Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 8/4

Meet Stats: 13-41 / $69.20 (-$12.80)

Best Bets: 2-4 / $6.40 (-$1.60)

Spot Plays: 2- 4 / $28.10 (+$20.10)

Best Bet: Race 4 (4) ANDY OVER

Spot Play: Race 8 (4) SHAKE IT TWICE

Early Pick 5: 2567/4/126/4/25678 $12 for 20c

Early Pick 4: 4/25678/78/246 $6 for 20c

Late Pick 5: 78/246/4/135/38 $7.20 for 20c

Late Pick 4: 246/4/135/38 $3.60 for 20c

Race 1: Fillies and Mares 5 YO and Younger NW 1 Race or $7500 Life **$100,000 Guaranteed Pick 5**

(5) ZEBS BREAKING DAWN has two straight wins at Grand River in tow and faces a struggling bunch. Macdonald won last time with her out of town. (7) TOP SHELF has taken money in all three starts and has improved. Pace was swift in latest and she struggled late to winner. (6) WATCH HER DEWITT has closed up for three straight thirds at this level. May try to get away closer vs these types. (2) AZARIYA has six shares this year in ten starts. It will be her turn soon.

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Race 2: 2 YO OPEN PACE: DREAM MAKER LEG 2

(4) MIRAGE HANOVER is hard to pick against given that 1:50 4/5 mile on 7/21. His kick gives him a huge edge to win from anywhere. The duo of (3) HUNGRY TO WIN and (2) REMEMBER THE ALAMO ship in for Alagna with swift qualifiers at the Meadowlands. Both have shown speed and ability. Barn ships many here for these series every year and has success. (1) SUPPLEMENTAL FEE kicked 26 4/5 to be second on 7/28 vs chalky winner. Experience should help him.

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Race 3: GRASSROOTS STARTERS IN 2023 3 YO FILLY PACE

(6) TALK CURDY TO ME is racing well right now using her speed to gain position no matter the draw. I think she lands a pocket trip behind (2) CENTURY JAMILA and will be double the price. The ladder made several moves to win last in quick time. No points on the line here. (1) GRANDEUR SEELSTER woke up in latest with 27 2/5 kick. She won four races at two and may be coming around. (4) MYSTIC WILD ROSE busted at the gate in latest when trying to leave. Better post and style could lead to improved finish.

Race 4: Horses that have started for a purse of $9,000 or less in one of last four starts. W/O $6000 L5 N/E AE: NW $15,000 in 2023 or NW 2 Races in 2023 - PICK 4

(4) ANDY OVER gets back to the big track, and back on the gate for a barn that's heating up right now. Last two play well vs these. (5) MISTER MAGIC has speed but quirks. Last was solid vs classy winner. Your call in this race. (2) STONEBRIDGE ZEUS is having a decent 2023 out of town. Georgian lines are even, check cashing miles. (7) LILLYS LASS has won several races at this track using her speed. Needs a trip that favors her style.

Race 5: FILLIES AND MARES NW $9,000 L5 or $18,500 L10 STARTS Opt CLM 50k

(5) TWIN B BETTY is an interesting returnee to this track after missing time then prepping on half mile track out of town. Won at this level 6/9. Adds Lasix. (8) AHOY steps up after sharp win Monday in fast time. She likely won’t clear from this post. (2) BETTER BE DONNA N has a ton of back class and lost to well-meant favorite in last. She can win this off the pace. (6) FLIGHT CREW will take $ third up for Auciello after 1:49 4/5 mile in latest. Style suits this race.

Race 6: Horses that have started for a purse of $9,000 or less in one of last four starts. W/O $6000 L5 N/E AE: NW $15,000 in 2023 or NW 2 Races in 2023 - Pick 5

(7) FLYING FORMATION is fast enough to beat this group if he can stay flat. Qualifier was blowout on the front with 28 3/5 kick. (8) BUCK DANCER returns after extended layoff adding Lasix. His old self would crush this bunch, will he bring it? (2) THE PINBALL WIZARD has back class but also has missed time. Qualifier didn't show much so hard to gauge. (1) BUSY MAKING MONI returns to big track with catch driver taking over. He's won here this year and has twenty starts with $49,000 made.

Race 7: Fillies and Mares 5 YO and Younger NW $15000 Life - Pick 4

(6) MOONSTRUCK may have found a field she can beat here after facing tougher in many spots this summer. Will Henry leave from this post? (2) SIS raced better on 7/28 closing late to just miss. Price will be lower now. (4) EBONY LADY I liked in latest but she spun her wheels on the turn. That 7/20 win in the slop was stellar. (3) POWDER PLAY was a well driven winner vs these on 7/28. Needs a similar journey to win again.

Race 8: GRASSROOTS STARTERS IN 2023 3 YO FILLY PACE

(4) SHAKE IT TWICE was live late vs chalky winner in latest after shipping in from Georgian. I think she gets a setup now at a price. (2) MENDING FENCES has won four straight at this level with speed and a kick. She could take pressure in this race and will need more late. (6) TWIN DELIGHT raced well when points are on the line and more even when they aren't. Speed coming here but may be limited to a share. (1) ELISES DELIGHT woke up in latest with sharp 27 kick to win. Another with a chance of best.

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Race 9: Fillies and Mares 5 YO and Younger NW 2 Races or $31,000 Life

(5) MOLLOP HANOVER has won half her starts. She was off a month prior to 7/28 line where she kicked 26 1/5 to be fourth. Gets speed to chase here. (1) TWIST LITTLE GIRL won that race with a sharp speed try. Could face pressure from (3) ALL OF ME who wants the lead every start. She has talent but needs things to go her way. (6) PROVE EM WRONG is a game type that wants to fight to the wire. She plays for exotics if driven from off the pace.

Race 10: Fillies and Mares NW $4000 L5 starts AE: Not Avg. $1,715 P/S in 2023 AE: Opt. Clm. $20,000

(8) GOUDAWON comes out of a fast race where she made an early move and ultimately tired. She doesn't win much but this is a good spot. (3) MOMENTARILY was bet off the layoff and parked every step. She won five last year. (4) MIA CULPA is hit and Miss. She won on 7/21 vs lesser types but tired in last. Possible with the right trip. (7) JM BETONSIX has won two straight now returns to the big track. Barn can be streaky at times. (6) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL is due a wake up. She won $90,000 last year but hasn't done much this season. Last was best in awhile.