Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 8/5

Meet Stats: 409 - 1287 / $2,166.80 (-$387.20)
Best Bets: 67 - 119 / $234.40 (-$3.60)
Spot Plays: 34 - 119 / $244.70 (+$6.70)
Best Bet: MAGNIFICENT SEVEN (10TH)
Spot Play: WHATCHULOOKIN AT (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,5/3,4/3/4,6,8/1,8,9 = $7.20
Late Pick 5: 3,8/3,7/5,6/6,7/4 = $3.20
Early Pick 4: 4,8,10/1,8,9/3,8/3,7 = $36
Late Pick 4: 5,6/6,7/4/6,7,8 = $24
Race 1: POP UP SERIES: HORSES THAT HAVE RACED FOR A PURSE OF $10,000 OR LESS IN ONE OF LAST 3 STARTS OR NW $25,000 IN 2022 AE: 1ST LEG STARTERS **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(5) ANDY OVER woke up three starts back and he has been really good since. He fits well in this Pop-Up field and he gets top call to kick off the Pick 5. (2) HANG ON BABY is interesting showing up here in that she has already won in the Grassroots. She can beat these if driven aggressively. (6) MYSTIC is in good form and he should get placed closer to the front early in this mile. He is another one in with a chance. (4) RED OVERBACH was less than three lengths behind the choice last time. He is in the exotics mix tonight.
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Race 2: DREAM MAKER: 2 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS. 2ND LEG.
Double Gold winner (4) STOCKADE SEELSTER missed the first leg of this series so there should be a sense of urgency here. He has looked terrific in both wins and he gets the nod to keep his unbeaten streak rolling. (3) HUNGRY MAN was flying late last week in a sharp effort and he will probably be the one to fend off late. (2) STORMALONG is in tougher tonight after taking one of the opening legs of this series. I'll use him underneath here. (7) REDWOOD HANOVER should pass a few of these and land in the exotics.
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Race 3: POP UP SERIES: HORSES THAT HAVE RACED FOR A PURSE OF $10,000 OR LESS IN ONE OF LAST 3 STARTS OR NW $25,000 IN 2022 AE: 1ST LEG STARTERS
(3) HAWAII dominated last week and this looks like an easier field. She will be a Pick 5 single for me. (4) GLIDER MAN raced okay to be beaten only three lengths to Villefranche AS. He can be an Exacta factor tonight. (8) VICTOR INVICTUS should pass many of these in the back 1/2 and he can add some value to the bottom of the exotics. (1) WRAP AND A HOOEY is sharp right now and he can close for a share.
Race 4: 2 YEAR OLD COLTS & GELDINGS: NW $14,000 LIFETIME - Pick 4
(10) WHATCHULOOKIN AT comes in off a good debut race and he can beat these if he gets put into action earlier. Post 10 helps his price; top call. (4) BEST SHADOW faces easier here after falling just short racing against Grassrooters. He would be no surprise in this spot; using. (8) THE GOLDEN JET looks capable on paper but with two 2nd in two tries, he will probably get overbet tonight; your call. (6) HIDDEN ARTICLE should be good enough to take a share if he stays flat tonight; using underneath.
Race 5: F&M 4YO & YOUNGER, NW 1 RACE OR $7,000 LIFETIME AE: PROSPECT SERIES STARTERS
(1) PREMIER SWEETALKER passed horses in the final 1/4 in her debut which is significant because it was the fastest 1/4 of the race. I expect a more aggressive steer tonight and she is my clear top pick. (8) BETTER DOUBLE FLIP faced much better than these in both of her last two starts and I could see her popping at a big price here; using. (9) ADDISON SEELSTER beat the choice by three lengths but she is now 0 for 14 and she draws widest. I'd be careful here. (4) IPANEMA HANOVER cost $250,000 but she didn't show much on debut. She could improve enough to take a small slice here.
Race 6: F&M 5YO & YOUNGER, NW3 OR $40,000 LIFETIME. AE 3 & 4 YEAR OLDS CLM $40,000 - Pick 5
(3) CHELSIS CHOICE was game in defeat last week and the rival that repelled her is drawn widest. She can take her first win of 2022 here. (8) CONTROL THE THONG is razor-sharp and she will be winging again. She will have to be caught. (1) UNIQUE ERA paced a nice back 1/2 last week and she can sneak into the Tri at a price tonight. (7) COME ROLL WITH ME has been right there is three straight starts at this track and she should grab another share in this field.
Race 7: 2YO COLTS & GELDINGS: NW $14,000 LIFETIME
(7) TIP TOP CAT took all the money at the windows last week but post 10 led to his undoing. He can get the job done vs. these. (3) AHI SUNSHINE dropped and popped in a sharp first-over effort and he is the main danger. (4) WISE THINKING gets Henry back for this and he is obviously capable of better than he showed last time; upset chance. (2) NOTHING BETTOR is interesting showing a 27-flat kicker and getting Macdonald in the bike tonight but I wonder if he will get overbet; your call.
Race 8: POP UP SERIES: HORSES THAT HAVE RACED FOR A PURSE OF $10,000 OR LESS IN ONE OF LAST 3 STARTS OR NW $25,000 IN 2022 AE: 1ST LEG STARTERS - Pick 4
(6) TYMAL RIGGS gets both class and post relief tonight and Young should get him positioned near the front leaving the gate. I see him rallying past the leaders at the 1/8th pole and taking a win. (5) VILLEFRANCHE AS was a game winner in the first leg of this series and she is the main challenger to the choice. I thought (4) TEXACO MAN raced decently last week. He should be in the exotics mix tonight. (1) COLD RAGE woke up two starts ago but I don't love the rail post for him in this field. I'll play to beat him out of the Tri.
Race 9: F&M PREFERRED HANDICAP
(6) SHES NUN BETTOR N had her win streak broken last week by (7) SO MUCH MORE who was more aggressive than she had been the past few weeks. Post positions get switched here and you have to think that McNair will take no prisoners this week. (3) SNOW SHARK is sharp as a tack but this is a big jump up; small share predicted. (2) SETTN A PRECEDENT was on a roll then she broke which is concerning when you consider previous gait issues. She should take a share is she stays pacing.
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Race 10: POP UP SERIES: HORSES THAT HAVE RACED FOR A PURSE OF $10,000 OR LESS IN ONE OF LAST 3 STARTS OR NW $25,000 IN 2022 AE: 1ST LEG STARTERS
(4) MAGNIFICENT SEVEN dominated in the first leg and he should take beating her as the odds-on choice. (2) HEAVENSDOR HANOVER’s form is improving and I can see him riding the pocket and completing the Exacta for a second straight week. (1) TYMAL HOUDINI should be placed near the front early again and he should stick around to land in the money. (3) BRYDOWN HOUSTON takes a small share every week. Toss him on the bottom of Tri and Super bets.
Race 11: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $21,000 LT
(7) KOBRA KAI lands in a good spot here and he gets McNair back. He performs best for that teamster and he gets top billing here. (6) RIDINLIKEYASTOLEIT was too ambitious jumping into the Gold deep end but he wasn't disgraced and he can improve sharply here; using. (5) KATIES BET was going to finish no worse than 2nd last week when he got funky gaited nearing the wire. He will be a threat if he behaves. (8) TWIN B JAMMER comes off a good Grassroots effort but he is 1 for 20 and I'll play to beat him as a likely underlay. (9) FULL DISCLOSURE should pass a few of these and finish on the edges.

