Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 4/14
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Top Pick Stats: 160 - 478 / $873.60 (-$82.40)
Best Bets: 27 - 43 / $108.50 (+$22.50)
Spot Plays: 9 - 43 / $59.60 (-$26.40)
Best Bet: NO CONTROL (9TH)
Spot Play: SWEET SANDY LOU (12TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,3/2,10/4,5/2,3,8,11/4,6,7 = $19.20
Late Pick 5: 4,6/4,10/2,4,6,7/4/8,10 = $6.40
Early Pick 4: 2,3,8,11/4,6,7/4,6/4,10 = $9.60
Late Pick 4: 8,10/4,5/2,7,8/1,6,7,9 = $9.60
Race 1: ONTARIO SPRINGS SERIES TROT for 3YO Colts and Geldings 2nd Leg **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**
(3) AIRBORNE moved too late to have any chance vs. razor-sharp Devils Arch last week. In this short field I expect a more aggressive steer and a winning effort. (1) CENTURY JAGUAR made an uncharacteristic break in the opening leg of the series. He should be a threat racing from close range tonight if he stays flat. (5) SAYONARA ROYALTY can close late to take another share here. (4) YANK MY HALO is another that can pass a couple late. I'll use him on the bottom.
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Race 2: F&M 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,500 LT
(10) DANCE WITH TABBY raced well in defeat last week and she has a big shot to blast to the front and lead all the way vs. this group. (2) CONTROLTHEDISTANCE took a mark of 1:55 1/5 at two so she is obviously fast enough to win this. She is the other one that I'll use in the Pick 5. (5) BETTOR CALL MOM, a $125,000 Determination buy is by the top pacing sire and worth a look for the exotics on debut. (6) TWO ACROSS MARION should be good for another small slice here.
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Race 3: ONTARIO SPRINGS SERIES TROT for 3YO Colts and Geldings 2nd Leg
(4) LIKE CHAOS is on a roll and owner/trainer Richardson steps aside and hands the reins over to Henry this week. I'll give him a slight nod over (5) DEVILS ARCH, who easily sped away from his rivals in the lane last week and is the obvious threat. (3) P C PETERBILT was first up in his debut, and I can see him sitting back and rallying for a slice here. (2) CRYSTAL BALLER got a needed clean line last week. He is in the exotics mix here.
Race 4: ONTARIO SIRED GRADUATE SERIES PACE for Ont. Sired 4YO Mares 1st Leg - Pick 4
(2) RAPTORS WON couldn't seal the deal vs. an iron-tough aged mare last week but that was a good effort, and she gets the nod here in a spot where she should offer a good price. (3) SILVER LABEL is obviously one of the best in here but she might need one before hitting her best form so I would be careful to not take too short of a price here. (8) SPEAKER NANCY looked good vaulting past rivals to take her 2023 debut and she is another that could win this with a trip. (11) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON is sharp and she has shown in the past that she can take a lot of air and keep advancing. Hudon will likely have her on the move early and she is another in with a shot.
Race 5: NW $4,000 L5 or $10,200 L8 AE: NW2 L10
(6) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE raced okay facing a repeat winner here on Monday night now he gets off the rail and he draws best; top call. (4) GOLD EDITION looks sharp for this 2023 debut, and he would be no surprise in this spot. (7) RUN DIRECTOR was 1 to 5 facing similar and a break in stride took him out of the race. He could do here, but he hasn't won in forever and I won't take a short price. (2) VILLEFRANCHE AS should contend for another minor share.
Race 6: ONTARIO SIRED GRADUATE SERIES PACE for Ont. Sired 4YO 1st Leg - Pick 5
(6) DULY RESOLVED should be sharp having got two preps in for this series. His best puts him right there with these and I'll take a price swing with him. (4) ADARE CASTLE was the top 3YO trotting filly in Canada last year, but she gets tested here facing males for the first time. She is an obvious contender but no lock in this spot. (5) SAFE CONDUCT was winning the OSS Superfinal when last seen and he looks sharp for this return; price look. (2) ESPLOSIONE made an explosive third 1/4 brush to win going away last time, but these are much tougher. I’ll use him underneath.
Race 7: F&M 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,500 LT
(4) MOONLIT AFFAIR showed promise in her debut then had lameness issues last year. She looks ready to roll based on the nice back 1/2 that she paced in her qualifier on April 3rd; top call. (10) BLUE GLAMBER is one of only two winners in this field and she is fast enough for these. She could do if she gets put into the race from her wide post. (1) DANGEROUS CURVES has a good debut race to build from and she is another that should be considered for the late Pick 5. (3) MYOUTSIDEVOICE raced okay first up last week, and she should be in the exotics mix.
Race 8: ONTARIO SIRED SPRING SERIES PACE Ont. Sired 3YO Colts and Geldings 2nd Leg
(2) GANDOLF THE BLACK raced well in the opening leg, but he was picked off by a colt that is likely the best off all in this series. This gelding has a good chance tonight. (4) NULLI SECONDUS steps up from a strong maiden win and he figures to be one of the main contenders here; using. (6) SPEAKER OF PEACE was too far back in the opening leg. He draws best here, and he should be closer early. Better positioning gives him a chance tonight. (7) BAR DOWN JIM raced evenly behind a slow pace, and he is in the exotics mix tonight.
Race 9: ONTARIO SIRED SPRING SERIES PACE Ont. Sired 3YO Colts and Geldings 2nd Leg
Good race here with several sharp colts knocking heads, but (4) NO CONTROL is the one to beat and he will only be sharper this week coming off last week's winning 2023 debut effort; top call. (2) NIGHTIME DANCER looked terrific winning last week but I'm not sure he beat much there. He gets tested now. (5) ARTSALIVE is clearly a different horse at three and he is another that will get a class test here, but his strong form makes him a contender. (6) RED COIN comes off a sick scratch and lands in a tough spot. I'll play to beat him tonight.
Race 10: NW $2,000 L3 - Pick 4
(8) HEAVENSDOR HANOVER drops and draws slightly better here. I see a big speed try coming vs. these and he should prove hard to catch. I like that (10) MONTEVERDI passed some rivals in the fastest 1/4 of his qualifier and he seems to fit well here. He will likely offer a big price starting from the widest post and I'll toss him on multi-race tickets. (3) ROSIES WAR BONDS seems to fit well in this class but she is more likely to take a slice than a win. (9) ASTRE DUHARAS comes in off a solid effort at Flamboro and he could land in the exotics here.
Race 11: F&M NW $8,250 L5
This is a big drop for (5) SNOW SHARK and she should be looking to go right down the road vs. these. (4) BETTER BE DONNA N is another dropper that figures to get more aggressive in this spot and I could see her being a pocket rocket in the lane; using. (3) SUNDAY AFTERNOON gets major post relief here and she should be much closer to the front early in the mile. She can take a share. (9) MYSTIFYING took a new life's mark, but this is a big step up. I'll use her on the bottom.
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Race 12: F&M 5YO and Younger Claiming $35,000
(7) SWEET SANDY LOU has been flying late and the shorter field helps her here. She should be the one to fend off in this spot. (8) BAD ROSSA drops, and she should have a good chance vs. these tonight. An aggressive Cullen steer is likely. (2) COME ROLL WITH ME has won two of three at this level and she’s hard to leave out, but I suspect she will get stung early this time. (3) PHENOM SEELSTER lacked room in the lane last week which likely cost her a top three placing. She should get a share tonight.
Race 13: F&M NW $5,450 L5 or NW5 LT
(1) SHESASHARPSHOOTER drops to a good spot, and she should get an aggressive steer tonight; top call. (6) STONEBRIDGE DRAMA steps up off a sharp effort and she should be a threat here starting from the best post. (9) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N is 0 for 10 this year but she is sharp, and I could see her getting a following trip here and vaulting past late to notch her first win of 2023; using. (7) CHELSIS CHOICE qualified well for this seasonal debut, and I can see her closing for a share. (2) ITTY BITTY is a dropper that will probably land in the bottom of the exotics.

