Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 6/9
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Top Pick Stats: 248 - 770 / $1,333.10 (-$224.90)
Best Bets: 40 - 70/ $146.10 (+$6.10)
Spot Plays: 14 - 71/ $83.30 (-$58.70)
Best Bet: GAINES HANOVER (4TH)
Spot Play: HESOHOT HANOVER (5TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,2,6/3,4,8,10/1,2,7/7/3,7,10 = $21.60
Late Pick 5: 2,4,6/4,5,6,8/2,6/1,8/6,7,8 = $28.80
Early Pick 4: 7/3,7,10/2,4,6/4,5,6,8 = $7.20
Late Pick 4: 2,6/1,8/6,7,8/6,7 = $4.80
Race 1: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**
(1) TALK CURDY TO ME closed a bit of ground late in a fast Gold mile last time which should be an indicator that she should be coming around to her best form. She gets the nod facing easier here. (2) BETTORS PUNCH fell just short of pulling off a big Gold upset in a good effort. She will likely get more aggressive in this spot, and she is in with a good chance. (6) TWIN DELIGHT goes back to returning trainer Steacy and she fits well vs. this group. She is another to consider for the early Pick 5. (4) IMA DOLL is improving, and driver Borth is going well with his Mohawk Park drives. She should be in the exotics mix at a minimum.
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Race 2: 3 YO FILLIES: GRASSROOTS STARTERS IN 2023
(4) ELISES DELIGHT paced a nice back 1/2 in defeat despite being out a long way and she got a needed clean line. I'll side with her to upset in a spot where she should offer a good price. (8) CENTURY JAMILA is in peak form, and she is hard to leave out of the early Pick 5. (10) SWEETEST BELLE is another hot filly and the way she overcame an early break in stride to win a Grassroots race in London was impressive. The 10-hole might make it tough, but it should also inflate her odds if you like her. (3) UNCONTROLLED dominated in London and she is another in with a shot in a race where intent may be everything.
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Race 3: ROSES ARE RED: ELIMINATION F&M 3 YO and OLDER
Five of these seven mares will advance to the rich final of this race so speed will likely dominate, and movement will probably be limited. I'll side with (7) AMAZING DREAM N, who should blast right to the front leaving the gate. (1) GRACE HILL seems perfectly prepped for this initial stakes try of the year and she is another that should be up close throughout. (2) SO MUCH MORE tripped out to win the Forest City but she has shown dozens of times that she can grind and make her own trip. It is rarely a surprise when she wins, and she is hard to toss. (4) DOUGS BABE A is right there in every start, but I wonder if the flow will work against her tonight; using underneath.
Race 4: GOODTIMES: ELIMINATION 3YO - Pick 4
Breeders Crown winner (7) GAINES HANOVER was given a perfect tune up vs. older where he was airborne late, now its go time in the Grand Circuit; top call. If (2) TUSCAN PRINCE behaves, he is fast enough to give the choice a race: Exacta factor. (8) OSCEOLA has come back in great form at three and his gait issues appear to be well behind him now. I'll use him underneath from the widest post. (1) CHALLENGER steps into the deep end here bit a Melander/Dunn trotter would not be a huge surprise in this spot.
Race 5: NW $2,000 L3
(3) HESOHOT HANOVER is getting closer and post relief can make the difference tonight; slight nod in a tough race. (7) COOL CLIFFORD made two moves on a dominant winner, and this is an easier spot. He figures to be a big threat. (10) SOUTHWIND CAESER is another horse that is reaching his best form and he should offer a great price starting from the widest post tonight; using. (6) SHES BEER LEAGUE was facing tougher when last seen here and she should close for a share.
Race 6: ROSES ARE RED: ELIMINATION F&M 3 YO and OLDER - Pick 5
(6) TREACHEROUS DRAGON went a big trip in the Betsy Ross, and she was unlucky in defeat. She gets top billing here. (4) MIKALA was 2nd in the Milton Stakes here last year and she should be ready to fire a big mile here in her third start off the bench; using. (2) SILVER LABEL is razor-sharp, and she can get brave if she gets left alone on the engine for too long. She is not impossible facing tougher tonight. (3) KOBES GIGI stole a win on the front end last time in a race where some rivals were raced conservatively. I'll use her underneath here.
Race 7: GOODTIMES: ELIMINATION 3YO
(4) DJIMON looked great this spring until he started to have gait issues. Adding trotting hopples tonight can make the difference and he should offer a square price; top call. (8) HASTY BID is unlucky to have three narrow 2nds in three starts this year. He should be put into play leaving the gate here and he figures to be a big threat. (5) GHOSTLY CASPER looked good breaking his maiden in a Gold race and he is peaking now. He is another in with a shot in a competitive race. (6) WARRAWEE YANG is yet another sharp contender in a race that will likely be decided by tactics.
Race 8: F&M NW $4,150 L5 - Pick 4
(6) GOUDAWON drops and I expect a change in tactics and a more aggressive steer in this spot. She is the one to beat. (2) SPEAKER NANCY is the other dropper, and she should get put into play early by Henry. She figures to be the main threat. (7) IN THE MOOD is sharp and she gets J Mac tonight. She is in the exotics mix. (3) THEREALPRINCESS should improve at this level and land in the exotics.
Race 9: F&M NW $20,000 L5 or $35,550 L10 AE: 4YO
(8) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP would have won the Mares Preferred last week if there was a good flow. She should be tough vs. this group. (1) RAPTORS WON got hung out to dry in the Forest City now she drops. She should be one of the n main contenders here and maybe the one to catch at the 1/8th pole. (2) WESTERN WISH is another dropper that is worth a look, and she will likely get a good trip tonight racing near the front. (5) MYSTIFYING got a perfect setup in the Forest City and she was right there at the finish. She likely closes for a share again.
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Race 10: F&M NW $8,500 L5 AE: Starters for a purse of $12K or less L3
(6) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY has been a new and improved mare racing out of the Laver barn and her best race was probably her most recent where she was part of some big fractions and still was only beaten a length. She gets J Mac back tonight; top call. (7) SHOOT THE WHISKEY dropped and popped and she fits okay here. She is sharp and dangerous. (8) SILENT CROSSING is worth a look for the exotics on the driver change to McNair alone; using. (4) TWIN B TIPSTER is a tough one to predict because she is capable with the right trip, but typically more likely to take a share than a win. I'll use her underneath tonight.
Race 11: F&M 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 5 or $45,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO Claiming $50,000
(6) SHESASHARPSHOOTER raced terrific last week, and it took a stellar mile by a Grand Circuit-level sophomore to beat her. She gets top billing here. (7) COZ IM SPECIAL is going well for Barrington now and she figures to be a big threat to repeat. (9) CHELSIS CHOICE has hit her best stride but from out there she will likely rally from the back for another share; using underneath. (8) VALLEY OF FEAR qualified decently, and she picks up the leading driver. She should be good for a slice. (4) SWEET SANDY LOU likely flashes speed and sticks around for another small share here.

