Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 7/8

Meet Stats: 334 – 1079 / $1,786.80 (-$361.70)

Best Bets: 57 - 102 / $202.90 (-1.10)

Spot Plays: 29 - 103 / $186.60 (-$19.40)

Best Bet: HANG ON BABY (1ST)

Spot Play: FREE TO BE ME (3RD)

Early Pick 5: 8/4,5,7/1,2,6,7/1/1,3,5,10 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 4,7,8/6,7/3,6,7/9/4,5,7 = $10.80

Early Pick 4: 1/1,3,5,10/4,7,8/6,7 = $24

Late Pick 4: 3,6,7/9/4,5,7/4,8,9 = $27

Race 1: 3YO Fillies Grassroots Starters **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(8) HANG ON BABY took the fastest mark of any of these by a full second when she dominated on 6/27 and she will be hard to beat at a short price here. (4) SOCKS N CROCKS comes off an improved first-up effort and she can be an Exacta factor in this field. (5) ROSE RUN XCENTRIC was resilient on the lead when taking her first win of the year and she is in the mix here. (3) SAINT ANTOINE will probably pass a few of these in the back 1/2 and finish on the edges.

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Race 2: Pop-Up series F&M that have started for a purse of $10K or less in 1 of L4 Leg 3

(4) ITTY BITTY could only get 3rd despite pacing a 1:52-flat mile last week which tells you how strong that race was. She gets top billing here. (7) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N is hot right now and McClure has been able to find really good trips for her. She is hard to leave off Pick 5 tickets. (5) CANTSTOPTHEFEELIN moved up with McNair in the bike and she is another that is possible tonight. (6) BAYWATCHING's current form is good but I prefer to use her underneath in this spot.

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Race 3: F&M 5YO and Younger NW4 or $60,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000

(1) FREE TO BE ME was moving fastest at the wire last week but she ran out of racetrack. I'll give her the nod here in a race with no standout. (7) BEST KEEPSAKE had clear sailing and she was right there at the wire. She figures to be a threat here. (2) MY ONLY SUNSHINE should find these easier and she will likely get put into play leaving the gate; using. (6) CHELSIS CHOICE had to alter course in the lane but she didn’t appear to lose much momentum. I'll use her underneath tonight.

Race 4: F&M NW $10,000 L5 or $29,500 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $15K or less L4 or 4YO NW1 in 2022 - Pick 4

This condition seems to be written for (1) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN, doesn't it? She should break through for her first win of the year in this spot. (2) MY MOTHER PEARL's late kick is more effective at these levels and she can be an Exacta factor tonight. (4) VILLAGE JADE just took a new life's mark at this level so she is hard to discount, but I'm not sure she gets the same great trip here; using underneath. (8) MISS ROCKADALI was right there in two straight starts despite taking no action at the windows. He is a good one to use underneath here in a spot where she should offer another good price.

Race 5: F&M NW $6,100 L5 or $12,000 L10 AE: NW $8,000 in 2022

Plenty of class droppers in this field. I'll side with (5) TWIN B TIPSTER who finished willingly in a fast mile and should be better vs. these. (1) DREAM DANCING is another dropper that figures and she will likely get a more aggressive steer here; using. (3) BEACH MOMENT will be forwardly placed again and that gives her a shot. She is another possibility in a tough race. (10) SETTN A PRECEDENT’S form is improving. I think she lands in the bottom of the exotics at a price.

Race 6: Pop-Up series F&M that have started for a purse of $10K or less in 1 of L4 Leg 3 - Pick 5

(7) MIA CULPA looked terrific taking a new life's mark last week racing first up and she gets the call to repeat here. (8) TUGGINONCREDIT was good in defeat to the choice, setting big splits and getting edged late. She should be the main threat again. (4) MARZANNK HANOVER is another that took a new speed badge in a solid effort but this is tougher; using underneath. (2) CUSTARD LITE was over bet last week when she finished 2nd in a good effort. She is in the exotics mix again.

Race 7: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000

(7) SPEAKING OF ART was lights out last week, taking a new life’s mark when claimed and he gets the call to repeat moving into Menary's barn. (6) JULERICA was no match for the choice, but he too was claimed and he should be a threat tonight. (2) ROCK N TWIST is the third one in here racing off the claim and he should be part of the Tri or Super. (1) UCHASEMIKISSM is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics dropping into a claimer here.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD Leg 2 3YO Fillies - Pick 4

(6) SPEAKER NANCY predictably stayed in last week in a prep vs. aged mares and she was full of pace late, stickhandled to a win by Henry. She couldn't be any better right now and she has a recency edge on the likely favorites; call to upset. (3) PROHIBITION LEGAL took a shot in the Fan Hanover and hung in there well vs. Grand Circuit monsters. She is the obvious one to beat. (7) SILVER LABEL finished right behind stablemate Prohibition Legal in that race and she is another in with a shot here. (8) BALANCE is hot but this is a big step up. I'll use her underneath.

Race 9: FILLIES and MARES PREFERRED HANDICAP

(9) SO MUCH MORE was picked off in the closing strides last week but she returns to a 6-day rotation now and gets one less rival to her inside at the start. She should return to her winning ways tonight. (8) SHES NUN BETTOR N came from what appeared to be an impossible spot to nail the choice on the line. She should be an Exacta factor again. (7) KICKUPYAHEELS N was first up in that same race and she was right there at the wire. She has upset potential. (4) JUST DAISY should rally for another slice here.

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Race 10: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000

(5) CENTURY GIGALO raced his eyeballs out in defeat last week but he couldn't hold off the tripped out pocket sitter. He should beat these if he can steal a breather tonight. (4) STATE OF PLAY rallied widest to get a cheque in his first start racing off the Pereira claim now he gets in a shorter field and Macdonald sticks. He has upset potential; using. (7) MACHIN A TRICK drops but he typically takes back at the start. I'd upgrade his chances if I knew prior to the start that there was a claim in on him. (3) BETTOR NOTBITTER A got a great following trip last week but he couldn't pass the choice in the lane. I'll use him underneath here.

Race 11: Claiming $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $83,000 LT

(9) PRIVATE SCOTT got a brutal trip last week now he gets his regular driver back. I think Cullen sits and rallies with him and I'll take a shot at a price with him tonight. (8) PETER POOLE tripped out last week but he it still took a lifetime best performance from him to get the job done. He is an obvious threat right back. (4) BAD EYE BILL will likely improve sharply racing off the Auciello claim and he is the third one that I’ll use in the late Pick 4. (6) PERPETUAL ROCK keeps getting bet and he keeps falling short; using underneath. (5) HELLO ROCKY takes a check every week. He should be part of the High-5.