Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 7/28

Top Pick Stats: 328 - 1002 / $1,699.70 (-$304.80)

Best Bets: 53 - 93/ $193.20 (+7.20)

Spot Plays: 17 - 92/ $99.10 (-$84.90)

Best Bet: MYSTIFYING (3RD)

Spot Play: POWDER PLAY (6TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,5,6/1,2,3/8/3,6/1,2,8 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 2,4,5/3,7/6,8/5/4,8 = $4.80

Early Pick 4: 3,6/1,2,8/2,4,5/3,7 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 3,7/6,8/5/4,8 = $1.60

Race 1: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) MOLLOP HANOVER has been in three straight sub-1:50 races. She can get back on track here in with NW2. (5) FEAR THE CRUSH got a perfect set up for her late kick last time, but she just keeps getting better and she will probably be the one to fend off late here. (6) TWIST LITTLE GIRL N simply went too fast, too soon in her last start. She obviously has speed, and she can be a threat with the right trip. (1) TOTALLY RIGGED should be good for another share in this spot.

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Race 2: DREAM MAKER 2YO OPEN PACE Leg 1

(2) SUPPLEMENTAL FEE was impressive breaking his maiden racing first up and drawing away late. Off that mile, I'll take him to upset likely favorite (3) LEGENDARY HANOVER. The latter was an expensive yearling that delivered as expected on debut, but he had a soft trip on the engine, cutting three consecutive 29 quarters now he has missed three weeks. I see him as an underlay tonight. (1) CALICOJACK HANOVER is another that won his debut that is useable in the early Pick 5. (7) CUPID SHUFFLE made a nice late move to get 3rd in his debut and he can close for a share here.

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Race 3: F&M that have started for a purse of $13K or less in 1 of L5 AE: NW $6,550 L5

(8) MYSTIFYING takes a big drop here and she should be tough to beat in this spot. (4) GOUDAWON gets post relief here and she can get a good trip racing near the front; using. (7) BETTER B DONNA N fits okay here and she should be in the exotics mix vs. these. (1) SUNSHINE SALLY should sit another good trip and work her way into the exotics.

Race 4: Horses that have started for a purse of $9K or less in 1 of L4 - Pick 4

This looks like a spot where (3) MISTER MAGIC will get aggressive earlier in the mile and he gets a slight nod in a tough race. Last time we saw (6) STAY CLOSE here, he squandered a sure win when he jumped off stride in the lane. He fits well here, and he figures to be right there if he stays flat tonight. (9) SOUTHWIND CAESER is in easier here and he can take a share despite drawing widest. (7) ANGEL OF MY DREAMS is usually around the money, and she can land in the Super if she stays flat tonight.

Race 5: 2YO colts and geldings NW $5,000 LT

(8) BRUDON was overmatched in Golds and sharp improvement is likely here; top call. (2) CHIVALRY SEELSTER has a similar profile as the choice, and he figures to be much closer vs. straight maidens tonight. (1) KOUNTRY DIAMOND paced a nice back 1/2 in his debut, and he is a price possibility tonight. (9) JIMMY JETS draws poorly again but he can sneak into the Super if he improves a bit tonight.

Race 6: F&M 5YO and younger NW $15,000 LT - Pick 5

(5) POWDER PLAY had an adventurous trip last week: she was racy early but restrained, shuffled on the last turn, then when she rallied up the inside there was no clearance late for her to get through. She was still only beaten by 1/2 a length, and I think Jamieson rolls her tonight. (4) REDLANDBETHANYJEAN gets class and post relief, and she is a contender in this spot. (2) EBONY LADY was an impressive maiden breaker, and she is another in with a shot here. (1) SIS finished just behind the choice, and she should be good for another share here.

Race 7: F&M 5YO and younger winners of 2 but not more than 4 or $45K LT AE: 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $40K - Pick 4

It's impossible to predict intent with several sophomores prepping for the next Gold event, but (7) SWEET AMIRA is the best of these, and she will win if she is close enough at the head of the lane. (3) BIG BIG PLANS comes off a big Gold try, and she will likely be the one to catch here. (8) BETTORS PUNCH gets out of the second tier and she can be a speed threat tonight; using. (6) LYONS BETTORDAY should get a slice with her good late kick.

Race 8: F&M NW $4,000 L5 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(8) THE IDEAL HUNTRESS finished with broken equipment last week so that line is a toss. She fits well here, and she gets top billing. (6) AHOY raced well last time chasing a class dropper that wasn't going to be caught. She is in with a decent shot here. (2) EXOTIC DRAGON is hot, but these are tougher and her preferred racing style conflicts with the choice’s. I'll use her underneath. (3) COZ IM SPECIAL comes off two strong efforts and she should be part of the Tri or Super.

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Race 9: FILLIES and MARES PREFERRED

The locals get to miss So Much More, who is in Ohio this weekend but aren't as lucky with (5) SILVER LABEL, who should be very hard to beat. (6) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN is right there every week and tonight should be no different; Exacta factor. (4) WESTERN WISH should sit a nice trip racing close to the front and she should take a share. (1) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP should pass a couple of these late and land in the Super.

Race 10: F&M that have started for a purse of $13K or less in 1 of L5 AE: NW $6,550 L5

(8) POWERED BY MACH took a new lifetime mark beating similar last week and she gets the call to repeat off that sharp effort. (4) SAULSBROOK OLYMPIA was too far back in that race. She could turn the tables if she lays closer tonight. (7) FLIGHT CREW N can improve in the second local start on the class drop here but I'll use her underneath. (9) TWIN B TIPSTER fits here but she missed three weeks, and she draws worst; small share predicted. (2) MAJOR LEAGUE N will go for as far as she can on the engine. I don't see her lasting for more than a small slice.