Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 1/28

Meet Stats: 45 - 139 / $236.50 (-$31.50)
Best Bets: 6 - 13 / $21.30 (-$4.70)
Spot Plays: 4 - 13 / $35.30 (+$9.30)
Best Bet: CUTTING CLASS (2ND)
Spot Play: POSTMODERNISM (5TH)
Early Pick 5: 2,7,8/2/5/2,5,6,9/8,9 = $4.80
Late Pick 5: 1,7/1,3,6/2,8/4,6,7/3,5,7 = $21.60
Early Pick 4: 2,5,6,9/8,9/1,7/1,3,6 = $48
Late Pick 4: 1,3,6/2,8/4,6,7/3,5,7 = $54
Race 1: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(8) WILDCAT STAR has been off since winning on 1/6 but the filly that she beat that night has already come back to jog twice. She will be tough here if she is sharp enough. (7) SIRI BLUE CHIP showed enough speed last year in a limited campaign to suggest she will contend with this group; using. (2) WINDSUN SHIRAZ was forced to pull extremely wide on the last turn on 1/13 to avoid a breaker that scattered the field, then she finished with some interest. I can see her contending here. (6) SNOAH was in that same race and she also suffered interference, then she went to Flamboro and raced well in the snow. She should be in the exotics mix tonight.
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Race 2: Claiming $17,500 for NW $80,000 LT
(2) CUTTING CLASS was re-claimed by Moreau who won with him two starts back and he should be the controlling speed in this race; top call. (5) CENTURY GIGALO is right there every week and he should be an Exacta factor in this short field. (1) TAHUYA BREW made what appeared to be a threatening move on the final turn last week then he leveled out in the lane. He can close to take a share tonight. (4) CHIK MAGUIRE makes his first start in almost four months so he may need one but he should get a slice vs. these.
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Race 3: F&M NW $9,000 L5 or $18,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $25,000 or NW $45,000 in 2021/22
(5) WESTERN WISH takes a big drop and she should pop as the favorite tonight. (8) LAURAS LOVE is in top form, but starting from out there, she will likely close too late to threaten the choice. (4) BETTER BE DONNA raced tough on the rim last time, but the class-dropping winner stole a slow opening 1/2 and was never going to be caught. She should be in the Tri here. (1) SUNDAY AFTERNOON has improved form and she should be in the exotics mix again racing from close range.
Race 4: SNOWSHOE PACING SERIES 2nd Leg 3YO and 4YO Colts and Geldings - Pick 4
(9) VP ROCKIN lived up to his even money price last week and he should be tough right back if he gets put into the race from his wide post. (5) TAKE A GAMBLE raced big in defeat in a tough conditioned class last week and he should be the main danger here. I'm not sure where (6) STATE SENATOR found that mile from last week, but if he repeats it, he can threaten the choice; using. (2) BETTORBEFLYIN was flying at the choice in the closing strides last week but he sat a perfect covered trip most of the way. I can see him getting over bet here; your call.
Race 5: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $7,500 L10
(9) POSTMODERNISM blasted right to the front from this post last week, then took a shuffle when the lead changed hands a couple of times. She lacked room for part of the stretch and finished willingly. McClure climbs in the bike here and she gets to drop a class level; top call. (8) SPORTY TORI finished just behind the choice now Christoforou takes the reins from the trainer who drove last week. She should be a threat tonight; using. (1) OUTLAW IMAHOTVIXEN gets major post relief here and she can be part of the exotics. (2) SOMEWHERE NORTH will likely sit another following trip and take a slice.
Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW5 or $60,000 LT - Pick 5
(7) BLONDE ONTHE BEACH wasn't beaten far last week after racing first up off a three week break. Expecting her to be tighter for this, she gets the nod. (1) RACING FORTHE MARK looked like a winner until a rival peeled off her cover in midstretch. That was a solid mile and she should be right there again. (2) PAULAS BET HANOVER figures to take another small share racing near the front. (3) PATRICIA MAE got a clear run up the pylons in the lane last week and she took advantage to notch a big upset. She seems like a fringe player vs. these.
Race 7: NW $3,000 L5 or $9,100 L10 - Pick 4
(3) VEYRON was better last week with Macdonald driving and I expect him to be more aggressive in this spot. Slight nod in a tough race. (6) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE had an impossible trip and still was only beaten 3 1/2 lengths. He picks up Henry here which could mean he will get more aggressive; using. (1) CINDY LYNN is the X factor here. She beat better in her first start of the year and has been trounced three times since. Filion sticks with her and she is worth considering for multi-race tickets. (4) I GOT THE LOOKS should be in the exotics mix racing close to the front throughout.
Race 8: SNOWSHOE PACING SERIES 2nd Leg 3YO and 4YO Colts and Geldings
(8) SAULSBROOK VICTOR will likely offer an overlay here in a race where he should get the setup that he craves; call to repeat. There will likely be a stampede to the windows to hammer (2) LINEDRIVE HANOVER, who was visually impressive breaking his maiden in his first start in close to 1 1/2 years. Can he repeat? Sure. Will I take 3 to 5 to find out? Not with him facing much tougher, no. (3) P L OCTAVIUS brings it every week and he should be in the mix again tonight. He is another that could provide some value. (4) HIPPYJOHN will likely deploy stalking tactics tonight and close for a share.
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Race 9: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $18,000
(4) ART OF FIRE and (6) BETTOR NOTBITTER A got embroiled in a destructive speed duel for the entire first 5/8ths of a mile last week and both paid the price. In a smaller field tonight, I can see them racing 1-2 to the lane then deciding it late. (7) ROYAL SHIP is consistent and relentless and he will pick up the pieces if the top two falter late. (3) SPECTRUM SEELSTER should be good for a share racing off the Shepherd claim.
Race 10: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $13,000 L10
(3) CUSTARD LITE brings some good form back from Flamboro and she seems to fit well here; top call. (5) TWIN B TIPSTER raced well at this level last week from a tougher post but she just couldn't get to the winner who enjoyed a soft trip on the lead. She can beat this group if she gets a decent trip again; using. (7) LYONS TILT HANOVER didn't get her trip as the odds-on chalk last week. She could get a better setup tonight and that makes her a contender. (1) JIMBELINA figures to contend on the class drop but I don't love the rail post for her in a spot where she could get overbet; using underneath. (6) SHES A SASSY BEACH is worth using underneath adding Lasix tonight.

