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Woodbine Harness

Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 2/25

Garnet Barnsdale|Feb 23, 2022
Mohawk Logo 1.5

Meet Stats: 77 - 267 / $413.10 (-$120.90)

Best Bets: 8 - 24 / $27.10 (-$20.90)

Spot Plays: 7 - 24 / $52.30 (+$4.30)

Best Bet: AMERICAN TOUR N (1ST)

Spot Play: HAPPY LOOKER (6TH)

Early Pick 5: 3/1,4,5/3,5,9/5,6,7,8/6,9 = $14.40

Late Pick 5: 2,4,6/4,7/1,2,6,9/3,4,8/3,5 = $28.80

Early Pick 4: 5,6,7,8/6,9/2,4,6/4,7 = $48

Late Pick 4: 1,2,6,9/3,4,8/3,5/1,10 = $48

Race 1: Popup 3rd Leg F&M **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**

(3) AMERICAN TOUR N dominated in the opening leg of this series last week and this field looks easier than the one she beat then. She should convert as a big chalk to kick off the early Pick 5. (8) DILLY TARYN was 3rd to the choice despite being out a long way. She can be an Exacta factor tonight. (5) SUNNY SICILY almost got the job done at a big price last week. She has a nice late move if it is timed right; using underneath. (1) OUTLAW IMAHOTVIXEN had clear sailing in the lane last week but she could do no better than 4th. Another small share is likely for her tonight.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: F&M PREFERRED

(5) SO MUCH MORE missed a couple of weeks but that likely won't matter as she regularly dominates these mares. (1) WESTERN WISH won a sprint to the wire last time, stepping up several levels to win in this top class. This improving mare has to be considered for the early Pick 5. (4) SWIFT ALLY has been right there every week since returning to the races and she has to be in the mix again in this short field. (6) BETTER BE DONNA N shoots for a fourpeat but seems likely to take a smaller share in this tougher spot.

[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]

Race 3: NW $3,500 L5 or $10,400 L10

(9) MAGICS WIZARD has been used aggressively twice in a row, now he gets Sorrie in the bike and he won't be shy to send him from the widest post. He fits well here and he gets the nod. (3) TUCKERS OUT late rally should be more effective here with him starting from an inside post where he should get a more alert start; using. (5) SHES GOT PIZAZZ raced okay from the 10-hole vs. better. She should be one of the main contenders here and she is another Pick 5 possibility. (1) WISHYOUDTELLME should be good for another small share in this spot.

Race 4: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $34,000 LT - Pick 4

(5) WILDCAT STAR got a very tough trip as the 4 to 5 favorite last week and she still almost got the job done. I'll give her top call tonight. (6) AINT SHE PERFECT produced a nice late rally into the teeth of an accelerating late pace and she comes back in 7 days now. She should be a threat tonight. (7) FROMAKINGTOAQUEEN can't be faulted for jumping up two levels and getting the job done, but I'm not sure she gets the same breather tonight. She could be overbet here. (8) CRUSHED PEARL debuted as a 4-year-old last week and she was impressive in victory but these are much tougher; small share predicted.

Race 5: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $18,000

(9) DAVID LLOYD GEORGE faces much easier here on the drop into claimers and Roy should be looking to send him coast-to-coast on the engine; top call. (6) SEA LAIRD looked good on the drop and pop when claimed and he showed he can leave hard if asked to. He could sit another pocket trip here and that makes him a threat. (5) CENTURY GIGALO fits better at this level and he should be heard from tonight but I prefer to use him underneath. (2) SPORTS JACKET was bet heavily last week and he almost got there. He should be in the exotics mix again.

Race 6: Popup 3rd Leg F&M - Pick 5

(6) HAPPY LOOKER looked poised to sail by the leaders last week but when she tipped wide on the final turn, she went rough briefly and lost some momentum. That may have cost her a win and she could offer some value tonight. (2) SAULSBROOK FLASHY was the mare that the choice was trying to chase down. She should be the one to beat again tonight. (4) KAT has been right there in both legs of this series and she is in the exotics mix again. (7) CAYO LOCO tried to brush past the leader and failed last week. I see her closing late for a share here.

Race 7: F&M NW $6,700 L5 or $16,500 L10

(7) SPORTY TORI is in peak form and she gets to drop back down to the level she won at two starts back. She should get put into this race leaving the gate and she is the one to beat. (4) MY MOTHER PEARL turned up her last speed last week and she should be ready for a top effort now making her third start back; using. (2) SOMEWHERE NORTH was even money vs. the choice two starts back and she should be close again tonight. (6) TWIN B TIPSTER has been close at this level in the past and she can close for a small share vs. these.

Race 8: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $9,300 L8 - Pick 4

(2) MAJOR LEAGUE N has the lead at the 3/4 pole every week and last time she raced at this level she almost carried the advantage to the wire. She will be the one to catch here and will be tough if the conditions favor front enders as is often the case in the dead of winter. (6) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY was a pocket rocket last time she raced this low and if she can follow the choice here, history may repeat; using. (1) BEST HONEY HANOVER is another dropper that is in with a chance although I don't love the 1-hole for her; your call. (9) MY BABY GIRL figures to improve in this spot but a small share is likely with her starting from out there.

Race 9: F&M 4YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(3) SILENT CROSSING lacked room until deep stretch last week and once free, she closed willingly. I'll go price shopping with her in a tough race. (8) THE IDEAL HUNTRESS qualified well for her 2022 debut then was a sick scratch. She looks fast enough for these; the main question is her readiness now. I wouldn't take a short price here. (4) LYONS PRINCESS took some action for her debut but she never really got involved in the race. I can see her improving at a price tonight. (5) TROPHY BRIDE showed enough late speed in her lone qualifier to suggest she can contend at first asking. She is another viable possibility for late multi-race tickets.

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Race 10: ONTARIO BOYS PACING SERIES 2nd Leg

(5) TAKE A GAMBLE used his good early speed to work out a great trip last week and a similar scenario can unfold here; call to repeat. (3) MUSTANG BEACH looked loaded following the choice but when he got clear sailing late, he couldn't catch him. He can get another good trip here and he is a threat. (7) NO FREE LUNCH improved sharply in his second start back but he loses his regular driver tonight. I'll use him underneath. (6) BETTORBEFLYIN should be good for a share getting off post 10 tonight.

Race 11: F&M NW $9,000 L5 or $24,500 L10 or NW6 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000

This race looks like it will feature a solid early pace and set up for a closer so I'll side with (1) LYONS TILT HANOVER who should be rolling late. (10) JIMBELINA drops off a good effort and she is capable of producing a good late kick; price look. (2) IVANA FLYBYE N failed twice on the front end. She may look for cover here and she is another possibility in a wide-open finale. (8) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL's good late kick puts her in the picture and she is another price option for the late Pick 4. (7) SHES NUN BETTOR N comes off a solid effort but she could be overbet here; using underneath.

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