Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 7/16

Meet Stats: 73 - 236 / $433.40 (-$59.60)

Best Bets: 10 – 24 / $48.90 (+$0.90)

Spot Plays: 10 – 23 / $81.60 (+$35.60)

Best Bet: CAMEALONGWAY (7TH)

Spot Play: ALLEYESONME AS (8TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,5,6/3,4/3,6/3/2,6 = $4.80

Late Pick 5: 3,6,7/3/2,3,5,7/1,7/1,4,7 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 3/2,6/3,6,7/3 = $6

Late Pick 4: 2,3,5,7/1,7/1,4,7/5,7 = $48

Race 1: F&M NW2 or $33,000 LT **$100K Guaranteed Pick 5**

(1) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN was first up against some OSS Gold killers and she wasn't beaten far at the wire. This spot is easier and she can get back to her winning ways here. (5) BEST KEEPSAKE exits the same race and she looks like the main threat here but the choice appears to hold a tactical advantage. (6) ALWAYS WATCHING could have been claimed for $15,000 on July 2nd when she won by the length of the stretch at Grand River and she has since repeated in fast time. She certainly isn't out of this. (4) ALWAYSABEACHDAY brings some decent form back with her from New Jersey and she is in the mix here, too.

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Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000

(4) MYSTIC was racing well against some tough company when last seen in November and this is a good spot for her to break her maiden; top call. (3) VALI HANOVER's best race was her most recent qualifier on July 6th and that makes her interesting to me; using. (6) HANDSOME SEBASTIAN tries hard every week and he'll beat them all one of these times but I prefer to use him on the bottom of the Tri this week. (9) ELBE is capable, but post 9 makes it tough because she might be trying to pass them all; using underneath.

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Race 3: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $9,200 L10

(6) TEATIMEPREACHER GB gets both class and post relief here and that makes her a major player in this spot. I expect a more aggressive Macdonald steer and she gets the nod. (3) MACH MY KISS blasted to the front vs. tougher then tried a second move after taking a shuffle. She rates highly with these. (8) THE BANDIT QUEEN is another dropper that should improve but I see her taking a smaller share here. (7) OUTLAW IMAHOTVIXEN was close at this level last week and she should get position near the front here and ride a trip to another spot in the Super.

Race 4: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000) - Pick 4

(3) DEALIN WITH DEWEY was going to be right there on the wire for an OSS Gold prize had he not broke stride last time. He gets Filion back now and top call here. (1) HARRY exits the same race as the choice and he is another who should find this company easier; Exacta factor. (10) FULL OF MUSCLES was a professional maiden breaker on the 8th but the waters get deeper here; smaller share predicted. (9) URNTROUBLE HANOVER is improving rapidly and he should be part of the Super.

Race 5: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO Colts and Geldings

(6) BETTERHAVEMYMONEY was dominant winning Gold in his debut and he should be tough to beat here looking for the repeat. (2) KOLBY TWO STEP has flashed eye-catching late speed in both starts and he might give the choice a race in the stretch; using. (1) CONTACT ZONE was picked off late last week by (10) DYNOMITES PEAK who was airborne at the wire. I prefer to use them both underneath tonight.

Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW6 or $80,000 LT - Pick 5

Plenty of OSS Gold competitors in here between stakes starts so I'd be careful taking a short price on any of them. (6) BEST HEAD WEST was at a tactical disadvantage but she almost got there vs. a top filly; slight nod tonight. (7) VOELZ DELIGHT is obviously one of the best ones in here and she will be right there if she gets put into the race early. (3) ANDRA DAY is getting closer and she could trip out here and win at a price; beware. (1) OURLITTLEMIRACLE keeps improving. She should be good for another share here.

Race 7: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GOLD 2YO Colts and Geldings

(3) CAMEALONGWAY was odds-on for good reason on July 11th as he delivered a devastating performance winning Gold. His odds will plummet even further here and he will be very tough to beat. (7) STONEBRIDGE HELIOS was sharp in his debut and he can close for a piece of this despite moving up in class. (1) SUNDANCE LOU was no match for a dominant winner in his debut and he faces the same fate here but he can share. (10) BOB LOBLAW looked good breaking his maiden but from out there he is likely limited to a small share this time.

Race 8: F&M NW $5,300 L5 or NW $10,000 L7 - Pick 4

(3) ALLEYESONME AS is one I called to win in her past two starts and she hasn't got the best trips. Moving to a better post, maybe tonight's the night. (2) ITTY BITTY is an obvious one to use on the class drop as she should be blasting and looking for the front or pocket early. (5) SUNDAY AFTERNOON can get better position early leaving from the middle of the gate this week. Giver her a look for the late Pick 4. (7) COUSIN MARY is another who is likely to get aggressive early in the mile but I'll use her on the bottom of the exotics.

Race 9: F&M NW $25,000 L5 or $175,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000

This is a great spot for (1) SNOW SHARK and I look for her to make a middle move and control the race from there. (7) BETTER BE DONNA N produced a top effort last week doing all the heavy lifting on the rim uncovered and still prevailing. She should be in the hunt vs. these. (2) WESTBEACH is a good trip horse to use in the exotics here. (4) MAJESTIC VIRGIN should be in the Tri or Super if she stays flat tonight.

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Race 10: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $53,000 LT

(7) MYWISHLISTFORYOU was flying late last week and just missed. The short field should help her tonight; top call. (4) NECTAR keeps winning yet doesn't get bet. She'll take more action tonight and she should be right there again. (1) ALUMNI SEELSTER is a speed threat in a race where she could control the front end all the way; using. (5) SPELLCHECK HANOVER should take another share racing from close range.

Race 11: F&M NW $8,800 L5 or $17,000 L10

(7) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP didn't get into the race early enough last week but finishing fifth gets her the opportunity to take a class drop and she should be tough in here in this second start back at Mohawk Park. (5) LADY ROCKNROLLA A has been facing some tough mares in New York. She fits well here and she should be heard from. (1) MIA CULPA is in a better spot here both in terms of class level and post position. She has upset potential. (8) TWIN B TIPSTER won twice at this class recently and she’s hard to toss but I prefer to use her underneath tonight. (9) TUAPEKA JESSIE N is another dropper but from out there she looks like a fringe player to me.