Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 3/24
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Top Pick Stats: 145 - 428 / $811.30 (-$44.70)
Best Bets: 25 - 39 / $103.00 (+$25.00)
Spot Plays: 8 - 39 / $56.70 (-$21.30)
Best Bet: SO MUCH MORE (3RD)
Spot Play: DARKRSHADEOFPALE N (4TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,7,9/4,6,8/7/3,5,9/2,3,6 = $16.20
Late Pick 5: 1,7/7,8/2,3,8/3/2,5,7,8 = $9.60
Early Pick 4: 3,5,9/2,3,6/1,7/7,8 = $7.20
Late Pick 4: 3/2,5,7,8/6/3,4,5,7 = $3.20
Race 1: NW $5,800 L5 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**
(7) IMA STANDUP GUY couldn't chase down HP Royal Theo last week but that was a good effort and there are none like that rival in here; top call. (9) HEAVENSDOR HANOVER drops, and Jamieson should put him into the race leaving the gate. He looks like the main threat. (1) RED OVERBACH got a great trip, had dead aim at the 1/8th pole and he hung a bit, perhaps needing a race. He is in the mix again. (2) ROSIES WAR BONDS can flash speed and stay for another share here.
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Race 2: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $48,000 LT
(6) JITTERBUG FLIP couldn't stay with the leaders in a 27 3/5 third 1/4 smoke show last week. He has a good chance to control the pace tonight and he gets top billing. (4) GASCOIGNE SUNDAE faces tougher here but he is sharp as he shoots for a fourpeat and he figures to be the main threat. (8) PICK A GENRE can contend for a share if he stays flat this time; using underneath. (3) WOODMERE DENVER can sit a trip and take a small slice like he did in his last start in London.
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Race 3: FILLIES and MARES PREFERRED
(7) SO MUCH MORE gets back in with mares and she is always the one to beat among this group. (5) NEED TO BREATHE got a great drive by Cullen and got the jump on her rivals at the right time last week. She seems like the only real threat to the choice. (4) STYLE FOR A MILE is holding her form well and she should be part of the Tri here. (3) LOCK BRIDGE can sit a trip and land a small share here.
Race 4: F&M NW $4,000 L5 - Pick 4
(5) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N was motoring in deep stretch last week but she was simply too far back. I think she lays closer this time starting from a better post and gets the measure of these. (3) TRAFALGAR, the likely chalk here, drops to a similar level where she last won and McNair will put her into the race early; using. (9) COZ IM SPECIAL drops a couple of levels off a solid effort and she is another threat. (6) WILDCAT DELIGHT is sharp, but she couldn't convert as the 7 to 5 chalk last week. I'll use her underneath tonight.
Race 5: F&M 5YO and Younger Claiming $35,000
(2) SPORTS DUCHESS moves up off the claim but she is sharp and the Bishop/Jamieson combo has been running well; top call. (3) GIRL SCOUT COOKIE was part of a big early duel last week and she understandably tired late. She can go better here, projecting to get a better trip starting from an inside post. (6) THE IDEAL HUNTRESS made a late move into a slowing pace last week. She can lay closer here starting from the best post and that gives her a chance in a wide-open race. (4) BABY BONITA should be good for a share getting off post 10 this week.
Race 6: F&M winners of 4 but not more than 6 or $80,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000 - Pick 5
(7) MS QUICK SAND probably would have won her local debut if she had room in early stretch, but there was no clearance to get the bike through until it was too late. I'll give her the nod here. (1) BAD ROSSA took a mid-race shuffle then tried to rally late as the pace accelerated. She could do here if she can find the pocket early. (4) WILDCAT STAR did a lot of work and she stayed game to win. She is another in with a shot here. (8) LITTLEBEARCAT steps back up off a nice win but she needs a slowing late pace and I’m not sure she'll get it here; using underneath.
Race 7: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $30,000 LT
(7) ALWAYS B A STAR almost got up while making her first start in six months last week and she gets top billing here in a spot where she should be sharper. (8) ELSIES DELIGHT won under a death grip after stealing a cheap opening 1/2. She is improving and she should contend here despit6e facing tougher. (5) WRITE THE RULES is clearly much-improved at three and she is another in with a shot here in a spot where her good late kick should play. (1) TESLA POWER shoots for a fourpeat but she missed a month and she'll be under the gun early starting from the rail. I’ll play to beat her tonight.
Race 8: NW $5,800 L5
(8) WALKONTHEMOON was good last week, closing for a share despite being out forever. Henry speed blast coming now? (3) COOL CLIFFORD dug deep to score the upset and his good form should be respected; using. (2) ALL WRAPPED UP was first up against HP Royal Theo and that wasn’t going to work. He has a better chance vs. this field. (1) TEXACO MAN can pass some of these late and take another slice.
Race 9: F&M NW $16,500 L5 or NW $115,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $65,000 - Pick 4
(3) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON can hold her form for several weeks when she is tight and she gets the call to repeat here. (5) RAPTORS WON drops and gets Macdonald for this second start back. I wonder if she will get overbet. (1) TWIN B TIPSTER likely sits and rallies for a share again. (4) BETTER BE DONNA N rarely misses the top 4 and she should be part of the Super again.
Race 10: NW $2,000 L3
(8) DAY AT THE GYM drops and gets a barn change and a form reversal is possible here; slight nod. (5) PHOENIX is the likely chalk on the class drop here and he should be the main danger if he stays flat. (7) KEVIN ANTHONY was setting up a late move when he ran on the final turn. He can be right there tonight if he behaves. (2) CROSSFIT is another dropper that figures for a share.
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Race 11: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $66,000 LT AE: NW $2,000 in 2023
(6) BAD EYE BILL unleashed a lethal sub-27 third 1/4 brush last week on route to a dominant win and he will be tough to beat here if he can repeat that effort. (7) SNAP TEST faces easier here and he stands a good chance of completing the Exacta. (2) E L WILD SPORT is worth a look for the bottom of the exotics racing off the McQueen claim and coming in sharp from London. (3) ALLY FLIGHT is capable of better than he showed last week. I can see him leaving faster for position and sticking around for a share.
Race 12: F&M NW $1,650 L3
(4) ITTY BITTY was a good 2nd at this level two starts back when she lacked room until it was too late to catch the winner. Dropping back down tonight, she gets top billing. (3) E L CITADEL is the obvious threat coming off two good efforts at this level and she's hard to leave off Pick 4 tickets. (7) MY MOTHER PEARL is in the mix tonight starting from a better post. McClure will likely be more aggressive with her tonight. (5) SWEET SANDY LOU will likely improve sharply tonight, returning quicker and drawing better. She is another possibility in a race with a few options. (2) BETTER CATCH GIRL can be part of the exotics moving back inside tonight.

