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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 7/15

Garnet Barnsdale|Jul 13, 2022
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Meet Stats: 353 - 1132 / $1,876.00 (-$367.70)

Best Bets: 61 - 107 / $213.90 (+$0.90)

Spot Plays: 30 - 107 / $191.10 (-$23.90)

Best Bet: SOMBRE (6TH)

Spot Play: UCHASEMIKISSM (4TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,2,3/2,7/1,2,9/8,9/1,4,8 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 3,7/3,7/1,5,9/2,6/5,8,10 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 8,9/1,4,8/3,7/3,7 = $4.80

Late Pick 4: 1,5,9/2,6/5,8,10/1,9 = $36

Race 1: Pop-Up Series Consolation F&M **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(1) MYWISHLISTFORYOU raced well vs. hot Mia Culpa last week in a fast mile and she stacks up well vs. these. Macdonald sticks and she gets top billing. (2) BEST HONEY HANOVER should improve vs. these and I see her laying closer to the front early; using. (3) CARSONS GOUDA will likely reverse tactics and seek out a spot near the front leaving the gate tonight and that makes her a factor for at least a slice. (6) CHARMBO BRIE hasn't made it into the Exacta in any of her 2022 starts but I can see her closing to round out the Tri or Super tonight.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $52,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $35,000

(2) GOT THE GOLD finished ahead of some very good fillies when 3rd in a Gold event last week and this is a race that she should win. (7) COME ROLL WITH ME was one of many "first time McNair" winners this year and she can get another good trip racing near the front; Exacta factor. (8) FREE TO BE ME tried the engine last week and she raced tough in defeat. I think she sits and rallies tonight. (5) BEST KEEPSAKE was a victim of several lead changes and a mid-race shuffle last time. She will likely get a better trip tonight and crack the exotics.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS Third Leg 3YO Fillies

(1) STORMONT MABEL gets to dodge Hang On Baby tonight and she gets top billing vs. these. (2) GRACE raced okay vs. the boys last time in what should be a good primer for this gender restricted race and her best puts her in the picture with these fillies; using. (4) ANGELONIA is another should improve getting away from Hang On Baby and Macdonald chose her over three others. (9) CLOCKWORK ORANGE is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics facing much easier tonight.

Race 4: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $20,000 - Pick 4

(9) UCHASEMIKISSM drops into a good spot and drawing wide with Kelly in the bike ensures he will offer an overlaid price; call to upset. (8) CENTURY GIGALO is sharp, he comes off a win and he was claimed by Moreau. He is the one to beat. (2) ROCKINMYDREAM raced well at big odds last week and he is in the exotics mix again here; using underneath. (4) PERPETUAL ROCK races off the Marfisi claim after failing to convert four times in a row for Moreau when bet below 2 to 1. I'll play to beat him

Race 5: F&M NW $12,200 L5 or $23,500 L10 or NW6 or $105,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $40,000

Tough race here with many possibilities. (4) MISS ROCKADALI has never been better and you know Roy will put her into play leaving the gate. She should offer a square price facing some droppers; slight nod. (1) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL is one of those droppers that figures and she should get a good trip on cover tonight; using. (8) SPEAKER NANCY will no doubt be tripped out racing between Gold starts but she could win as she did two starts back when she was saved until the lane. I'd like (10) SNOW SHARK more if she drew better. From out there, I'll use her underneath.

Race 6: NW $2,000 L3 AE Starters for a purse of $7,500 or less L3 - Pick 5

(7) SOMBRE is peaking right now and this field is no tougher than the one he just beat at Georgian Downs. I'll single him expecting an aggressive steer. (3) SONOFAMILLIONAIRE is in good form and he gets a driver upgrade to Macdonald tonight. He is in with a chance here. (8) VICTOR INVICTUS' form is improving and he should be in the exotics mix vs. these. (1) TT CONWAY should get positioned near the front early and stick around for a share.

Race 7: Pop-Up Series Final F&M

(3) MIA CULPA caught fire in these Pop-Up races and she is strictly the one to beat in tonight's final. (7) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N could get the setup that she craves tonight and if the pace slows late she will vault past all of them; using. (8) CUSTARD LITE raced great last week but she couldn't get to the choice. Another slice if probably in the offing for her tonight. (9) BAYWATCHING looked good last week but from a wide post in the final I think she gets pressured enough that she wilts late; using underneath.

Race 8: ONTARIO SIRES STAKES GRASSROOTS Third Leg 3YO Fillies - Pick 4

(5) STORMONT MOLLY is an unbeaten 2 for 2 in Grassroots races so far this year and she has post position advantage on her main rival here; slight nod. (9) HANG ON BABY is razor-sharp and hard to leave off multi-race tickets. (1) LADYFLIX got a needed clean line last time now she makes her third start back. She could crash the exotics at a price tonight. (7) SAINT ANTOINE has a good late kick on her best day and she is worth using on the bottom.

Race 9: F&M NW $20,000 L5 or $30,000 L10 AE: NW8 or $150,000 LT

(6) SHES GOT IT ALL gets away from the two best mares in the country tonight and she should be tough to beat in here. (2) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP also drops and the short field helps her; using. (4) JUST DAISY’s form is improving and she is another in the exotics mix but I prefer to use underneath. (1) BETTER BE DONNA N should be good for a slice starting from the inside.

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Race 10: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000

(8) JULERICA only left Moreau's barn for one start and he faces many here who typically stalk or close. He could lead these all the way tonight. (10) SPEAKING OF ART races for Team Cullen off the claim and he should be a threat despite drawing widest; using. (5) MACHIN A TRICK is hit and miss because he often closes from the back, but if the speed stops late here, he will likely come out on top. (9) AREUKIDDINME CABBIE is worth a look for the exotics dropping into a claimer.

Race 11: F&M NW $5,000 L5 or $15,500 L8 AE: Pop-Up Starter or Opt Clm $30,000

(1) MARY KAT beat better than these five starts back and Macdonald chose her over another class dropper in here; top call. (9) GOODNIGHT IRENE fits well here on the drop despite drawing widest and she will be on my late Pick 4 ticket. (4) MAJESTIC VIRGIN is yet another dropper that figures to improve and Drury should provide an aggressive steer. I prefer to use her underneath in this spot, however. (3) TWIN B TIPSTER couldn't convert at 6 to 5 vs. an easier group last week. I'll use her underneath tonight. (7) SAULSBROOK OLYMPIA likely passes a few of these late and takes a small share.

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