Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 5/5

Top Pick Stats: 194 - 567 / $1,067.20 (-$66.80)

Best Bets: 30 - 51 / $117.80 (+$15.80)

Spot Plays: 11 - 51 / $69.30 (-$32.70)

Best Bet: MOLLOP HANOVER (1ST)

Spot Play: FLYING FORMATION (10TH)

Early Pick 5: 8/1,3,8/2,8/1,2,5/2,4,6 = $10.80

Late Pick 5: 3,9/6,8/1,5,8/5,6/5,6,9 = $14.20

Early Pick 4: 1,2,5/2,4,6/3,9/6,8 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 5,6/5,6,9/4/1,2,4,5,7 = $6

Race 1: F&M 5YO and Younger NW $15,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(8) MOLLOP HANOVER was no secret on debut, and she couldn't have won any easier despite racing first up; call to repeat. (3) KUPER TROOPER is the other filly in here coming off an impressive win and she figures to be the main threat. (5) SIS raced okay at big odds to take a slice and she is worth using underneath in this second start back. (4) VIRTUAL KISS raced okay on an off track vs. a sharp repeat winner. She can be part of the Super.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: F&M 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 4 or NW $45KLT AE: 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $50,000

Speedy (3) SAVETHELASTDANCE paced a 53-flat back 1/2 in her qualifier on 4/28. If she keeps these fillies in her sights, she wins this sophomore debut. (1) STARLIGHT DANCER shaded the choice in that race, and she is worth a look for the Pick 5. (8) FRESHEN UP’s sophomore debut was solid and she is worth using at a price here in a spot where she might blast. (5) BIG BIG PLANS probably needed her seasonal debut start and she can improve enough to land in the exotics tonight.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: F&M 5YO and Younger NW $15,000 LT

(2) DEWITT THIS MOMENT took a shot from the 10-hole in the Spring series final and it didn’t work out, but she gets class and post relief now and I'll side with her in this spot. (8) MOONLIT AFFAIR’s 27-flat kick couldn't even get her a check last time because the early pace was dawdling. She should be right there tonight. (5) IMA DOLL returned in a tough spot and either of the top two from that race would be favored here. She can crack the exotics. (6) PINK MONSTER rarely misses the top 4. I'll use her in the bottom of the Super.

Race 4: F&M 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,500 LT - Pick 4
(1) STAR SO BRIGHT raced great from a wide post in her sophomore debut now she gets an inside draw in a spot where she seems to fit like a glove; top call. (2) TRUE THAT was first up against the winning chalk in the Spring series in a decent effort and she should find this field more to her liking; using. (5) PADDY MELT flashed speed then got shuffled out of the race when the pace accelerated. That field was better than the one she faces tonight, and she is worth using at a price. (4) HERES THE THING's late kick could get her into the Super vs. these.

Race 5: F&M CLM $35,000

(4) COZ IM SPECIAL races for Barrington off the claim and that trainer has won with his last three starters at this track. His horses are very tough to beat when he gets this hot; top call. (6) COME ROLL WITH ME couldn't be much hotter and she can win with any trip it seems. She's the one the choice needs to take down. (2) SWEET SANDY LOU, stablemate to the choice, got stung early last week and she paid the price late. She should get a better trip this time and she is in with a chance. (7) JITTERS BETTOR is the other mare racing off the claim here and her trainer has won with two of her last five starters. She should be good for a share tonight.

Race 6: 3YO Colts and Geldings NW $5,000 LT - Pick 5

(3) STEEL COWBOY returns quicker after racing well first up against a winner that paced the fastest quarter of the race at the end. He should have a big shot to control this race from the outset. (9) FREE TO DREAM exits the same race and it’s a good sign that he passed some horses in that fast kicker. He is the other one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (1) MUFFERAW JOE has improving form, but I don't love the rail post for him. I'll use him underneath as a likely underlay. (8) BACKSTREET BOOGIE likely has more to offer than he showed in his two qualifiers, and he is sent out by cagey trainer Brethour. He is worth using in the exotics at a price.

Race 7: NW $4,000 L5 AE: NW $1,000 L3 or $4,000 in 2023

Good race here with several options. (6) BUCK DANCER raced better last week, and he could reach peak form tonight and turn the tables on (8) VILLEFRANCHE AS. The latter was full value for that win racing first up and pulling away late. She figures to be a threat right back. (9) TEXACO MAN is another that comes off a good effort and he should be in the hunt here, assuming he gets put into the race at the start. (7) PHEONIX stayed flat and beat easier and he is another that is capable in this spot.

Race 8: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000

(5) ILLUSION SEELSTER looks cranked up and ready for her sophomore debut and she should prove hard to beat if she repeats her latest qualifying effort. (8) GRANDEUR SEELSTER has the fastest mark of any of these and she should provide a stiff challenge to the choice if she gets position leaving the gate. (1) ELISES DELIGHT is the alternative to the returnees as you know how sharp she is. Her price could make her worth a play tonight. (2) FREESTARFLIGHT stole some cheap fractions racing in the rain and she was never getting caught. Tonight, she gets tested as she puts her 2023 unbeaten streak on the line, and I see her taking only a share.

Race 9: FILLIES and MARES PREFERRED 2 - Pick 4

(5) GIAS SURREAL is the class here and I expect her to blast to the front and go right down the road. (6) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN’s 2023 debut should act as a nice tightener, and she should be an Exacta factor here. (2) MYSTIFYING flew up the inside late to take a narrow decision vs. easier, but she kicked in 25 4/5 and she can close for a slice here. (8) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP has her work cut out starting from the widest post. I'll try to beat her out of the Tri.

Race 10: NW $2,150 L3

This is a good spot for (9) FLYING FORMATION, and I expect McNair to leave a bit with him to get positioned in mid pack early, top call. (6) ROSIES WAR BONDS should clear to the front early in this spot and that gives her a decent chance; using. (5) ON THE ROPES should be better in this second start back and I won’t be surprised if Drury leaves with him. He is worth a look at a price. (1) J S JASPER goes for the leading trainer and gets the leading driver, and those changes can lead to him landing in the bottom of the exotics.

[DRF HARNESS: Sign up for our FREE DRF Harness Digest Newsletter]

Race 11: F&M NW $8,000 L5 AE: Starters for a purse of $12,000 or less L2

(4) JK ROLLINS BABY jogged last time she raced this low, and she is the clear one to beat making a multi-level class drop tonight. (6) SO FRISKY raced great last week only to be picked off by a rival that got a bit of a lucky trip and sprinted up the pylons to nail her. She couldn't be much sharper and she should be a threat right back. (3) A GIRL THAT TWIRLS is another dropper that figures to improve in this spot. She should close to be part of the Tri. (2) SNOW SHARK is better when she can stalk and close and she will probably find her way into the exotics tonight.

Race 12: F&M NW $4,000 L5 or $10,100 L10

(5) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL had three starts back vs. better now she gets class and post relief, and she gets a driver change to Henry. It's go time tonight. (1) MY MOTHER PEARL is an obvious threat on the drop and Jamieson should get her positioned in mid pack leaving the gate. I could see her winning this racing first up. (4) AMERICAN TICKET raced better as expected last week but the dropping winner was never going to be caught. She is in with a chance here. (7) TWIN B BETTY is sharp, and her good late kick should get her a share tonight. (2) TWIN B TIPSTER figures to be an exotics factor starting from the inside tonight.