Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 12/4

Meet Stats: 356 – 1149 / $2,022.80 (-$275.20)
Best Bets: 54 – 102 / $175.70 (-$28.30)
Spot Plays: 20 - 105 / $171.60 (-$38.60)
Best Bet: IVANA FLYBYE N (4TH)
Spot Play: SYLPH HANOVER (10TH)
Early Pick 5: 1,5,8/2,5,6/5,7/5/1,10 = $7.20
Late Pick 5: 1,5,7/7,8,9/4,6,7/4,5/8 = $10.80
Early Pick 4: 5/1,10/1,5,7/7,8,9 = $18
Late Pick 4: 4,6,7/4,5/8/2,3,5,8,10 = $30

Race 1: F&M 4YO and Younger NW3 or $26,000 LT **$100,000 Pick 5**

(5) CLASSICA grinded out a first-over win vs. lesser last week and I'll give her a slight nod here leaving from a better post but facing tougher. (1) MS MACHINGBIRD picks up Macdonald here and I can see her tripping out racing near the front; using. (8) POWERED BY MACH, winner of three of her last six, enters the Auciello barn and that makes her worth a look in a race with no standouts. (9) PATRICIA MAE is only 1 for 32 lifetime but she often comes on to get shares and she should take another one here.

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Race 2: 4YO and Younger NW2 (F&M3) or $20,000 (F&M $25,000) LT

(2) CAVALIER GEORGE was used up early in the Harvest Series final in a race that had a lot of movement. He could wire this NW2 group. (5) LEXUS MARKUS was right there every week in that stakes series and he is likely the one to beat here, but he is 1 for 23 and he could be over bet here. (6) GAB IN MOTION made what looked like a winning move last week only to be picked off late. He flashed high speed in the third 1/4 that night and he certainly isn't out of this. (10) ROWLEN delivered a winning effort off the shelf but from the 10-hole here I'll use him underneath.

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Race 3: NW $3,000 L5 or $7,000 L10

(5) GLOIRE DREAM made an uncharacteristic break last week and still managed to take a check. He should make amends tonight if he stays flat this time. (7) ALEXUS EH drops looking to pop and she should be the main danger here. (3) HOLDIN ACES took plenty of action at the windows last week but he was just too far back. I expect him to start quicker here and that would make him a threat. (6) MUSICAL SPELL often hits the ticket at this level at a price and he is worth using on the bottom of the Tri and Super.

Race 4: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or $29,500 LT AE: NW 8 or $95,000 LT - Pick 4

(5) IVANA FLYBYE N was completely buried with pace for the entire stretch run last week and she was under restraint at the wire simply because she had nowhere to go. She should be tough here on the class drop. (3) HELLO LOVE is usually right there when she races at this level and she should be an Exacta factor here. (6) THE BANDIT QUEEN N is hard to leave off Tri tickets being that she is so consistent and right there virtually every week no matter what racing style she deploys. (1) JIMBELINA should get a good trip here and take a small slice.

Race 5: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $56,500 LT

(1) TOWN DELINQUENT paced a big mile uncovered a long way on the rim last week to win and off that impressive outing she gets the nod to repeat. (10) WINGDING HANOVER did most of the heavy lifting but she was no match for the choice late. She should be a major factor again tonight. (2) KAT is always in the mix because she usually leaves for position then stays covered up until she reaches the lane. I'll use her underneath here. (5) RED DIRT STAR goes for Auciello making her first local start and she isn't out of the question in this spot.

Race 6: F&M CLAIMING $15,000 for NW $65,000 LT - Pick 5

(7) ZARCONIA SEELSTER was an easy winner here two starts back in a conditioned claimer then closed for a share in a much tougher claiming handicap last time. She should excel facing easier again. (5) FRESH EYES is another who should benefit by facing easier and she is on my multi-race tickets. (1) SOPHIST gets the rail and Filion back and she should be good for a share racing close up here. (9) VILLAGE ARTIST should be able to pick up a check passing some of these late; consider for the bottom of the Tri and Super.

Race 7: FILLIES AND MARES PREFERRED HANDICAP

(8) LIT DE ROSE has won two of the last three in this top class and I'll give her the nod here over her main rival (9) SO MUCH MORE who is obviously the best mare in this race but comes off a sick scratch and gets assigned the worst post. (7) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP is in top form and if there is going to be an upset, she is likely the one that will knock off the top two choices. (4) MAJOR LEAGUE N should show speed as always and stick around for a share.

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Race 8: NW3 (F&M5) or $45,000 (F&M $56,250) LT - Pick 4

(4) TOCCOA FALLS was motoring late last time and he ran out of racetrack. He gets a much better post draw here and he should be closer early which can make the difference; top call. (6) NORTHERN SULTAN got hot at the right time in the Harvest Series and he should be a big threat again here. (7) MAGICS WIZARD is another who turned it up a notch in the Harvest Series and he is in with a decent chance here in what should be an easier spot. (1) HEAVENSDOR HANOVER is always in the hunt but more likely to take a share than win.

Race 9: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $17,500

(5) WINDSUN AZAR woke up with a big effort last time and he took a new life's mark. If he repeats that mile, his rivals here might be battling for 2nd. (4) LORD AND LEGEND was even money in that race and he tired late. He might look for an easier trip here and if he finds it, he will be tough. (3) LOUS DELIGHT shows several miles that on paper make him a contender vs. these and he is another possibility for the late Pick 4. (10) SOLARCTIC is a good one to use on the bottom of the Tri and Super because he probably will be passing many of these late.

Race 10: F&M NW $8,000 L5 or $21,600 L10 AE: OPT CLAIMING $18,000

(8) SYLPH HANOVER gets her nose back on the gate and she drops to a level where she should be tough; top call. (6) SLY ELEANOR N likely needed her first race back and she could do here in a spot where she should be sharper. (2) LADY ROCKNROLLA A is another class dropper who should show more here and I'll use her on late multi-race tickets. (4) COUSIN MARY can pass many of these and land in the Super despite moving up in class.

Race 11: F&M 5YO and Younger NW5 or $90,000 LT

(3) MAJOR BATTLE gets away from the 9-hole after drawing that post in two straight starts and she should move up with that important change alone and she gets my nod here. (10) MY BABY GIRL can improve here making her second start back and she’s worth a look at a price here. (5) ALLEYESONME AS is good enough to contend if she stays flat. She could be motoring late here. (2) QUESO RELLENO figures to sit another trip and land in the High-5. (8) MARY KAT draws poorly here but she rarely misses the top 5; using underneath.