Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 3/22

Top Pick Stats: 134 - 445 / $650.50 (-$221.20)

Best Bets: 23 - 43 / $75.10 (-$10.90)

Spot Plays: 5 - 41 / $21.20 (-$60.80)

Best Bet: TAMWORTH BOY (8TH)

Spot Play: WINDSUN PHOENIX (2ND)

Early Pick 5: 1,5,8/1,2/3,5/1,6/7,9 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 3,4,6/7,10/6/1,3,4,6/1,2 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 1,6/7,9/3,4,6/7,10 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 6/1,3,4,6/1,2/2,3,5,9 = $6.40

Race 1: F&M NW $8,000 L5 or NW7 LT AE: OPT CLM $50,000 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(1) LADYTERRA raced tough in defeat first-over last week. She should find some cover this time leaving from the rail and she gets a slight nod. (8) MY HUNGRY GIRL was closing late when just behind the choice and she will likely get sent forward tonight in this easier spot. She would be no surprise in this spot. (5) BUTTERFLY KISSES is on a roll and this class jump doesn’t appear to be that tough; using. (4) MIST AMBER got the trip and had no excuse last week. I’ll use her underneath here.

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Race 2: 4YO and younger NW1 or $7,500 LT

(2) WINDSUN PHOENIX qualified well for a hot barn that has been winning with horses coming in off qualifiers and following that current trend, I’ll give him top billing here. (1) HOUT BAY took a ton of action in his sophomore debut but had no early speed. His sub-56 back 1/2 should set him up perfectly for this second start of the year; using. (7) SAULSBROOK TSUNAMI kicked in 26 1/5 in a strangely run race where they crawled the opening 3/4. He can close for a slice here. (6) JMR SPEAK AWAY’s good late speed should get him a share here.

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Race 3: FILLIES and MARES PREFERRED 2

(3) SO MUCH MORE races best when racing on a regular rotation and I’ll toss last week’s mediocre line. I think the real So Much More shows up tonight. (5) WESTERN WISH was closest to hot Tells On A Roll last week and she figures to be the main threat here. (1) WILDCAT STAR couldn’t be any sharper and she should be in the exotics mix here. (6) STYLE FOR A MILE is another that needed last week’s start that should be better here but I prefer to use her underneath.

Race 4: F&M NW $4,000 L5 AE: OPT CLM $25,000 - Pick 4

(1) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL got two very tough trips from outer posts now she draws the rail from where she should be able to work out a better trip tonight. I’ll stick with her. (6) GIMMIE A CORONA is razor-sharp, and her high late speed gives her a good chance tonight despite the class raise. She is on my multi-race tickets. (9) GOLDIES ROCKIN was used hard early to make front last week and she came under immediate assault from the choice. From the widest post, she has her work cut out for her again, but I can see her landing in the money here. (8) BLUEMEA KISS re-rallied after taking a mid-race shuffle and she is another that should be in the exotics mix.

Race 5: F&M 4YO and younger NW $15,000 LT AE: Ont. Sired 4YO NW $850 L5

(9) MIKKI SIXX won her debut like she could be any kind and she gets the call to repeat off that impressive initial start. (7) CATCH MY BREATH made two moves in a decent effort and she looks like the main threat here. She is the other one that I’ll use on multi-race tickets. (1) GOGETTERMISSCHEDDR got pounded at the windows last week based on her very good sophomore debut. This is a tougher spot, though, and I’ll use her underneath. (3) BETH should be able to close for a share in this field.

Race 6: F&M 5YO and younger winners of 2 but not more than 4 or $45,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO CLM $50,000 - Pick 5

(4) IRIS SEELSTER raced okay vs. better after missing a week and she draws well here. I’ll call her to upset in a race with several options. (6) DUCHENNE races better at this level and she beat the choice on 1/29. She will likely get put into this race early; using. (3) LADY GET LUCKY took a mark of 1:52 at three and he looks well prepped for this four-year-old debut. She is another in with a shot here. (2) BETTERWITHGLASSES looked good beating NW2 but this is tougher and I’ll use her underneath.

Race 7: F&M 4YO and younger NW1 or $7,500 LT

(10) LIGHTNING LIZZIE qualified well for Brethour, who has already won with two debutantes this month that both crushed. I like that she drew widest, it helps the price; top call. (7) THINK AHEAD failed twice racing on the lead. I think Macdonald covers her up this time and she can be a late threat. (1) STAG ROYAL was better last week, and she should be in the exotics mix again. (4) SUNTAN CITY, 3rd in two straight, can take another slice in this spot.

Race 8: 4YO and younger NW1 or $7,500 LT - Pick 4

(6) TAMWORTH BOY came into his debut off a good qualifier where he finished fast all on his own. He then jogged in that initial start for hot trainer Brethour, and he gets the call to repeat. (4) WARRAWEEFORLAURA flew late to be 2nd to the choice and that was his best career effort. He can complete the Exacta again. (7) BROOKDALE J MAC was chalk against the choice, and he was no match late. He can be sharper with that start under his belt, and he is in the mix. (2) BRINGITONHOMETOME attracts Macdonald but he was disappointing at two’ small share predicted here.

Race 9: NW $21,850 in 2023/24 or N/A $1,000 per start in 2023/24

I like the early speed that (4) TYMAL TAROT showed vs. Classic Magic who jogged. This gelding looks as good as any in a wide-open race. (6) CADILLAC closed for 3rd in that race in an improved performance and he is in with a shot here. (3) HESOHOT HANOVER is always closing for Hall of Fame driver Brown, and he wins a couple a year. This might be one of his 2024 wins. (1) MAJORDANCEMOVES is another that typically closes that is in with a shot.

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Race 10: F&M NW $14,000 L5 or $28,250 L10 or NW $115,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $70,000

(2) GIAS SURREAL tried the New Holland series vs. males and she did well to beat a couple. This is a big drop, and she should be tough in here. (1) ANGOSTURA HANOVER stepped up and won in a sharp effort. She should be an Exacta factor tonight. (8) KELE KELE is in the mix each week and her good gate speed will get her position early in the mile; using underneath. (6) SHOOT THE WHISKEY has been 1-2 in London’s top class in five straight. She should take a share.

Race 11: NW $2,000 L3 AE: OPT CLM $20,000 or starters for a purse of $9K or less L3

(3) KEVIN ANTHONY dropped and got pounded at the windows, but he simply went too fast early. He can win here if he gets a breather. (2) FINAL DREAM comes in from Flamboro in good form and he attracts Macdonald. He is a threat from close range. (9) MASTER GRAND raced first up in a better effort last week; price look for the late Pick 4. (5) MUNK can take a share if he stays flat this time. (1) CLEVELAND MASSIMO qualified okay for this 2024 debut. I can see him landing a small share.