Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 3/3

Top Pick Stats: 104 - 307 / $518.00 (-$78.80)

Best Bets: 18 - 29 / $75.00 (+$17.00)

Spot Plays: 5 - 28 / $30.30 (-$25.70)

Best Bet: NEED TO BREATHE (8TH)

Spot Play: DOC HOUSTON (7TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,3,6/1,4/2,3,7/1,9/4,6,9 = $21.60

Late Pick 5: 5,6/1,7/2/1,3,6,7/2,6 = $6.40

Early Pick 4: 1,9/4,6,9/5,6/1,7 = $4.80

Late Pick 4: 2/1,3,6,7/2,6/1,2,4,6,8 = $8

Race 1: NW $4,550 L5 AE: OPT CLM $20,000 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) DONATOVER was good in defeat when facing similar here last week and he is the one to beat starting from the best post tonight. (1) TYMAL TAROT wasn't far behind the choice and I can see him tripping out racing near the front here; using. (3) SIMON GOT LUCKY gets an interesting barn change and he is worth a look for the exotics in this spot. (7) ALL WRAPPED UP looks sharp for his return. He likely sits and rallies for a share in this 2023 debut.

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Race 2: F&M 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 4 or $45,000 LT AE: 3YO 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $50,000

(4) SAUBLE AMBER was motoring late last week but she ran out of racetrack. She draws better which should help her lay closer early; top call. (1) ACRIMONY similarly should lay closer should lead to a better result for her; using. (5) EMMY LOU HAYES returns to a 7-day cycle tonight and she should flash speed and stick around for a share. (2) BAD ROSSA rarely misses the top 4 and her speed is what makes her effective; using underneath.

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Race 3: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $33,000 LT

(2) SWEETEST BELLE looked a winner in the lane last week, but she couldn't get past a resilient leader who was winning her third straight. This filly should be tough in here. (7) CHEDDA CHEDDA tripped out to win the Blizzard final but her excellent gate speed should put her into position to get another good trip here. She figures to be a threat. (3) JKS LIFESAVER should lay closer tonight and that gives her an upset chance. (5) ALLSTAR FINEST brings sharp form in from Flamboro and she can close for a slice.

Race 4: F&M 5YO and Younger Claiming $35,000 - Pick 4

(1) FROMAKINGTOAQUEEN will be chalk again tonight after falling just short last week and she looks best here. This is a spot where she should convert. (9) THE IDEAL HUNTRESS raced better last week and there could be a Cullen speed blast coming now; price look. (6) BABY BONITA can be closer if she finds a live helmet to follow tonight. I think she sits and rallies for a share in this spot. (8) GIRL SCOUT COOKIE is another that could leave quicker here. Give her a look for the exotics.

Race 5: F&M NW $1,850 L3 AE: NW $5,000 in 2023

(6) EXOTIC DRAGON drops to a likely spot and she should get an aggressive steer starting from the best post; top call. (4) OUTLAW IMAHOTVIXEN should be closer early getting off the rail post tonight. I could see her tripping out and winning; using. (9) BEST HONEY HANOVER beat similar three starts back and Jamieson has been hot lately. She's in with a shot tonight. (3) BUTTERFLY KISSES can close for another share tonight.

Race 6: NW $2,400 L3 AE: OPT CLM $15,000 - Pick 5

(5) WISHYOUDTELLME drops again and Sorrie should put him into play earlier this time; top call. (6) H P RUNNING MASS adds Lasix after chasing a fast pace and stopping. Sharp improvement from him would not be a surprise. (1) MAGIC WANDA is an infrequent winner that is likely to take another slice here. (4) MISTER OF ALL can close for a small share in this spot.

Race 7: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $38,000 LT

(7) DOC HOUSTON flashed big late speed last week and Henry will likely have him in closer contention this time. I'll give him the nod over (1) ZIPPIDY ZOOM, who was first up in the same race and should be the other main contender here. (2) THE COLT is worth a look for the exotics adding Lasix tonight. (6) PRESS TIME should sit another trip racing close to the front and land in the exotics.

Race 8: FILLIES and MARES PREFERRED 2 - Pick 4

(2) NEED TO BREATHE went the toughest trip and she was only a 1/2 length short last week. I think Cullen moves early this time and tries to control the race. (6) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP probably got the best trip but she knew what to do with it and she should be a late threat again. (3) MAJOR LEAGUE N is sharp but she can't carry her speed the whole way at this level. Another small share is likely for her. (5) WESTERN WISH gets post relief here and she should be closer tonight.

Race 9: F&M NW $16,400 L5 or NW8 LT AE: OPT CLM $65,000

(4) TWIN B SUNKISSED drops to a similar level where she won three starts back and she should work out a good trip racing near the front tonight; top call. (1) LOCK BRIDGE is another that should improve at this level and she should be more aggressive vs. these; using. (7) SPORTY TORI is another dropper that is in with a decent chance in a good betting race. She should be rolling off cover late in the mile. (3) JKS ROLLIN BABY figures to improve in this spot. I see her laying closer to the pace and taking a share.

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Race 10: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $72,500 LT AE: NW1 in 2023

(2) STEWS WATCHING comes off a dominant win at this level and ge faces similar tonight. He is clearly the one to beat. (6) TOUGHSONOFABEACH drops and he has the potential to improve sharply in this spot. (4) PROMISE ME A WIN raced better last week but he exits the potent Barrington barn via claim; your call. (5) TUUKA RASP is worth a look for the exotics racing off the Auciello claim.

Race 11: F&M NW $4,000 L5 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(2) SUNDAY AFTERNOON is no stranger to this track, having taken 16 of her 23 wins here and she fits well vs. these. She could lead all the way in this spot. (8) VOLUPTUOUS drops to a level where she should be tough and Jamieson will likely get more aggressive with her in this spot. She should be the main danger. (6) LITTLEBEARCAT drops back down to her best level and she should be heard from late in this mile. (4) TWIN B TIPSTER is another dropper that should improve tonight but she tends to be trip dependent. I would demand a price here. (1) SILENT CROSSING should find a helmet to follow this week and that gives her a shot to take a decent share.