Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 8/2
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Meet Stats: 0/0; Best Bets: 0/0; Spot Plays: 0-0
Best Bet: Race 3 #4 AYEAYE CAPTAIN DEO
Spot Play: Race 9 #8 MS QUICK SAND
Early Pick 5: 1468/237/4/246/12 $14.40 for 20c
Early Pick 4: 246/12/57/4 $2.40 for 20c
Late Pick 5: 57/4/15/8/35 $1.60 for 20c
Late Pick 4: 15/8/35/1348 $3.20 for 20c
Race 1: OSS GRASSROOTS 3 YO FILLY PACE **$100,000 Guaranteed Pick 5**
(1) HOW MUCH is coming out of fast races, has a 1:50 1/5 grassroots try 6/21. Last was solid from wide post. (4) COLLUSION HANOVER has missed time, fits vs these for Blais. Her kick in last three is sub 28 seconds. (6) MAKE OUT WITH ME doesn’t win much but shares plenty. Last two she shows late rallies. (8) MARGOSGOTTHECARGO returns with two qualifiers that were both wins. Needs to get faster to win this race.
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Race 2: 5 YO and Younger NW 2 Races or $20,000 Life
(7) VALUABLE MISS looks to bounce back off a break in latest. Prior two lines win this race. (2) VANJUE BLUE CHIP faced fillies in last and crushed at 3/5. Back to the boys here, she is fast enough to win again. (3) TWIN B FLING moves inside after wide trips. She’s more likely to fill exotics. (1) ROYAL DUHARAS has three wins this season out of town. Last two are solid at the level.
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Race 3: DREAM MAKER 2YO OPEN PACE
(4) AYEAYE CAPTAIN DEO improved second time out with 26 2/5 kick. Odds will be much lower in this spot. (5) CORPORATE BUSINESS tried a Gold in last after being favored first out. Should be an easier spot here. (1) LMC PEANUTS WATCHN is a closer in grassroots races. May fit vs these inconsistent types. (3) NOVA BLU is third up for Merner after being a long shot in his first two starts. He’s finishing races well and could jump up.
Race 4: 2 YO Fillies NW 1 Races or $8,000 Life - Pick 4
(4) MY GELATO has two seconds in grassroots spots to start career. Needs to finish up better to be effective. (2) CENTURY LUNAR has started career nicely with a win and a second. She’s speedy so far and dangerous with Roy. (6) KATIES DESTINY ships up from Ohio off a debut win in slow time. Barn doesn’t shop often and brings a driver. (5) CHILLINONTHEBEACH can share again with a late rally.
Race 5: 2 YO Colts NW 1 Races or $8,000 Life
(1) MERROW has a grassroots win after sharp drive 7/18. Inside post could make him back early but just needs a trip. (2) SAUBLE WILSON kicked 26 3/5 from tough draw in latest. Use in all spots. (6) D A LETS BOOGIE shipped to Grand River and won 7/26. Big track tries were ok vs tougher. (8) D A LOVE BOAT is a Darling debutante that has a win and a bust in qualifiers.
Race 6: OSS GRASSROOTS 3 YO FILLY PACE - Pick 5
(9) BONITAS BEST BET finds easiest spot in a long time but draws wide. Speed coming from this horse. (5) WE MEET AGAIN won three straight including a grassroots then tired 7/19. Bounce back likely for sharp filly. (7) ANN has faced much tougher recently and beat grassroots foes 6/21 in 1:50. (2) ONE MORE BET was out of position in last and kicked well late.
Race 7: 2 YO Fillies NW 1 Races or $8,000 Life
(4) BARB LAHEY gets an overnight after two stakes tries. Talent is there, I think maiden gets broken tonight. (2) SUGAR PIE HONEY was bet on debut for win early barn. Improvement very likely but hooks tough foe. (3) ODDS ON FIAT MONEY was favored on debut for Moore barn but hasn’t found form yet. (8) FUNNY BUSINESS is closing late in her races and can fill exotics.
Race 8: 5 YO and Younger NW 2 Races or $20,000 Life - Pick 4
(5) VALENTINE BLUECHIP has four straight chalky wins. Missed a few weeks so don’t take a short price. (1) NAUTILUS B adds Lasix after tiring in latest. Nice win 7/4 here. (7) WEST RIVER IVORY has four seconds this year facing grassroots types. Useful sort has made 83k. (8) CRAIGIEBURN was second two back then busted as the chalk 7/27. Post could limit upside here.
Race 9: Fillies and Mares NW $4000 L5 starts AE: Opt. Clm. $25,000
(8) MS QUICK SAND got her mojo back 7/26 with sharp win at Grand River. Speed in this spot would serve her well and class is no issue. (1) OCCASIONALLY SHARP has kicked well in limited starts this season. This is a drop for her. (6) LADY GET LUCKY is another closer that needs a trip to be effective. Last three lines fit but needs to be closer early. (4) BATTLE WITH DESIRE won at this level 7/20. Aggression early would serve her well again.
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Race 10: NW $2175 L3 starts or NW $12000 L8 Starts AE: Opt. CLM. $20,000
(5) SPARTAN GENERAL is in a now or never spot after a necessary qualifier. He’s made 300k lifetime. (3) MUSCLE FASHION is another classy type and comes off a win. He will have speed again. (1) SHES BEER LEAGUE is a share type that’s drawn inside. Look for an easy trip to fill out the trifecta. (6) PHOENIX comes back to favorite track looking for another big check.
Race 11: Fillies and Mares NW $14000 L5 starts or NW $28,750 L8 STARTS AE: NW 5 RACES OR $150,750 LIFETIME
(4) CAVIAR N CRACKERS is a closer in a race full of speed. She kicked 26 1/5 in last and is entered right back. (8) SHESASHARPSHOOTER returns after being laid off since October. Qualifiers say she’s ready. (3) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN is another class type off the bench. This is an easier spot. (1) ALABAMA HANNAH needed last race. When she takes action she is usually live. (9) ODDS ON PLATINUM is between Gold tries here. She’s fast but may not be looking for a top finish.

