Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 4/1

Garnet Barnsdale|Mar 30, 2022

Meet Stats: 142 - 463 / $761.90 (-$164.10)

Best Bets: 24 - 43 / $71.30 (-$14.70)

Spot Plays: 16 - 43 / $105.10 (+$19.10)

Best Bet: TAHUYA BREW (5TH)

Spot Play: BAYWATCHING (4TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,5,7,9/5,6/6,7/2,8,9/4 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 4,5,7,9/5,6,7/1,4,5,7,8/5,8/7 = $24

Early Pick 4: 2,8,9/4/4,5,7,9/5,6,7 = $36

Late Pick 4: 1,4,5,7,8/5,8/7/3,6,7 = $30

Race 1: F&M 4YO and Younger NW3 or $31,000 LT AE: 4YO to be Claimed for $25,000 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(2) SHARK HANOVER was provided with a perfect trip by McNair last week and she converted. From a good post, she should get positioned near the front again and she gets the call to repeat. (5) P L OOOOOOOOOOYAH showed some ability last fall and she qualified well for this. She looks ready to roll and I'll use her in the early Pick 5. (7) BABY BONITA may have needed last week's start. I can see her sitting and rallying tonight. (9) ARKELL looked good rallying off dead cover to roll by a big favorite late. She has upset potential moving up one level tonight.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000) LT

(5) MYCROWNMYKINGDOM was conservatively driven in his first start back and he finished well. He should get more aggressive here and he gets top call. (6) MAPLE LEAF BOUND got a clean line that he needed last week and he is another that should get put into this race tonight; using. (8) VALI HANOVER got the best trip last week and he looked like a winner at the tote board then he hung. I wouldn't take a short price here. (7) RESOLUTE BAY qualified well for this. He should be in the exotics mix.

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Race 3: F&M NW $9,000 L5 or $20,000 L10 or NW $80,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000

(7) TUGGINONCREDIT fits best at this level, winning twice recently in this class and she should be blasting for position early; top call. (6) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL dropped and popped as expected last week. I can see her rallying well into a faltering late pace tonight; using. (4) KOUNNIS races better when she draws inside and I can see her landing in the Tri tonight. (2) TWIN B TIPSTER is another one getting post relief that can take a share tonight.

Race 4: F&M CLM HDCP $12,000 to $15,000 - Pick 4

(9) BAYWATCHING didn't get the best trip at Flamboro and her 3rd-place finish should help her price tonight returning to a level where she has had a lot of recent success at this track; top call. (2) COCO BEACH DE VIE shoots for the threepeat and she is the one to beat; using. (8) SOMETHING ROYAL gets notable barn and driver changes tonight. She could wake up here. Tab the tote for clues. (6) YNOTHOS raced tough first up last week and she should be in the exotics mix again vs. these.

Race 5: Claiming $18,000 for NW $87,000 LT

(4) TAHUYA BREW dominated at this level last week and this spot is no tougher; call to repeat. (6) BLUE MONK left, took a shuffle, and re-rallied for 3rd vs. the choice. He has licence to be closer tonight. He can be an Exacta factor. (2) LARJON LUCKY improved in his first start out of the Auciello barn now he adds Lasix. He should be in the mix tonight. (5) FINKLE IS EINHORN, a distant 2nd to the choice last week, should be part of the Tri or Super here.

Race 6: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L10 - Pick 5

(7) WHATINEEDISAMAN moves into the Cullen barn and faces easier here and I'll take a swing with her in a race with no standouts. (9) OUTLAW IMAHOTVIXEN, stablemate to the choice, also drops and she should get put into this race leaving the gate; using. (5) PATRICIA MAE was no match for the odds-on class-dropping favorite last week, but she fits well at this level and she should be a threat here. (4) SIOUX RAINBOW A should wake up with the drop to this level and she is another possibility for multi-race tickets.

Race 7: F&M 5YO and Younger NW4 or $63,000 LT AE: 4YO to be Claimed for $40,000

(6) CRUSHED PEARL looked a little dull last week, possibly affected by missing a week. Back on a 7-day rotation, she gets the nod to get back on track. (7) EASYRUNNER HANOVER set strong fractions last week then she was resilient, digging in late to repel the pocket-sitter. She should be the one to catch again. (5) AINT SHE PERFECT rallied well last week. Perhaps from too far back to threaten the winner. She is in with a shot tonight. (8) EMMY LOU HAYES got the trip last week but she couldn't get past the leader. I'll use her underneath here.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $18,000 - Pick 4

(8) BETTOR NOTBITTER A was a comfortable winner at this level last week in his second start out of a high percentage barn and I'll give him the nod to repeat despite drawing wide. (4) THUNDERING JIM is on a roll and he should be the one to catch again tonight; using. (5) CENTURY GIGALO was claimed when dropped and he is worth a look racing out of the Fellows barn. (1) MISSION THREE lacked room again last week. I can see him landing in the Tri or Super tonight.

Race 9: F&M NW $25,000 L5 or $43,000 L8 or NW $200,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000

Class droppers from the Mares Preferred figure to dominate this race where they will be happy to avoid So Much More. (8) TRAFALGAR should be leading or racing out of the pocket and she looks best; top call. (5) BETTER BE DONNA N was hard-used early last time and she paid the price late. She can get an easier trip here and she is a threat. (7) LYONS TILT HANOVER looks as good as the top two choices on paper, but she will likely depend on a certain trip here that is unlikely to go her way. I'll use her underneath. (6) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN makes her four-year-old debut facing some salty older mares but she can take a share.

Race 10: F&M Who Have Started for a Purse of $12,000 or Less in 1 of Last 4 Starts

(7) EXOTIC DRAGON powered home last week but she had too far to come to catch leader (9) BLUEWATER BEACH. These two will likely battle it out for the win again tonight. (4) SO FRISKY was first up in that race and she stuck around for a share. She should be an exotics factor again. (1) SHEMARS LADY HAVOC figures to pass a few of these late and land in the Tri or Super.

Race 11: Claiming $18,000 for NW $43,000 LT

(6) TWAIN SEELSTER lacked room for most of the stretch drive last week and once he found some, he closed well to get 3rd. In a race with no standout, he gets the nod. (7) PERPETUAL ROCK was first up in that race and he outlasted all of his rivals except the winner who stormed past them all. He should be the main threat. (3) DO YOU SEE IT was bet like he couldn't lose racing off the claim last week but he only closed mildly. He is worth using here at a better price. (1) RICOTTABKIDDINME was one-paced late last week. I'll use him underneath here. (9) MILO MAN appears to have changed hands via private sale. He is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics tonight.