Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 5/12

Top Pick Stats: 207 - 612 / $1,1126.50 (-$97.50)

Best Bets: 33 - 55 / $127.10 (+$17.10)

Spot Plays: 12 - 55 / $73.80 (-$36.20)

Best Bet: MOLLOP HANOVER (6TH)

Spot Play: TALK CURDY TO ME (8TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,5,7,9/3,8/3,6,9/8,9/1,7,8 = $28.80

Late Pick 5: 4/2,4/1,5/1,5/1,8,9 = $4.80

Early Pick 4: 8,9/1,7,8/4/2,4 = $2.40

Late Pick 4: 1,5/1,5/1,8,9/1,7,9 = $7.20

Race 1: 5YO and younger NW1 or $7,500 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(9) BAR DOWN JIM was out most of the mile and he still almost got the job done last week. I'll stick with him here. (3) MIDNIGHT NATION is obviously fast enough to contend here, but he likely has his sights set on some Gold races and you have to wonder why he raced only twice at two. I will be careful to not take a very short price here. (5) P L QUICKSAND showed some grit last week holding off (7) STEEL COWBOY. Both are improving and in with a chance here.

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Race 2: F&M 5YO and Younger NW $15,000 LT

(8) KUPER TROOPER was a good 2nd to an impressive repeating filly that could be anything. She gets top billing here. (3) STAR SO BRIGHT started the year off sharp and she will likely set up shop on the engine again here. She will likely be the one to beat. (6) PROVE EM WRONG paced a huge uncovered mile to beat Star So Bright two weeks ago and she should be heard from here again. (1) MISS BRICKLEY has Grand Circuit lines from last year and she is good enough to take a share vs. these.

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Race 3: SBOA Elimination 3YO Colts and Geldings Trot

Comebacker (3) HASTY BID looks sharp, and he should get a setup for his strong late kick; top call. (6) DARBYSHIRE was absolutely hammered at the windows last week and he was a no-doubt winner. He is worth using here at what could be a square price. (9) OSCEOLA is a high quality colt that can be quirky. He can beat these if he stays flat. Consider him for the Pick 5. (8) GHOSTLY CASPER looked like a short horse last week. He will be sharper, and he is worth using in the exotics.

Race 4: 3YO colts and geldings NW $5,000 LT - Pick 4

(8) CHASING GOOSEBUMPS ships in from Ottawa in excellent form and he picks up the leading driver who should point him to the front leaving the gate. He should be the one to catch. $300,000 Harrisburg buy (9) TWIN B NATION looked ready to roll but he was a sick scratch. He stacks up well vs. these and he should be a threat despite drawing wide. (1) FREE TO DREAM paced a decent back 1/2 last time and he should close for a slice. $110,000 Harrisburg buy (7) URIEL BLUE CHIP faced some of the best sophomore pacing colts in his most recent qualifier and he shaved considerable time off. He is worth using underneath.

Race 5: SBOA Elimination 3YO Colts and Geldings Trot

Great betting race here with several ways you could go. (8) TUSCAN PRINCE, a Gold winner at 2, gets a driver switch to aggressive teamster Roy, who qualified the gelding three times this spring. I'll give him a slight nod. 2022 Grassroots champ (7) NOTHINGBUTADREAMER looks ready for The Stable who typically sends them ready to roll at first asking; using. (1) ROUGH TUFF TESTED has looked good so far this spring and his good gate speed should help him overcome the rail. He is another in with a shot. (6) PASSARINO jogged vs. easier. I'll use him on the bottom in this spot.

Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 - Pick 5

(4) MOLLOP HANOVER has won two straight like she could be any kind and she will likely run her win streak to three here at a miniscule price. (3) GRANDEUR SEELSTER figures to improve off her opener starting from a much better post tonight; Exacta factor. (5) STARLIGHT DANCER is another that should improve in this second start back and land in the exotics. (1) ELISES DELIGHT should sit a trip and take another small share here.

Race 7: NW $2,200 L3

(4) HAMMER TIME gets to take a big drop here and he should wake up in this spot. (2) J S JASPER was good here last week, trotting a sub-28 kicker in defeat and he should be a late threat tonight; using. (3) ANGELS EXPRESS is another dropper that should improve by default at this low level. Toss him in Tri and Super bets. (9) TEXACO MAN can get a piece of this if he stays flat tonight.

Race 8: F&M 5YO and Younger NW $15,000 LT - Pick 4

(1) TALK CURDY TO ME was qualified both times by Macdonald, who asked for nothing except in the final 1/4s where this filly showed some late zip. She should offer a good price here and I'll give her a slight nod over fast-improving (5) MOONSTRUCK. The latter comes off a powerful first up win and she should contend right back despite facing tougher. (2) MOONLIT AFFAIR raced decently last week but Macdonald opted for the rail horse over her. I'll use her underneath. (4) SHAKE IT TWICE finished well last week, but I'm not sure that is enough to make her the morning line favorite here. I'll play to beat her.

Race 9: F&M NW $15,000 L5 or NW9 LT AE: starters for a purse of $12K or less L3

(1) VOELZ DELIGHT drops to a spot where she should be looking to control the race on the engine, and she is the one to beat. (5) MS QUICK SAND missed a check last week and that allows her to drop to the level where she was winning comfortably in April. She figures to be the main threat to the choice. (8) SO FRISKY went a huge trip to take a new life's mark when facing easier last week. She is razor-sharp and she can get a piece of this. (4) WESTERN WISH should be good for another small share in this spot; using on the bottom.

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Race 10: F&M NW $8,000 L5

(1) IN THE MOOD takes a huge drop here and she should beat these providing she gets an alert start from the rail post. (9) TWIN B BETTY looked good dropping several seconds in a winning effort here last week and she could be the value play stepping up to face some droppers here; using. (8) JKS ROLLIN BABY couldn't get past a resilient leader last week that paced a huge mile. I can see her getting a slice in this second try at this level. (2) BETTER BE DONNA N can sit a trip near the front and land in the exotics.

Race 11: F&M Claiming $35,000

(1) SUNDAY AFTERNOON gets tagged for the first time in what will be her 176th start. Expecting an aggressive Drury steer, she gets top billing. (9) GOLDEN LEADER went a big trip last week and she looked like a winner, but the 1 to 2 chalk was resurgent in deep stretch to nail her. She should be a speed threat right back. (7) PREMIER BETTINA takes a big jump up off the Montini claim, but she couldn't be any sharper and Macdonald sticks. She is worth including in the late Pick 4. (3) SWEET SANDY LOU raced decently last week considering the favorite she was following backed her up on the last turn, then came again to win. She should get a share tonight. (5) KATYS DELIGHT is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics on the barn change.