Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 1/6

Final 2022 Stats: 691 - 2063/ $3,540.20 (-$585.50)

Best Bets: 106 - 195 / $354.10 (-$35.90)

Spot Plays: 47 - 197 / $313.30 (-$80.70)

Best Bet: NEED TO BREATHE (9TH)

Spot Play: KOUNNIS (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,2,6/3,4,5/3,6,8/6/4,5,6 = $16.20

Late Pick 5: 2,5,6/2,3,7,8/6,7/4/5,7 = $9.60

Early Pick 4: 6/4,5,6/2,5,6/2,3,7,8 = $7.20

Late Pick 4: 6,7/4/5,7/1,2,7 = $2.40

Race 1: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $16,200 L10 or NW $31,000 in 2022 AE: OPT CLM $45,000 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(6) VOLUPTUOUS raced well last week but she was never catching the 1 to 5 class-dropping chalk. She has a big shot here. (1) NIGHTLIFE SEELSTER was decent vs. better and she should be the main danger dropping now. (2) SLY ELEANOR drops and gets the leading driver and she no doubt will be tighter now. She is another in with a chance. (3) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N should close late again to take another slice tonight.

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Race 2: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $20,500 LT

Unbeaten (3) PALLADIUM HANOVER stands out here on paper but he has missed more than a month. I'll give him a slight nod despite the missed time. (4) NIGHT SHADOW disappointed as the chalk but he was first up while the pace accelerated late. I can see him blasting, getting a better trip racing close to the front, and getting up late. (5) WILLIAM HANOVER flashed speed and took a shuffle in an improved performance and the winner has already come back to beat better; price look. (7) JUJU HANOVER comes off a good try and he can take another slice here.

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Race 3: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT

(8) MADDIGAL raced decently vs. better last week in the slop and Drury will likely put her into play early here facing NW2; top call. (3) WINDSUN MOJITO looked good winning at this level and she is the obvious danger. (6) JKS LIFESAVER flew late last week in her first start racing out of a new barn and she is the other one that I'll use in the Pick 5. (1) IM ON THE EDGE never got involved as the big chalk last week. I don't love the rail post for her. I'll use her on the bottom.

Race 4: F&M 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT - Pick 4

(6) TESLA POWER was electric in her debut and she gets the call to repeat facing similar. Debutante (2) ALWAYS B BEST, a $40K Lexington buy, appears to be the main threat here. Tab the tote for clues with this one. (8) KINNDER SPORT is worth a price look for the bottom of the exotics on the barn change. (5) DALI DELITE raced okay in the slop last week and she should be in the exotics mix tonight.

Race 5: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000 or NW2 in 2022

(4) KOUNNIS was unlucky last week when beat by a rival that got a perfect trip and slid up the pylons to edge her at the wire. She is in top form now and she gets top billing here. (5) WARRAWEE XPAT was used hard early in that race which may have been the difference between winning and losing. She should be the one to catch. (6) MACH MY KISS tripped out to beat the top two and drawing best gives her a chance at repeating that trip and result; using. (1) TALKIN AGAIN ships in with decent form and gets a big driver switch to McNair; price look.

Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT - Pick 5

(6) MYSTIC WILD ROSE raced well in defeat despite missing four weeks and she draws best here; top call. (2) ABSOLUTE EUPHORIA was a victim of pace last week and she would be no surprise in this spot; using. (5) KCS STARLITE was right there vs. similar two starts back and she is another in with a shot here. (8) PHENOM SEELSTER jogged vs. maidens but these are tougher. I'll use her underneath.

Race 7: F&M 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 4 or $45,000 LT AE: 4YO and 5YO to be claimed for $50,000

Tough race where you could make a case for most of them. (3) BAD ROSSA likely gets a better setup for her potent late kick and she gets a slight nod. (8) KILEE ROCKS won her first start for new connections racing out of the leading barn and Macdonald sticks. She should be a threat despite facing tougher tonight. (2) BEYOND THE SEA was 2nd to the same sharp rival in two straight starts in this class and she figures to be right there again. (7) COME ROLL WITH ME is razor-sharp and another in with a shot in a race where it makes sense to price shop.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $20,500 LT - Pick 4

(6) MITCH had a decent initial start for Moreau now he draws best and gets J Mac. I doubt he will go off close to his 10 to 1 morning line quote in this field. (7) FLIGHT ONEFORTYSIX is obviously one of the fastest horses In here, the question is whether or not he will get put into the race early enough to have a winning chance. (5) DONT POKE THE BEAR fits better here. He should be in the exotics mix. (4) BUCK N BETTOR will likely sit a good following trip and take a small share in this spot.

Race 9: F&M PREFERRED 2

(4) NEED TO BREATHE tipped her hand with an aggressive try two starts back then followed that up with a dominating win at this level over all five of tonight's rivals. She should be tough to beat here as a big chalk. (6) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN was first up against the choice as the pace accelerated last week and that was never going to work out. She can get a better trip tonight and complete the Exacta. (1) JKS ROLLIN BABY is another that should get a better trip and take a share. (3) AHOY sat the pocket but couldn't go with the choice last week. She figures to take another small slice tonight.

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Race 10: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $8,000 L10 or NW1 in 2022 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(7) JM BETONSIX was aggressively handled vs. better in the slop last week and she drops to a spot where her speed should carry much farther; top call. (5) P L OOOOOOOOOOYAH steps up but she couldn't be any sharper. She is hard to leave out. (6) ASKMYSECRETARY ships west in sharp form and goes for Moreau/Macdonald but these are tougher and she will likely get overbet. I'll use her underneath. (4) MCKELLA figures to be part of the Tri or Super on the class drop.

Race 11: NW $2,000 L3

(1) HOLDIN ACES had a decent start over the track now he gets Roy in the bike in a winnable spot. He gets the nod. (2) HAWAII made a big move that she couldn't sustain as the 6 to 5 chalk on 12/26. Macdonald will likely look to get her an easier trip this time; using. (7) THEE DESPERADO is an obvious contender on the class drop, but his I can't take a short price on him considering his recent form. (4) STONEBRIDGE ZEUS comes off a good effort and he can close for a slice here. (6) GLOIRE DREAM is capable of taking a check in this spot.