Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 7/21

Top Pick Stats: 312 - 956 / $1,626.90 (-$285.70)

Best Bets: 51 - 88/ $187.60 (+11.60)

Spot Plays: 16 - 88/ $94.10 (-$81.90)

Best Bet: SO MUCH MORE (9TH)

Spot Play: CHAIN GANG (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,9/2,4,9/1,5,9/2,6,9/2,7 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 4,7/2,6/2,3/7/4,5,7,9,10 = $8.00

Early Pick 4: 2,6,9/2,7/4,7/2,6 = $4.80

Late Pick 4: 2,6/2,3/7/4,5,7,9,10

Race 1: 2YO colts and geldings NW $5,000 LT *Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5*

(9) MINNETT paced a 27 1/5 kicker on debut but the slow opening 3/4 that he cut on the lead probably worked against him. I'll stick with him here. The Stable shelled out $165K at Harrisburg for (2) TIMEISONMYSIDE and the leading driver chose him over two others in this race; using. (1) YOUR PARTY was a good 3rd from this post on debut and he should be a threat tonight. He is another in with a chance here. (10) WICKED PRINCE is in between Grassroots starts here and he draws worst. He will likely come on late for a share.

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Race 2: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD LEG 2: 2YO PACING FILLIES

(7) RESILIENCE blew out Grassroots foes now she steps into the Golds. She could bottom out another field here, but she will probably need more than a 29 kicker to get the job done vs. Gold fillies. (2) IT’S A LOVE THING was confidently driven as the 2 to 5 chalk on debut and she got up late. It is very likely that she can pace much faster if needed and I'll use her in the Pick 5. (4) CENTURY KALIMBA is another coming in off a strong effort in a Gold event. This race is no gimmie for the choice. (8) PEELER will probably close from the back for another share tonight.

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Race 3: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD LEG 2: 2YO PACING COLTS and GELDINGS

(1) T H MCMURRY was much better in his second start after having trouble at the start in his debut. Despite running in a bit late, he gamely held off a tough rival and he gets the call to repeat. (9) DO BETTER is 2 for 2 and he looked good in both wins. He should be the main threat. (5) BEST NIGHT EVER was a good 2nd to the choice, coming with a 26 4/5 kicker to make it interesting in the stretch. He is another in with a shot tonight. (7) FUNTIME BAYAMA had a promising debut, and he can take another slice here.

Race 4: F&M NW $1,500 L3 AE: NW $8,000 in 2023 - Pick 4

Interesting race because virtually every mare in here takes a class drop. (6) BRYDOWN BETTER BEA is 0 for 2023 but she was sharp before drawing two 10-holes in a row. I'll take a shot with her moving to the best post tonight. (2) AMERICAN TICKET gets white-hot Macdonald who won five here on Tuesday and she figures to improve at this level; using. (9) MOMENTARILY qualified okay for this and she gets Roy now. She is another to consider for early multi-race tickets. (3) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL is one that should be passing horses late to take a share.

Race 5: 2YO colts and geldings NW $5,000 LT

$200K Harrisburg buy (7) CALICOJACK HANOVER, a full brother to 16-time winner Hey Run Me Over (1:50 1/5 F), finds a good spot for his debut and he gets top billing. $100K Harrisburg purchase (2) UNRIVALED HANOVER, a half to 20-time winner Uptown Hanover (1:51 3/5 F) goes for top connections with the leading driver at the controls. He should be a threat here. (4) PIRATES SHADOW paced a nice back 1/2 vs. Grassroots foes and he should be in the exotics mix tonight. (3) SHAGGY is 1 for 1 and another that should be part of the exotics.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD LEG 2: 2YO PACING FILLIES - Pick 5

(4) WATCHING YOU was at a tactical disadvantage on debut, and she couldn't catch (7) PASS LINE, who got the jump on her. The former will likely get a more aggressive drive this time and she gets the nod to turn the tables. (6) BETTOR SISTERS has been impressive, but she will need to be faster tonight. I'll use her underneath. (2) THIS MAGIC MOMENT disappointed on debut and her price will be much higher here if you still like her.

Race 7: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD LEG 2: 2YO PACING COLTS and GELDINGS - Pick 4

(2) CHAIN GANG, who was referred to as his "fastest two-year-old" by trainer Gallucci, was driven confidently to win his debut in a Gold race and he gets the call to repeat. (6) MIRAGE HANOVER made a tremendous recovery to get 3rd after breaking early and he is the obvious danger tonight. (7) WIKIPEDIA made an eye-catching stretch move to zoom by them all in his debut but that was into a 29-flat kicker now he takes on some tough Gold rivals. I'll use him underneath tonight. (9) BET ON MAC had a decent opener but he draws widest again. He will likely close late for a slice.

Race 8: F&M that have started for a purse of $13,000 or less in 1 of L3

(3) SAULSBROOK OLYMPIA flew late to beat similar last week, and she gets the call to repeat off that strong effort. (2) BETTER BE DONNA N has been facing a steady diet of tougher mares and she should improve by default here. She will likely be the one to catch turning for home. (9) CARSONS GOUDA’s form is too strong to ignore but she is up against it starting from the widest post. I'll use her underneath. (7) SILENT CROSSING was good beating easier. She is another that I prefer to use underneath.

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Race 9: FILLIES & MARES PREFERRED HANDICAP

It’s hard to bet against (7) SO MUCH MORE in this spot and Macdonald will likely look to send her right down the road. (2) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN did all the work after leaving from the 10-hole last time and she was unlucky in defeat. She is the logical alternative to the choice. (3) SNOW SHARK got a perfect covered trip and room at the right time. I don’t see a repeat of that trip here; using underneath. (5) WESTERN WISH is sharp, but this is a tough spot. I’ll use her on the bottom.

Race 10: F&M NW $14,000 L5 or NW $100,000 LT AE: NW $43,000 in 2023

(5) RAPTORS WON steps up off a strong win and she gets the call to repeat considering her current sharpness. (10) SWEET AMIRA is a very good sophomore stakes filly that has already beaten older mares more than once, but starting from the 10-hole this time, I will demand a price. (4) MS QUICK SAND drops and she should be a threat at this level racing from close range. (7) SETTN A PRECEDENT raced great in defeat to the choice last week, but this is tougher, and she will likely close for a slice this time. (9) MYSTIFYING is a dropper that figures to improve but starting from out there, I'll use her underneath.