Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 12/6

Top Pick Stats: 617 - 1874 / $3,377.90 (-$370.10)

Best Bets: 88 - 172 / $281.60 (-$62.40)

Spot Plays: 41 - 169 / $352.00 (+$14.00)

Best Bet: MIKKI SIXX (2ND)

Spot Play: R PEAKY BLINDERS (5TH)

Early Pick 5: 1,4,8/4/4,5,6/3,5/1,4,8,9 = $14.40

Middle Pick 5: 5,6/1,4/3,6/1,4,6/7,9 = $9.60

Late Pick 5: 3,6/1,4,6/7,9/1,2,3/4,5 = $14.40

Early Pick 4: 3,5/1,4,8,9/5,6/1,4 = $6.40

Late Pick 4: 1,4,6/7,9/1,2,3/4,5 = $7.20

Race 1: 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 RACE (WINNERS FOR A PURSE OF $9,000 OR LESS 2 RACES) OR $8,500 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES.**Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

$310,000 Lexington buy (1) HOLLYWOOD DEO couldn’t be bred much better and he has one sibling that has raced, a full brother that has earned more than $540K this year at 2 and has taken a mark of 1:50 1/5. I’ll give this colt top billing on debut. (8) BETTERDEALMEIN was okay in his local debut last week and he should improve tonight. He is in with a good shot here. (4) CRAZIN PARTY BOY took care of business in the slop at Flamboro now he gets the leading driver. He is another to consider for the early Pick 5. (9) CONTROLTHEOUTCOME brings good form with him from Flamboro but starting from out there he is likely to take a small share.

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Race 2: NIAGARA: 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES IN 2024, NW $60,000 LIFETIME AS OF OCTOBER 31

(4) MIKKI SIXX knocked off big favorite Resilience last week and she should be tough to beat in this field. (3) MISS DUTTON is an interesting shipper moving into the Gillis barn and adding Lasix for this local debut, but she has missed more than a month. She could be a threat to win the final, but she may be a bit short tonight; using underneath. (5) QUIET ASSURANCES was in some fast races in the Harvest Series, and she can take a share here. (7) SOUTHWIND STRATUS is always around the money. She should be in the bottom of the exotics tonight.

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Race 3: NIAGARA: 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES IN 2024, NW $60,000 LIFETIME AS OF OCTOBER 31

(5) OH A LEGEND is getting on a roll, and she draws great again. A threepeat is likely. (4) DEFININGTHE MOMENT was right there in every leg of the Harvest Series, and she should be the main threat to the choice tonight; using. (6) MOTHER MARY is 11 for 13 lifetime and she ships in off two fast wins at Northfield Park. She will likely be the one to catch here. (2) GRIT N GRACE got a perfect pace trip last week, crawling for the first 3/4 and she couldn’t hold off the choice. I’ll use her underneath here.

Race 4: FILLIES & MARES 2&3 YEAR OLDS NW 2 RACES OR $15,500 (ON SIRED $26,250) LIFETIME - Pick 4

(3) DIRTY DIANA and (5) P L SUZIE will likely battle for the win here. The nod goes to the former who beat a better field than the latter last week. (6) STAG ROYAL draws better tonight which should facilitate her getting better position early in the mile. She can close for a share. (2) SPEED WRITER’s debut wasn’t bad. I can see her landing in the bottom of the exotics tonight.

Race 5: 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 3 (FM 4) RACES OR $50,750 (OS $66,000) LIFETIME. AE: 3 YEAR OLDS OPT. CLM. $60,000. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE.

(1) R PEAKY BLINDERS draws better and adds Lasix tonight and he beat the morning line favorite on 11/15. I’ll take a price swing with him. (8) DREBIN is in great form and the wide post shouldn’t be a problem for him. He is hard to leave out. (4) SATURDAY, 4th to the choice in that 11/15 race, adds Lasix tonight which should explain some things. He can be better here; using. (9) JGS PAL looks for a fourth straight win here and he isn’t out of the question, although I would demand a price starting from out there.

Race 6: FILLIES & MARES, 4 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 1 RACE (WINNERS FOR A PURSE OF $9,000 OR LESS 2 RACES) OR $8,500 LIFETIME. NO ALLOWANCES. - Pick 5

(6) I DREAM OF JEANNIE was good on 11/14 then not so good the following week. I think her best game is racing on the lead or in the pocket and she has a better chance of getting to the front moving off the rail to the best post; top call. (5) CHASIN RAINBOWS was a decent 2nd last time, but that was the eighth time she finished 2nd in 15 starts vs. a lone win. I think you have to try to beat her as the probable chalk in this race. (3) LITTLE MOMENTS can improve enough off her debut to land in the exotics tonight. (1) LIQUOR IS QUICKER has improving form and she should take another share here.

Race 7: CLAIMING $20,000 TO $25,000 FOR NW $30,000 (OS $37,500) LIFETIME. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000

(4) AMBITIOUS MIND was over bet down to favorite last week and he sat in, lacked room briefly in the stretch, then closed willingly on the class dropping winner. He gets top billing here. (1) BRINGITONHOMETOME had a tougher trip and edged the choice for 2nd. He is the one to fear. (7) D A CAPTAINOBVIOUS brings excellent form with him from Ottawa, but he has taken 12 slices vs. three wins this year and he figures to be part of the Tri tonight. (9) ARAGONITE is capable of being part of the exotics if he behaves this time.

Race 8: 5 YEAR OLDS & YOUNGER, NW 2 (FM 3) RACES OR $26,250 LIFETIME - Pick 5

(3) WHEELIN MY BENTLEY went a big trip in defeat last week and drawing better here should mean he can make front quicker and with less effort expended; top call. (6) IDITAROD popped the pocket on the backstretch to move to the front, was overtaken by the choice, took a shuffle then re-rallied to lose a close place photo to the choice. He should be the main threat. Lightly raced (2) PENNTELLER HANOVER is certainly capable of winning here, but I’m not inclined to take a short price with him coming off a layoff after breaking stride in his last pari-mutuel start. (4) STEAMER should close again to land a small share.

Race 9: NIAGARA: 3 YEAR OLD FILLIES IN 2024, NW $60,000 LIFETIME AS OF OCTOBER 31, 2024. NO ALLOWANCES. LEG 1 - Pick 4

(6) WOODMERE DELTA’s comeback race was good, with her finishing quickly and losing a three-across battle. Her price will be good with Macdonald jumping to (1) ALWAYS BE MERRY. The latter will get hammered at the windows on the driver change and she is an obvious contender. The big question is: what price will you accept? (4) KIERA SEELSTER took a new life’s mark in a dominant Harvest Series final, and she is another in with a chance in a competitive field. (5) FOX VALLEY TESSA brings good form from Chicago, but I’m not sure how she fits with these. I’ll use her underneath this week.

Race 10: FILLIES & MARES NW 2 RACES OR $35,000 (OS $54,800) LIFETIME. AE: NW $5,200 LAST 5 STARTS

(9) P L RACHEL shouldn’t have an issue leaving fast from post 9 after winning a series final getting away from the gate fast from the tricky rail post; top call. (7) PERFECT ANGEL drops back to the level that she won at two starts back and she gets Macdonald back in the bike. She should be a big threat if she behaves. (6) EXCITING MIA motored late to win last week, but I think some of these are tougher. I’ll use her underneath. (4) GO HAVE FUN keeps snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. She is hard to like on top at this point.

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Race 11: FILLIES & MARES, NW $15,000 LAST 5 STARTS OR NW $26,500 LAST 10 STARTS

(2) ANGOSTURA HANOVER was given an easy trip from post 10 last time and she closed to get a check. She should be on go tonight starting from a much better post and she gets the nod. (3) YODA QUEEN has a similar profile as the choice, and she should get more aggressive in this spot. She would be no surprise. (1) ALABAMA HANNAH was interestingly chosen by Macdonald over the #3 in here and that makes her worth a look at a price. (5) CAVIAR N CRACKERS will likely deploy a closing style here and come on late to land in the Tri or Super.

Race 12: CLAIMING $20,000 TO $25,000 FOR NW $52,750 (OS $67,250) LIFETIME. ALLOWANCES FOR AGE. ENTER IN MULTIPLES OF $1,000

(4) HESTONATOR was driven aggressively again last week, and he fell just short. He can win here if he can work out a slightly easier trip. (5) HAPPY NEIGHS was game to dead heat for the win holding off the choice and he should be the main threat here. (10) RUSTYS BETT is good at this level, but I’m inclined to try to beat him starting from post 10 tonight. (1) ROCKET FREIGHT rarely misses the top four and he can take a trip and land another share here. (3) VERY BLUE CHIP is another that will likely sit a trip and look to get a slice.