Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 5/10

Top Pick Stats: 229 - 706 / $1133.60 (-$278.40)

Best Bets: 38 - 66 / $123.20 (-$8.80)

Spot Plays: 9 - 64 / $46.60 (-$81.40)

Best Bet: THIS MAGIC MOMENT (4TH)

Spot Play: PREMIER FIRST STAR (6TH)

Early Pick 5: 7,9/5,6,9/6,8/10/1,7,9 = $7.20

Late Pick 5: 3,7,8/3,5,6/4,7/1,3,5/3,5 = $21.60

Early Pick 4: 10/1,7,9/3,7,8/3,5,6 = $5.40

Late Pick 4: 1,3,5/3,5/5,6,7/9,10 = $7.20

Race 1: 3YO colts and geldings NW $5,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

$85,000 Harrisburg buy (9) BETTORSTOPMENOW, a 1/2 to $712K earner Fortify (20 wins, 1:47 3/5 S.) lands in a good spot for his debut and he looks fast enough to beat these; top call. (7) NATURALBORN LEADER brought $225,000 at Lexington being a 1/2 to five that have earned more than $400,000. He improved quite a bit in his final qualifier, and he should contend here at first asking. (5) JIMMY JETS is faster at three and he should be in the exotics mix again. (1) VINCENDI BLUE CHIP has been beat at 1 to 2 and 1 to 5 and he will probably get bet again. I’ll play to beat him here.

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Race 2: 5YO and younger winners of 2 (F&M3) but not more than 4 (F&M5) or $45,000 LT

(6) MASS HYSTERIA took a new life’s mark when he exited the Graduate Series, and he draws best here. I’ll call him to repeat. (5) KINNDER MOTOWN had a good seasonal debut and he has shown that he knows where the winners circle is. He should be the main threat tonight. (9) SEND IT IN HANOVER needed a clean line when he finished 6th to the choice. He was parked the mile that night and I could see him getting a better trip here at a price; using. (1) CACTUSTOTHECLOUDS was 2nd to the choice last week but I don’t love the rail post for him here. I’ll use him on the bottom.

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Race 3: FILLIES & MARES PREFERRED HANDICAP. PP#1-5 DRAWN. PP#6-8 DRAWN

Good betting race here with the aged Gallucci mares returning to action. That being said, that might provide some value on (8) TELLS ON A ROLL, who has raced tremendous for several weeks in a row. (6) SILVER LABEL signaled that she is ready to go beating males in 1:52-flat in her latest qualifier and she would be no surprise here coming off a terrific four-year-old season. (2) SO MUCH MORE is racing well, but she has only one win from eight starts this season and I’ll use her underneath here. (7) PROHIBITION LEGAL fired a big kicker on April 29th and she should be part of the exotics here.

Race 4: F&M 4YO and younger NW $15,000 LT - Pick 4

(10) THIS MAGIC MOMENT jogged at 1 to 9 in her return race and she stands out here, too. She should double up vs. these despite drawing widest. (7) GRANNYS WATCHING was a decent Grassroots performer at two and she can complete the Exacta here. (2) MIKIS DUCHESS beat a filly that has since come back to win in 1:52-flat. She is in the exotics mix here. (6) KISS MY CHEEK can improve enough in this second start back to take a share.

Race 5: NW $2,000 L3 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(9) MISTER MAGIC has always done his best work with Drury at the controls and I’ll give him the call to upset with that driver returning to the bike here. (7) EPIC DREAMER raced well from the 10-hole now he draws better and retains the leading driver. He will likely be the one to catch here. (1) WHAT AN ANGEL was facing tougher in Ohio and he qualified well here on May 6th. He is another that can win here that will be on my multi-race tickets. (2) PRINCE OF SUSSEX should improve with the move inside and he is worth using on the bottom at a price.

Race 6: 4YO and younger NW1 or $7,500 LT - Pick 5

(7) PREMIER FIRST STAR lacked room for most of the stretch then finished willingly once he found some racetrack in deep stretch. That was a good field, and the 2nd-place finisher has already come back to win. I’ll take a price swing with him here. (8) CHESTERMAN got a good trip and converted with a nice debut win, and he is probably the one to beat here; using. (3) BET ON SUNSHINE has kicked home in 26 and change in every start this year so far. He won’t be held off much longer. (5) WICKED GAMES was better in her second start, and he should be in the exotics mix here.

Race 7: NW $20,000 in 2023/24 or N/A $1,000 P/S in 2023/24

(6) FEEL THE FORCE took all the action at the windows last week making his second start for Budd, returning quicker, and getting Macdonald in the bike. He can be even sharper now, and he gets the call to repeat. (3) ER NORMA had her win streak in this class broken when she ran before the start then was used hard to make front. She will likely be the one to catch if she stays flat. (5) ANGEL OF MY DREAMS was closest to the choice at the wire, and she could get a setup here; using. (7) MY HOLY MOLEY raced okay when making a late charge to finish 4th behind the choice and he can take a share here.

Race 8: F&M 5YO and younger NW2 or $30,000 LT

(4) PASS AND STOW was only beaten two lengths in a Grand Circuit race when last seen and she looks ready to roll here based on her 25 3/5 kicker on 5/3; top call. (7) DISTANT LOVER backed up late in a race that was dominated by closers despite the final 1/4 being paced in 26 3/5. She is capable of better and Macdonald sticks with her. (8) REIGNING JADE looks well prepped by Steacy but she will likely get a conservative drive starting from a wide post; small share predicted. (1) TRIBAL DANCER had a good rookie season and she can sit a good trip and land in the exotics tonight.

Race 9: F&M NW $9,050 L5 or $17,800 L10 AE: OPT CLM $50,000 - Pick 4

(5) MIST AMBER was good in the Graduate Series and she meets a field here that she has a good chance of beating with her usual late kick; slight nod. (1) SHES GOT IT ALL signaled a return to her best form in her last start now she moves off post 10. I could see Filion making an early move to the front and controlling the pace tonight; using. (3) CAVIAR N CRACKERS was airborne late last week and if there is a late pace meltdown here, her chances will be good. She is another to consider for late multi-race tickets. (2) RAPTORS WON dropped, popped, now she steps back up. I see her as a fringe player here.

Race 10: NW $4,350 L5

(3) STORM TROTTER got a start in and he drops now. He should be tight and get a more aggressive drive; top call. (5) BUCK DANCER is another dropper that should be sent forward leaving the gate and I could see these two battling for the win here. (8) VILLEFRANCHE AS made a middle move to the front in an improved effort last week. She is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics at a price. (1) CADILLAC comes off a nice win but these are tougher; small share predicted.

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Race 11: F&M NW $18,500 L5 or NW $100,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $70,000

(6) GLENBORO couldn’t go with Dabarndawgswatchin last week in a sub-1:50 mile but she projects to get another good trip racing close to the front again and she has a great shot to beat these. (7) KELE KELE dropped, popped, and took a new life’s mark and she could be the one to catch here again; using. (5) GIAS SURREAL figures to get a more aggressive steer here moving from the 10-hole to the middle of the gate and she is another to consider for the late Pick 4. (4) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL is another that is in easier that can take a share here passing some rivals late.

Race 12: F&M NW $1,550 L3 AE: OPT CLM $18,000

The two class droppers lined up on the far outside will likely battle it out here. (10) JM BETONSIX gets Lasix and Macdonald and a big speed try is probably coming; top call. (9) FEAR THE CRUSH raced better last week and she should be the main threat on the class drop. (2) GOODNIGHT IRENE comes off a decent try vs. Raptors Won and Duchenne and she should be able to sit another good trip here and land in the Tri. (3) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY moves inside where she can get better position early. She can close for a slice here. (1) MYSTIC WILD ROSE takes frequent checks and she qualified well for this. She is another to consider for the bottom of the exotics.