to put her into play early; using. (7) CL SPORTSEXTREME puts an unbeaten record on the line, and she is hard to toss, but she will likely need more late speed to beat all these fillies.

Race 4: F&M NW $10,000 L5 or $20,000 L10 or NW $76,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000 - Pick 4

(4) MANHATTAN AGAIN fell just short to the tough Hello Love last week and this appears to be a good spot for her; slight nod. (5) GOLD ORCHID N takes a big class plunge and she is sure to be more aggressive early here. She's hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (2) FIREBBY A shows improving form at Pocono and last time she shipped in here (in June 2018) she was racing much higher and she won a Mares Preferred right away; using. (10) TAJMEALLOVER has been in great form the past month and she should be part of this Super.

Race 5: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000

Tough race with four horses racing off the fresh claim, but I'll side with (7) SOMBRE, who could move up off the Fellows claim here. (4) DR SPENGLER always looked like he was going to roll by some battling leaders last week and he should be tough coming right back in the same class. (5) ITS HUW YOU KNOW goes for a barn that often pops first time off the claim and he is another possibility here. (10) SPARE SEED will pass some of these if he stays flat; consider for the exotics at a price.

Race 6: Ontario Sired 2YO Fillies NW $9,500 LT – Pick 5

(9) PLAIN JANE got hung out then broke heading to the 1/2 in her Battle of the Belles elimination. The filly that she was battling with finished 2nd in the final and if this filly clears early here, she may lead all the way. (7) SPORTSDRINK finished with good energy last week and she can be a late threat here. (4) CONTROL THE THONG finds a good spot to debut and she brings two good qualifying wins with her. She would be no surprise here. (8) DIAMONDS OR TWINE shows two decent races at Mohawk Park and she is another who could pop in the opening leg of the late Pick 5.

Race 7: NW $3,000 L5 r $7,000 L10

(8) SORTIE is always risky because of his gait issues, but he looks best here on the class drop and if he trots, he should find a way to beat these. (6) VEYRON is also facing much easier here and Jamieson is likely to put him into the race early. He should be the main danger. (9) JUMPSHOT was interfered with on July 21st or he would have been closer at the finish. He is a price possibility here. (2) WHAT A RUSH should start better here and that gives him a chance to land in the money.

Race 8: F&M NW $16,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000 – Pick 4

(1) SPORTY TORI drops out of a much tougher spot and draws well. I'll give her a slight nod in a tough race. (3) WATCH MY LUCK just took a new life's mark and the barn has them all racing well currently; using. (7) SANDBETWEENURTOES races best for McNair and he returns here. She is another possibility in a race that has many. (5) ROLL WITH SPARKY set solid splits but she was no match for Watch My Luck late. She is best used underneath.

Race 9: Ontario Sired 2YO Fillies NW $9,500 LT

(6) GAME OF SHADOWS takes a big drop here and she should break her maiden in this spot. (1) STEELMEATREASURE improved sharply last time and she could add some value to the Exacta. (5) COME ON SUN tripped out to win, but she still figures to be in this Tri. (7) SOCIETY JILL raced in a Gold in her lone pari-mutuel race but now she has missed a month. Demand a price if you like her.

Race 10: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(5) CHOCOLATEMILKTOAST's effort two starts back vs. much better was excellent then she missed a check last week which allows her to drop to the bottom conditioned level which should be a good spot for her; top call. (3) WHISTYS PARADISE is another mare who should appreciate the class drop to the bottom and from a good post she figures to be right there at the wire. (7) DEB could set up shop on the front leaving the gate here and if she is left unchallenged for a while, she may get brave in this spot. Consider using as a multi-race price option. (10) GIGGLE HANOVER's form is improving and I can see her hitting the board against this group.

Race 11: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $13,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $18,000

This race will likely come down to the class droppers, and the one that drew best, (2) SUNDAY AFTERNOON, gets the nod. (5) TRIP ACES HANOVER has been flashing early speed against better and she should put herself in position here to have a good shot vs. these. (9) KLOOF STREET is also capable on the drop, but she is likely best used underneath from out there with so many quick leavers lined up to her left. (10) JAN rarely misses a check when racing at this level and she should pass some of these late to land in the High-5. (1) LIVELY ROCKET is likely to ride the pylons to a good trip and she may sneak into the High-5 at a price.

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