Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 3/17

Top Pick Stats: 132 - 385 / $730.20 (-$39.80)

Best Bets: 23 - 35 / $90.40 (+$20.40)

Spot Plays: 6 - 35 / $40.10 (-$29.90)

Best Bet: HP ROYAL THEO (8TH)

Spot Play: BAD EYE BILL (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 3,6/4,6/2,7/1,8,9/1,3,4 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 2,4/1,3,6/2,9/5,7/4,9 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 1,8,9/1,3,4/2,4/1,3,6 = $10.80

Late Pick 4: 2,9/5,7/4,9/2,7,8,10 = $6.40

Race 1: Horses that have started for a purse of $9K or less in 1 of L4 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) TEXACO MAN faces considerably easier tonight after taking a check vs. classy Oney Hall on Monday night and he is the clear top choice in this opening Pick 5 leg. (6) RED OVERBACH fits well here for this comeback race, and he qualified okay. He’s the other one that I'll use in the Pick 5. (8) I SAW YOU BLINK is fast enough to take a share vs. these if he stays flat this time, using underneath. (7) COOL CLIFFORD should be good for a share at this level.

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Race 2: F&M 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 5 or $45,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $50,000

(6) SAUBLE AMBER was a victim of pace and trip last week and there was no way she was catching (4) BAD ROSSA, who stole a 59-flat opening 1/2. I think J Mac moves the former earlier this time and she gets the nod to turn the tables. (1) BEYOND THE SEA is capable of better and she can get away quicker here leaving from the inside. She is in the exotics mix. (5) ACRIMONY should be closing again for another slice.

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Race 3: F&M NW $15,000 L5 or NW $105,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $65,000 or starters for a purse of $12K or less L2

(7) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON needed one to get the rust off and she produced a 27-flat kicker facing slightly better. I think Hudon puts her into the race this week; top call. (2) SHANGHAI SEELSTER finished ahead of the choice when finishing 3rd to her stablemate in that race and she figures to be the main threat here. (4) AHOY will likely go off as chalk on the class drop but I'm not sold. She faced similar five and six starts back and managed only two 5ths. (3) BETTER BE DONNA N is always in the mix with her speed, and she should be part of the exotics tonight.

Race 4: F&M Claiming $35,000 - Pick 4

(1) GREYSTONE TREASURE makes a big class jump here but she just took a new life's mark, and she might be up to it. She should offer a square price, too; slight nod. (8) THE IDEAL HUNTRESS rallied up the inside where most of the snow seemed to be and she showed grit getting up for the win. She can be a threat right back. (9) LITTLEBEARCAT is back where she fits best, and she can contend at a price tonight. (3) FROMAKINGTOAQUEEN keeps falling just short now she has missed three weeks. This is one I have to try to beat.

Race 5: CLM HDCP $15,000 to $18,000 for NW $63,000 LT

(4) BAD EYE BILL looked like a winner in the lane when he jumped it off last week. Look for a shoeing or equipment change from the new barn tonight. (1) BIG ACE had a really tough trip and he still managed to get a share. He should go better starting from the rail tonight; using. (3) SO STRANGE should show more gate speed from this better post. He is another in with a shot. (6) PROCRASTINATOR debuts for a new barn and adds Lasix. I can see him landing a share.

Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $33,000 LT - Pick 5

(2) ALWAYS B A STAR is the class of this field, and she debuts for a new trainer in this first start as a sophomore. Assuming she gets put into the race early, she should be tough to beat. (4) CHEDDA CHEDDA stayed in, slid out third-over on the last turn then blitzed the leaders late. She is razor-sharp and dangerous. (7) JITTER BETTOR raced tough first up ad she is in the mix again, likely racing off a helmet this time. (6) JKS LIFESAVER races best for Jones. She is worth a price look for the bottom of the exotics.

Race 7: F&M NW $1,850 L3

(1) MYSTIFYING should be sharp for this third start back after racing first up against a class-dropper that was unyielding on the lead; top call. (4) ELLAGATOR takes a big drop, and she should be a threat vs. these in this second start over the track; using. (6) E L CITADEL closed well late in the mile last week and she can take another share here. (9) MY MOTHER PEARL should be in the exotics mix racing at this bottom condition level.

Race 8: NW $4,000 L5 - Pick 4

(9) HP ROYAL THEO raced against much tougher in the New Holland series Monday night and this is a field that he should handle. (2) PHOENIX should be dangerous on the class drop if he stays flat tonight. He is the other one that I'll use on multi-race tickets. (4) ALL WRAPPED UP was stubborn in defeat last week, but this looks like a tougher field. I'll use him underneath. (1) STONEBRIDGE ZEUS can circle up late and land in the bottom of the exotics.

Race 9: FILLIES and MARES PREFERRED 2

(5) STYLE FOR A MILE is the now horse in this division and she should be tough here as she seeks a fourpeat, but her price drops now. (7) NEED TO BREATHE returns to a 7-day cycle tonight and I can see her improving; using. (2) MAJOR LEAGUE N's strategy is never a secret. She will seat all of her opponents early and dare them to try to pass. A small share is predicted here. (4) LOCK BRIDGE steps up off a win and she likely will finish on the edges vs. these.

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Race 10: NW $2,000 L3

(4) REFI raced huge in defeat from post 10, now he draws much better and he gets top billing here. (9) KEVIN ANTHONY was a winner last time he raced this low, and he will likely be more aggressive tonight; using. (1) SIMON GOT LUCKY is another class dropper that can improve tonight; price look for the exotics. (6) SHES GOT PIZAZZ can improve enough to take a share at this level.

Race 11: F&M NW $4,550 L5 or $10,500 L10

(7) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N tipped her hand in her latest now she draws better. I expect a more aggressive steer this time. (2) A BLACK DIAMOND raced well off the claim now she gets the leading driver. She should be a big threat tonight. (10) SWEET SANDY LOU goes for Barrington for the first time and that makes her a must-use for me despite the wide draw. (8) ITTY BITTY was in a blind switch in the lane last week until it was too late. She should be in the exotics mix here. (6) WILDCAT DELIGHT rarely misses a check. She figures to be in the High-5.