Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 3/25

Garnet Barnsdale|Mar 23, 2022

Meet Stats: 134 - 432 / $724.10 (-$139.80)

Best Bets: 21 - 40 / $57.70 (-$22.30)

Spot Plays: 16 - 40 / $105.10 (+$25.10)

Best Bet: EXOTIC DRAGON (10TH)

Spot Play: MISSION THREE (8TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,6,7,9/5,7,8/4,6/1,2,4,8/5 = $19.20

Late Pick 5: 2,3,5/1,3,7/1,5,7/1,3,7/8 = $16.20

Early Pick 4: 1,2,4,8/5/2,3,5/1,3,7 = $36

Late Pick 4: 1,3,7/1,5,7/1,3,7/8 = $27

Race 1: Starters for a Purse of $12,000 or Less in 1 of Last 3 **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) GOALTENDER was bet like he couldn't lose last week after notching a dominant win the week before in London in his first start in a new barn. He got rolling too late last week but closed well and he gets the nod here. (2) FIT BITT raced well when 2nd to a classy winner and he is the other one that I'll use in the early Pick 5. (7) ODDS ON AMETHYST looked racy in the three-hole then he went inside some pylons in the lane last week. I wouldn’t be surprised if Hudon lets him roll tonight; price look. (9) ARRAKIS is likely to flash early speed here but I wonder if he will be overbet on the class drop. He is capable, but I wouldn't take a short price.

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Race 2: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $30,000 LT AE: 4YO to be Claimed for $40,000

(5) SHARK HANOVER was 1 to 2 last week off her impressive maiden score but she ended up being first-over in the fastest 1/4 of the race which wasn't ideal. She can rebound here. (7) FROMAKINGTOAQUEEN is another that tried to close into that fast final 1/4 and she finished a nose behind the choice at the wire. She should be a threat tonight. (8) WILDCAT STAR tried a closing approach that only got her the smallest check last week. I could see her blasting here and she is in with a chance. (6) BABY BONITA had a great record before she came to Mohawk Park last year and she qualified well for this 2022 debut. I can see her taking a share here.

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Race 3: F&M NW $17,500 for NW $75,000 LT

(4) PICTONIAN THUNDER took some action last week and he raced better. He appeared to suffer interference on the far turn that doesn't show in the program then he finished evenly. He drops in for a tag now and he gets the nod. (6) TAHUYA BREW raced tough first-over in defeat and he figures to be the main threat here; using. (2) DAVID LLOYD GEORGE disappointed when he was on good cover last week; speed blast coming this week? (1) FINKLE IS EINHORN should be good for another share in this spot.

Race 4: F&M NW $15,000 L5 or $28,000 L10 or NW $110,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $35,000 - Pick 4

(1) ADASHIOUS HANOVER was loaded with pace in the lane but there was no room available because her rivals all had plenty to offer too, thanks to the slow early pace. She would have been right there with clear sailing and I'll give her the nod here. (4) GOOD NIGHT MOON's 25 4/5 kicker got her only the smallest check in that same race. She should be closer early this time with post improvement and she should be a big threat. (8) BORN A DRAGON steps up off a fast dominant win and she should be aggressive again tonight. She is worth using at what should be a good price. (2) TUGGINGONCREDIT could get another great trip here and she is another in with a shot in a race full of live options.

Race 5: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L10

(5) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL drops and likely pops here in a spot where Hudon should give her an aggressive steer. (2) GOODNIGHT IRENE had a start back and she drops, too. She should be an Exacta factor vs. these. (3) KAYS DELIGHT found room late last week but a rival was steamrolling down the middle of the track and was not going to be denied. She should contend for a good share here. (1) HAPPY LOOKER is capable of better than she showed last week. She should be in the exotics mix tonight.

Race 6: F&M NW $9,000 L5 or $22,600 L10 - Pick 5

(2) SNOW SHARK left like a rocket for the front from post 10 last week and she paced a 27-flat kicker in defeat. Moving inside, I can see her tripping out and taking a win. (5) BLACK BETTY was dead game winning in her first start out of the Auciello barn and she should be a big threat to repeat; using. (3) SUNDAY AFTERNOON is typically close when she races at this level but I wonder if she will get overbet dropping out of the top class, though. (6) MY MOTHER PEARL should rally late to take another share.

Race 7: CLM HDCP $22,000 to $30,000 - Pick 4

(7) MACH IMPACT never got a breather last time now he adds Lasix in this third start out of the Marfisi barn. A big speed try is likely tonight; top call. (1) MAYHEM LIKE ME roared home to win off the Puddy claim and he should be the one (3) LAST MACH is another that adds Lasix and he races off the Auciello claim in this spot. He should be in the mix tonight. (5) BELIEVE IN BRIAN improved racing off the Fellows claim last week. Consider using him underneath here.

Race 8: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $18,000

(1) MISSION THREE was buried with pace last week until they reached the tote board and he likely would have won had he found room earlier. I'll side with him here in his second start off the Auciello claim. (5) JAYDENS PLACE gets away from red-hot Machin A Trick and he should contend in this spot, likely racing from close range. He will be on my late multi-race tickets. (7) CENTURY GIGALO was a winner last time he raced at this level and he is hard to toss in this small field. (6) BETTOR NOTBITTER A is worth a look for the exotics adding Lasix for this.

Race 9: F&M NW 4 or $60,000 LT AE: 4YO to be Claimed for $40,000

(7) DAZZLIN ROSIE produced a big late brush with McClure driving last week and I'll call her to upset in a race that could set up for her. (3) CRUSHED PEARL has been dominant so far and she is the one to beat, but she better find a kicker quicker than the 29 1/5 final 1/4 she paced last time if she wants to keep her streak alive. (1) AINT SHE PERFECT dropped and popped with the driver switch to Jamieson and she is in with a shot here. (2) EMMY LOU HAYES is right there every week it seems. She should be part of the exotics tonight.

Race 10: F&M Who Have Started for a Purse of $10,000 or Less in 1 of Last 3

(8) EXOTIC DRAGON missed a month between her last two starts but it didn't matter as she jogged when facing similar here last week. She should take beating here. (1) BLUEWATER BEACH dominated claimers then changed hands. She is likely the main threat making her first start out of the Riley barn. (5) SO FRISKY set some solid splits when 3rd to the choice and she should get a piece of this. (6) SHEMARS LADY HAVOC should pass a few of these late and land in the Tri. (7) CENTURY GEORGIA raced well twice for Montini since the claim. She can land a check here.