Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 3/18

Garnet Barnsdale|Mar 16, 2022

Meet Stats: 122 - 392 / $655.20 (-$128.80)

Best Bets: 16 - 36 / $52.20 (-$19.80)

Spot Plays: 12 - 36 / $81.80 (+$9.80)

Best Bet: SO MUCH MORE (3RD)

Spot Play: TREASURED TEE (4TH)

Early Pick 5: 2,3,6,7/1,4,6/1/3,9/1,3,5,6 = $19.20

Late Pick 5: 1,2,4/2,4/1,3,5/2,5/3,7,8 = $21.60

Early Pick 4: 3,9/1,3,5,6/1,2,4/2,4 = $48

Late Pick 4: 2,4/1,3,5/2,5/3,7,8 = $36

Race 1: Claiming $17,500 for NW $75,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) PRIVATE SCOTT paced a 56-flat back 1/2 last week but that didn't even get him a check. This spot looks easier and he gets the nod. (6) MAYHEM LIKE ME was no match for a winner that was taking his third victory in a row but that was a better effort and he should contend here. (2) DAVID LLOYD GEORGE woke up with a big front end effort last week and he can be a speed threat here, too. Nothing went right for (7) SKYLAR last time, but his winning Popup series effort two starts back shows he fits here; price look.

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Race 2: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $37,500 LT AE: 4YO to be claimed for $25,000

(1) FROMAKINGTOAQUEEN gets away from the streaking Crushed Pearl tonight and Henry should have her rolling early. She should have a big shot against these. (6) SHARK HANOVER was a professional debut winner that unleashed a powerful brush on the last turn. She jumps up to non-winners of three but should be dangerous nonetheless. (4) EDEN HANOVER has already shown that she races well fresh and her qualifier shows that she is ready. She's not out of this. (7) WILDCAT STAR has been favored five times in a row and won only once. I'll play to beat her tonight.

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Race 3: F&M PREFERRED

If there is a case to be made for betting against (1) SO MUCH MORE tonight, I'd love to know what it is. A fourpeat looms. (4) LAURAS LOVE is razor-sharp, but she usually plays the role of bridesmaid when she faces the choice. Tonight likely won't be any different. (3) BETTER BE DONNA N is a game competitor that tries hard every week and she should be part of the exotics tonight. (6) TRAFALGAR should be good for a small share in this spot.

Race 4: NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L10 - Pick 4

This is a field that (9) TREASURED TEE is supposed to beat if he is sound. He was smooth in his qualifier on 3/11 and he trotted strongly through the wire; top call. (3) GOALTENDER jogged in his first start in a new barn and he fits okay with these; using. (1) ODDS ON AMETHYST had little chance last time when he started 10th. I can see him making it into the exotics tonight. (8) ANDY OVER is another that is capable of better; consider for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 5: F&M NW $9,000 L5 or $21,500 L10 or NW $90,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000

(6) GOOD NIGHT MOON powered home to win last week and she figures to get a setup for her potent late kick here; top call. (5) TUGGINONCREDIT beat similar two starts back and she should improve on the class drop tonight; using. (1) KICKUPYAHEELS N drops again but she could get overbet this week. I am inclined to try to beat her. (3) ADASHIOUS HANOVER fell just short to the choice last week and she should stick around for a share vs. these.

Race 6: F&M NW $44,000 in 2021/22 who were Popup starters - Pick 5

(1) HAPPY LOOKER didn't get ideal trips in her last two starts. She can beat these if she times her move better. (2) CONTROL THE THONG faces considerably easier here. She should wake up with a better effort in this spot; using. (4) NAUGHTY LADY B has been in great form recently and all of Bossence's stock has been live at this track. She's not out of this. (5) SUNNY SICILY should rally late for a share.

Race 7: F&M Who have started for a purse of $12,000 or less in 1 of last 3 starts - Pick 4

(4) EXOTIC DRAGON made two moves and got cooked racing against the best mare at Fraser Downs last time. She missed some time, but the Cullen barn can have her ready for this local debut; top call. (2) SAULSBROOK JESSIE has been sharp for weeks racing in London's top class and she should be the main threat here. (3) KICKIN COWGIRL comes off two well-earned Flamboro wins and she should be in the exotics mix here. (7) SO FRISKY is another hard-hitting London invader that should be part of the Tri or Super.

Race 8: F&M NW4 or $66,500 LT AE: 4YO to be claimed for $40,000

(3) SIOUX RAINBOW A tried a wide advance as the pace was accelerating in her local debut, a move that had little chance of succeeding. She adds Lasix now and Sorrie should get more aggressive with her; slight nod. (5) EASYRUNNER HANOVER brings solid form with her from New Jersey and moves into the Moreau barn. She should contend immediately; using. (1) EMMY LOU HAYES was right there vs. NW6 and Henry will probably look to put her on the point here. She is another that is in with a good shot. (4) VILLAGE JADE had clear sailing in the lane in the Ontario Girls final but the top two were just too good. Another small share is likely for her tonight.

Race 9: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $18,000

(2) CHOREOGRAPHER got reclaimed by West and he excels racing out of his barn with McClure driving. I'll give him the nod here. (5) MACHIN A TRICK has been on fire and he goes for a hot barn racing off the claim tonight. He will be the one to fear in the lane. (1) ART OF FIRE has been producing some decent rallies with Macdonald driving. He can get a piece of this. (3) NO TIME AT ALL is another one racing off the claim that is worth a look for the exotics.

Race 10: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or NW $16,500 L8

Last time (3) JIMBELINA raced this low on 2/11, she got an aggressive Roy steer and prevailed. Thinking that history will repeat, I'll give her the nod. (7) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL showed last week that she fits well at this level and she should be a threat here; using. (8) BORN A DRAGON had little chance moving first up into the teeth of a 27 3/5 kicker being paced by a class-dropping 1 to 2 shot. She has upset potential tonight. (1) MY MOTHER PEARL is another that fits well at this level but she has missed close to a month and the rail post likely isn’t ideal for her; your call. (9) KAT should get position near the front leaving the gate and stick around for a share.