Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 7/17

Meet Stats: 83-293 / $456.20 (-$128.80)
Best Bets: 14-26 / $48.50 (-$3.50)
Spot Plays: 6-27 / $45.10 (-$8.90)
Best Bet: LAURAS LOVE (6TH)
Spot Play: DOVUTO HANOVER (2ND)
Early Pick 5: 5,6/1,4,7/1,2,5/3,5/6,7 = $14.40
Late Pick 5: 3,4/2,3,10/5/5,8,9/3,4 = $7.20
Early Pick 4: 3,5/6,7/8/5,8 = $8
Late Pick 4: 5/5,8,9/3,4/2,3,10 $18

Race 1: Ontario Sired 3YO Fillies NW $60,000 LT **GTD $75,000 Pick 5**

(5) YEN will take plenty of action here coming off a 3rd place finish in a Gold race and this dash could come down to a race between her and (6) SUSIES LADY, who blew up while challenging for the win in a Gold event herself. (7) FLUFF is capable of better if she stays flat but I prefer to use her underneath. (8) MCKEES ANGEL shows a race on June 11th that would make her a contender for a share if she could replicate it here.

Race 2: Claiming $8,000

(1) DOVUTO HANOVER hasn't been used much in his past couple of stars after getting away poorly from the second tier post in both races. Starting from the rail here, he could wake up in a big way. (7) MISTER GODRO raced well last time and he doesn't have to face Osiris Blue Chip or Buddha Blue Chip this time; using. (4) DASHIKI has been hot out of town and this isn't the toughest $8K claimer. He is in with a chance here. (5) BUTE COURAGE N rarely misses the board. Toss him in your Tri and Super bets.

Race 3: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000)

(2) SHE ROCKS KEMP raced better last time and there are no Warrawee Vickys to contend with here; slight nod. (5) KOMBUCHA rode a pocket trip to narrowly finish ahead of the choice but she rates highly in here. (1) SHAPE SHIFTER was good in her first 2020 Mohawk Park appearance and she's another in with a chance here. (7) TYMAL HOUDINI should be passing rivals late again to take a small share.

Race 4: F&M CLM HDCP $10,000 to $15,000 - Pick 4

(5) HER OWN LAND has been on a roll racing out of town and she will likely be the one to catch in this spot. (3) FILLY FORTY SEVEN left hard then tried a first up move in a good effort here last week. I won't be surprised if she gets a golden pocket trip behind the choice. (10) MISS ROCKADALI won and was claimed but she likes to be near the front and the inside two mares show no leaving ability whatsoever. Maybe she lines up behind one of the top two choices at the start? I'll use her underneath this time. (7) P L LIGHTNING should be closer early this time and that gives her a chance to hit the board.

Race 5: F&M NW $16,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $110,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000

(6) SANDBETWEENURTOES worked out a perfect trip last week but she gave notice the race before that she is returning to form and I'll give her the call to repeat here. (7) SUNDAY AFTERNOON was wide enough to allow the choice to escape the pocket but she stayed on gamely right to the wire. She has a good chance here again. (5) LOVELY DONNA lost all hope at the start last time and she is capable of sharing vs. these if she stays flat. (10) HELLO LOVE should be passing a few of these in the back 1/2. I'll use her on the bottom here.

Race 6: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 3YO FILLIES - Pick 5

(8) LAURAS LOVE has developed into one of the top local sophomore fillies and she should be tough here despite drawing wide. (5) SEX APPEAL should be the one that the choice will need to pass late in this mile; Exacta factor. (6) BEACH SPORTS comes off a sharp win in fast time but these are tougher; using underneath. (1) DOCS HARMONY has been good early as her breeding suggested she would be but this is a tough test and she is likely to finish on the edges.

Race 7: NW3 (F&M5) OR $40,000 (F&M $50,000)

(5) SPIRIT OF DEO was outstanding in her sophomore debut, winning geared down after trotting a 27 2/5 second 1/4 to get the lead; call to repeat. (8) GP DREAMIN has been flawless so far this season and she is clearly the one to catch and beat. (3) INTENSE JUSTICE can improve in this spot and she merits a look for Tri and Super bets. (2) KUIL DEVA has been right there in every start since returning from the break but she is more likely to take a slice than a win.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 3YO FILLIES – Pick 4

(5) ALICORN didn't appear to bring her best effort last team but she dug deep as champs do and she prevailed. Maybe she needed one to reach peak form; top call. (4) BETALADY may have beat Alicorn if she had a clear lane in deep stretch and she has already come back to win since that race. She will be a threat here. (2) SO DELIGHTFUL should sit a good following trip here and finish on the board. (3) ROSE RUN VICTORIA wasn't far behind the choice and she is another to consider for Tri and Super Bets.

Race 9: FILLIES AND MARES PREFERRED HANDICAP

(9) TREACHEROUS REIGN has come back sharp and she should be a major player again here but I'd demand better than the 3 to 2 odds she offered last week when starting from this post. (8) KENDALL SEELSTER is in top form now and she should be the main threat again. (5) SO MUCH MORE hasn't been at her best in her past couple of starts but she has shown many times that she is capable and she could offer a solid price here. (7) SEASWIFT JOY N has enough class for these if she can recapture previous form.

Race 10: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $70,000 LT

(4) MY BABY GIRL has never been better and she could upset these with the right trip. (3) PERFECT STORM is the obvious one to catch and beat but you will likely be looking at odds-on if you are betting her to win. (5) GOODNIGHT IRENE has been right there in her last few starts and she should be a contender racing close up here, too. (2) SPRINGBRIDGE SASSY should come on late and round out this Tri or Super.

Race 11: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $13,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $18,000

(2) JUST HER LUCK gets off post 9 after three straight starts from that post and she drops to the level where she last won on March 6; top call. (3) KYLIE SEELSTER comes off a nice effort against tougher and she should be a major player here. (10) THIS DRAGON ROCKS also drops to a level where she can make an impact and I'll toss her onto late multi-race tickets here. (1) TAJMEALLOVER has been racing well and passing horses. I expect more of the same here; using underneath. (4) STELLENBOSCH is worth a look for a barn that can have one ready to roll coming off a layoff.