Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 8/6

Meet Stats: 132 – 387 / $745.30 (-$28.70)

Best Bets: 19 – 37 / $76.60 (+$2.60)

Spot Plays: 15 – 37 / $102.40 (+$28.40)

Best Bet: MARY KAT (8TH)

Spot Play: TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 5/3,4,8/3,7,9/1,3,6/4,5,9,10 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 2,7,8/5/6/2,3,4,5/3,6,7 = $7.20

Early Pick 4: 1,3,6/4,5,9,10/2,7,8/5 = $36

Late Pick 4: 6/2,3,4,5/3,6,7/2,4,5 = $36

Race 1: Ont. Sired 2YO NW1 or $7,000 LT **$100,000 GTD Pick 5**

(5) SUNDANCE LOU should improve sharply dropping out of fast Gold races to face maidens tonight. Jamieson will likely look to impose his will early in the mile. (3) AIRY SHADOW was much better last week with McNair back in the bike and he has a good chance to complete another Exacta here. (6) CONTACT ZONE was picked off late in the mile by a sharp rival last week. He figures to be in the mix again. (7) SHARKY BEAR’s debut was decent enough to suggest that he can land in the Super in this field.

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Race 2: Ont. Sired 2YO NW2 or $20,000 LT

(3) STONEBRIDGE HELIOS should be tough to beat coming off a two-move 1:51 4/5 score here but remember that he has been off three weeks and his next start will be in a $100K Gold race before you take too low of a price. (8) DYNOMITES PEAK should be helped by the short field here and he might just pass them all late; using. (4) BOB LOBLAW should appreciate getting back on the big track and he can be part of the Tri tonight. (5) HES STALKING YOU raced much better last time and he looked smoother while breaking his maiden but this is much tougher. I'll use him on the bottom.

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Race 3: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(3) SOMBRE was a winner last time he raced this low and this isn't a tough spot. I think he gets back on track here. (7) BRONZE YANKEE couldn't find a seat last week so he drove on and he was hung the mile by the class-dropping 3 to 5 leader who went on to win. He can be much better here with an expected better trip. This is the proper class for (9) INTENSE JUSTICE and if he is in range at the head of the lane, he can win. I'll use him in the Pick 4. (5) LIFE IS A FEAST needs a clean line here. If he stays flat, I see him rallying for a share.

Race 4: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT - Pick 4

(6) BELINA tripped out to break her maiden but she had to kick it into high gear in the lane to get past a stubborn leader and she responded. The one she beat has already come back to win and she gets the call to repeat. (1) NORTHERN LUXURY was over bet last week but she did get the job done and we likely haven't seen her best yet; using. (3) CONTROL THE THONG is improving and Macdonald continues to win with everything; upset chance. (5) LADY AKILA should be good for another small share.

Race 5: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(5) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY was a rallying third in a fast race two starts back and she figures to get a strong pace in front of her tonight; call to upset. (9) MAJOR LEAGUE N drops to the bottom here and she is obviously the one to catch but she is hard to trust considering her current form. I couldn't take a short price here. (10) MIA CULPA takes a big class drop here and she is capable (see her win six starts back one level higher) but from post 10 will make things interesting; your call. (4) SUNDAY AFTERNOON should get a slice here starting from a much better post.

Race 6: F&M 4YO and Younger NW2 or $30K LT or NW3 or $50K (To Draw Outside) - Pick 5

They don't come bred much better than (2) VIVA LA DEO and the $200K Lexington purchase has come around in the past couple of months after an inauspicious start to her career. She should have a good chance in this spot. (8) PAULAS BET HANOVER, 5th in the Breeders Crown final last year, certainly isn't overmatched in this field and she looks well prepared for this; using. (7) SMILE BY THE BEACH took a while to get into high gear in the lane last week but she did finish with good energy. She comes back quicker here and she is in with shot. (4) BAYWATCHING has good recent form and she should sit another good trip and take a share.

Race 7: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 3YO Fillies

(5) IMEXTRASPECIAL keeps managing to find good trips and capitalizing but I can see her wiring this group for $100K and she gets top call. (1) RUBYS ARE NICE closed like a wild horse in the final strides last week and while I don't blame them for trying Gold off that effort, these are much tougher. I'll use her underneath. (4) DASHING MUSCLE cut the mile for the choice last time and that was a good effort. She is in the hunt again. (9) UP AND READY is around the money every start and she should be part of the Tri or Super.

Race 8: F&M NW $5,000 L5 or NW $11,000 L10 AE: NW $60,000 LT - Pick 4

(6) MARY KAT drops multiple class levels and she has to beat these tonight you'd think. (8) NECTAR frequently outraces her odds and she could provide some value to the Exacta here. (7) ROSE RUN VICTORY looks like she is reaching peak form and she should close for a good share tonight. (1) BORN A DRAGON is another dropper that should be part of the Tri or Super.

Race 9: Ont. Sired 2YO NW1 or $7,000 LT

(3) WEST IS BEST showed improvement in his second start now he faces straight maidens where Henry is likely to get more aggressive with him; top call. (2) OUTCLASSED paced a nice back 1/2 in his local debut and he can be right there vs. these; using. (4) JUJU HANOVER is another in with a chance here if he stays flat this time and his price is sure to go up. (5) ALMOST THERE BOSS has been a bit one-paced late in both starts but those were Grassroots races and he can improve here. He is another to consider for multi-race tickets in a race with a few legitimate contenders.

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Race 10: F&M NW $15,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $120,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $30K

(6) LYONS TILT HANOVER is in peak form and she will only need to pass six mares to run her win streak to three. I could see her taking a new lifetime best tonight. (3) MY BABY GIRL is an obvious threat having won at a higher class two starts back before stepping into the deep end testing Preferred mares. She is the one to beat. (7) TANGO DANCER N ships north with good form and she should be in the mix for a share in her local debut. (2) LADY ROCKNROLLA A is likely to revert to closing tactics here after a failed front end try vs. easier. She can land in the Super tonight.

Race 11: NW $5,000 L5 or $10,000 L10

(5) PROFOUND PARAGON fits well in this class and she picks up Filion here. A winner of 14 of her last 24 races, she should get an aggressive steer in a race with no standouts. (4) TIMESTORM moves into the Auciello barn coming off a dominant win in Ohio. This is a tougher field, but he can be a big speed threat, nonetheless. (2) HEAD TURNING JAG is a contender on the class drop and I could see Henry trying a brush and crush move on the backstretch; using. (3) SPRUCE CREEK has been finishing her miles well recently. She should be part of the High-5. (1) LEFKADA should be good for a share off an inside following trip.