Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 8/14/26

Top Pick Stats: 444/1394 (-$706.80)

Best Bets: 55/125 (-$37.70); Spot Plays: 29/128 (-$79.70)

Best Bet: UPTO LAURA HANOVER (Race 1)

Spot Play: UNA MOMENTA (Race 5)

Early Pick-5: 8/2/5/6,7/6,7,10 $1.20

Late Pick-5: 1,2,3/1,5/3,4/4/3,8 $4.80

Race 1: 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 2 (FM 4) RACES OR $20,000 (OS $36,250) LIFETIME.

(8) UPTO LAURA HANOVER took a logical step forward second back and produced a career best win. I think she shows us a similar performance tonight. (5) WALNERS GROVE should show gate speed again with this draw and secure a good trip. (1) A SPLASH OF GREEN produced another good mile second back but flattened out in the final few strides. If she is left chasing, I think an underneath spot is her ceiling.

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Race 2: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GOLD LEG 3. 2 YEAR OLD TROTTING COLTS & GELDINGS. STARTING FEE $900 CDN ($700 USD).

(2) UNSTABLE GENIUS looks like the class of this division until proven otherwise. (1) THREE SIX ZERO was a strong second behind Detonater Hanover in the Millard Farms Final and appears to be the main challenger. (5) D A JOHNNY CASH qualified well after an equipment break in his latest. He should show early speed from this post.

Race 3: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GOLD LEG 3. 2 YEAR OLD TROTTING FILLIES. STARTING FEE $900 CDN ($700 USD).

(5) VERILY loomed large when she angled out but wound up running. If she rebounds and posts something similar to her debut, watch out. (8) TREASURE KING was a solid second in the Pure Ivory Final and will likely be forwardly placed from the outside. (3) QUEEN OF BS has done little wrong so far and has enough gate speed to secure a good trip.

Race 4: FILLIES & MARES, NW $6,500 LAST 4 STARTS OR NW $13,500 LAST 8 STARTS. AE: OPT. CLM. $30,000. AE: NW $18,000 IN 2026.

(7) GLENBORO looks ready for a speed try after being shuffled and having little chance in her latest. (6) PERFECTLY CHIC was making up ground second back on a speed favoring night. A similar mile puts her right there. (2) FATED FIRE blasted early and wound up a good second. She should hold her own at this level again.

Race 5: FILLIES & MARES, 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 2 RACES OR $30,000 (OS $38,000) LIFETIME.

(6) UNA MOMENTA tried a second move in a race that went ridiculously fast in the first five eighths. If that didn’t take too much out of her, I like her chances third back. (7) FAVORITISM is one of many who could be tough to read because the race completely fell apart. Regardless, she has progressed well since returning. (10) ADINA HANOVER was stuck behind a wall of horses at the top of the stretch and got interfered with. My concern is how she gets into the race from the high draw.

Race 6: FILLIES & MARES, 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 (OS 6) RACES OR $50,000 (OS $69,000) LIFETIME.

(3) JAY was bet down to favorite status last week and produced a career-best win that I was not expecting. Can she do it again? (2) MY GIRL FRIDAY likely gets away closer to the leaders than (1) HORSE WITH A PLAN and might have the jump on the latter despite her big stretch kick.

Race 7: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES: GOLD LEG 3. 2 YEAR OLD TROTTING FILLIES. STARTING FEE $900 CDN ($700 USD).

(5) REBEL MOON ripped out of the pocket in the Pure Ivory Final and was a sharp winner. She likely gets her trip again. (1) NORTHERN SONG continues to flash her potential, but things haven’t set up for her yet. That could change tonight. (3) MAJOR CONTENDER lacked room in the elimination and didn’t make the final. A return to form makes her a threat.

Race 8: POP UP SERIES: F&M STARTERS FOR A PURSE OF $11,000 OR LESS LAST 3 STARTS (W/O $40,000 IN 2026 N/E). AE:N/A $1,500 P/S IN 2026 (MIN 10 STARTS). LEG 1.

(3) KIERA SEELSTER should fit well with these and likely shows gate speed with this draw. (4) BETTERNOTMACHME has strung together some quality finishes but has yet to find that elusive first win of the season. She may also look to set up shop near the lead. (2) HIGHLAND DELIGHT could benefit if the top two severely mix it up but is likely looking at an underneath finish after a grinding trip.

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Race 9: FILLIES & MARES OPEN.

(4) LETS N JOY N gets reunited with her usual pilot and likely won’t have to survive a first over grind this week. (5) ABSOLUTION got a great trip from an outside draw and benefitted from an open rail. She likely shows early speed again. (3) VERITY BLUE CHIP got up for second last week after following Lets N Joy’s cover. She has displayed sharp kick after grinding into contention.

Race 10: POP UP SERIES: F&M STARTERS FOR A PURSE OF $11,000 OR LESS LAST 3 STARTS (W/O $40,000 IN 2026 N/E). AE:N/A $1,500 P/S IN 2026 (MIN 10 STARTS). LEG 1.

(3) LADYTERRA was my value play last week and I thought she raced well to get a piece from the high draw. Post relief is major tonight. (8) COLD CREEK ESPERO wound up getting placed back for causing interference, but she had no business crossing the line first from where she was. She has bounced around the class ladder this year but shows she can fit against many different types. (10) SANTAFES APPETITE got a nice setup last week when racing from off the pace. She likely looks for something similar from this draw.