Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 6/17

Meet Stats: 285 - 925 / $1,557.20 (-$292.80)

Best Bets: 48 - 88 / $163.60 (-$12.40)

Spot Plays: 28 - 88 / $182.00 (+$6.00)

Best Bet: ALWAYS B A STAR (6TH)

Spot Play: DAISY DAY (2ND)

Early Pick 5: 1,3,8/5,7,8/6,10/3,6,8/1,4 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 6/3,5,6/5,6/2/4,5,6 = $3.60

Early Pick 4: 3,6,8/1,4/6/3,5,6 = $18

Late Pick 4: 3,5,6/5,6/2/4,5,6 = $18

Race 1: F&M 4YO and Younger NW4 or $40,000 LT AE: 4YO to be claimed for $40,000 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) BEST KEEPSAKE tripped out to take a new life's mark last week and she is well positioned to get another good trip here; call to repeat. (8) QUEBECOISE made several moves two starts back when she was last in this class and she could offer some Pick 5 value starting from an outside post tonight. (1) MOMENTARILY was aggressively handled to take a new lifetime mark, but this is a tougher NW3 field tonight. I wouldn't take a short price here. (4) CHELSIS CHOICE flies home every race but she is typically out of position turning home; using underneath.

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Race 2: 2YO Fillies

(8) DAISY DAY, a $24,000 Lexington buy, is a 1/2-sister to double OSS Gold winner Dabra Day and she looks ready for this career debut based on her winning June 10th qualifier. I'll give her the nod over (7) HORN PLAYER, from the first crop of stallion Tactical Landing, who also comes in off a strong winning qualifier. (5) UNA MADONNA is another Tactical Landing filly being sent out by The Stable and she is highly regarded according to the content in The Stable's YouTube videos. (2) HEAVENS FURY trotted a nice back 1/2 in her lone qualifier and she can close for a share here.

Race 3: 5YO and Younger NW3 or $45,000 LT AE: 4YO to be claimed for $25,000

(6) COLD CREEK QUESO was an easy winner when facing similar now he draws better tonight; call to repeat. (10) VELOCITY CHAPS tried the North America Cup elims and is now obviously in easier. He should still offer a good price starting from the widest post and he is worth using in the Pick 5. (1) NOCH TEN's potent gate speed always puts him in position to land in the exotics and he never gets bet. I'll use him in the bottom of the Tri and Super. (5) CHIKABOOM is better than he has shown in his two starts this year and he adds Lasix for this; price look.

Race 4: F&M NW $16,600 L5 or $35,000 L10 or NW $110,000 LT - Pick 4

Tough race here. (3) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL finished willingly while lacking room on the inside in the lane and I'll take a swing for the fences with her in a spot where she is sure to offer a big price. (8) BETTER BE DONNA N is a conundrum here because she takes a big class drop but she has missed more than a month and she is drawn widest. She can beat these but fitness questions and intent after missing a month makes it hard to take a short price. (6) IN THE MOOD just beat the top sophomore pacing filly in the country but facing older in between sires stakes starts she is no lock and she will likely get overbet here; your call. (1) IMSHORTANDSWEET N is another that lacked room late that finished with pace. She figures for the exotics here.

Race 5: Pop-Up Series Final Horses and Geldings

(4) HERVEY HANOVER is peaking at the perfect time for this final and he draws well. I'll give him the nod over the other obvious contender, (1) SHADOW IN RED, who is unbeaten in the preliminary legs but will be under the gun from the start. (7) BAYFIELD BEACH set big splits in defeat last week and he is another that is improving leading up to the final. He is another in with a shot. (5) MR MACH JIMMY should make another late charge for a slice tonight.

Race 6: 2YO Fillies - Pick 5

Homebred (6) ALWAYS B A STAR, 1/2-sister to 13-time winner and Race 13 favorite No Plan Intended, looks well-prepped for this debut and she likely converts as the chalk here on debut. (2) CHARMING VIXEN is a 1/2-sister to several winners including $428K winner Happy Trio (1:50 2/5 M). Her lone qualifier makes her the main threat to the choice. (1) BEST SHOW goes from Toscani to Macdonald tonight and that makes her interesting at a price. (7) ASHLEES SWEETIE finished well in her lone qualifier and she is worth using underneath at a price.

Race 7: F&M NW $10,600 L5 or $20,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $35,000 - Pick 4

(5) COWGIRL LILLY got held up on the far turn and early in the lane last week, then she finished well when she was shown racetrack in deep stretch. Her form is improving and I'll give her the nod here. (3) SETTN A PREDECENT tried the best mares last week and she wasn't disgraced. I can see her coming with a big late rush tonight in this fifth start back; using. (6) BEACH MOMENT should get a better pace trip tonight not trying to chase razor-sharp Control The Thong. She's a threat to wire these. (2) MY MOTHER PEARL should come on late for a small share as she usually does.

Race 8: F&M NW $2,250 L3 or horses that have started for a purse of $9K or less AE: OPT CLM $10,000

(6) ITTY BITTY raced decently in defeat last week, she was simply third best. This looks like a spot where she can control the pace on the lead and she gets top call. (5) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N is in easier here and her late kick should play better vs. these; using. (1) HANNAH ON THE VIRG won't get hung the mile tonight like she did in her last start at Georgian Downs. She can sit a trip and take a share. (3) PERFECT ROMI is another one that will likely ride the pylons and emerge late to land in the exotics.

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Race 9: F&M NW $37,500 L5 AE: NW $175,000 LT

(2) KARMA SEELSTER makes her third start back and she faces much easier tonight. I think she wires these. (5) SNOW SHARK is helped by the short field here and she figures to be the late threat. (4) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP tried the front end and it didn’t work out last week. I think she sits and rallies for a share here. (3) SHES NUN BETTOR N won as an overlay last week now she faces better; small share predicted.

Race 10: F&M that have started for a purse of $15,000 or less in 1 of L4

(6) GOODNIGHT IRENE comes off a sharp try where she was moving well late but ran out of racetrack. She draws best and gets the leading driver tonight and she has a great chance to erase the goose egg in her 2022 win column. (4) NIGHTLIFE SEELSTER draws much better tonight and she should get put into the race earlier. She is another one that I'll use on late multi-race tickets. (5) TWIN B TIPSTER gets off the rail and she was a winner facing similar last time she drew in the middle of the gate. She has upset potential tonight. (1) SPORTY TORI was a couple of lengths behind the choice last time and she should be in the exotics mix again tonight. (10) MIA CULPA can pass a few of these and land a share at a price.