Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 12/31

Meet Stats: 435 - 1257/ $2,319.40 (-$194.60)
Best Bets: 63 - 113 / $218.30 (-$7.70)
Spot Plays: 30 - 115 / $201.30 (-$28.70)
Best Bet: CUTTING CLASS (4TH)
Spot Play: BETTOR NOTBITTER A (2ND)
Early Pick 5: 2,5,7/4,6/2,4,7,9/3/1,6 = $9.60
Late Pick 5: 1,5/1,2,3,6/1,2,6/1,4/2,6 = $19.20
Early Pick 4: 3/1,6/1,5/1,2,3,6 = $16
Late Pick 4: 1,2,6/1,4/2,6/1,2,3 = $36
Race 1: F&M Claiming $15,000 for NW $65,000 LT **Guaranteed $100,000 Pick 5**
(2) CEASELESS drops back in for a tag and faces much easier. She should have a great shot at controlling this race from the outset; top call. (7) UBETTIMAGOODONE has been on a roll at the 'B' tracks for Mohawk Park's leading trainer and she is worth a look here as she shoots for four straight. (5) COMING YOUR WAY is another that brings good form back from Flamboro and she took her life's mark when beating similar here four starts back when claimed. She can't be easily dismissed. (1) HAPPY LOOKER can likely close for a small share here.
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Race 2: CLM HDCP $12,000 to $18,000
(4) BETTOR NOTBITTER A raced great last week considering he had the 10-hole, raced first up, and had missed three weeks. He couldn't repel a razor-sharp (6) A BOY NAMED SUUZZ but maybe he can turn the tables on him tonight. The latter is too sharp to leave off early Pick 5 tickets. (1) SEA LAIRD is helped by the short field so perhaps he can take a share tonight. (3) JUSTA BANDIT is always in the Super as he should be tonight.
[DRF BETS: Wager on tonight's Mohawk Park card at DRF Bets.com!]
Race 3: 5YO and Younger NW2 (F&M4) or $20,000 (F&M $30,000 LT)
(2) ROSIES WAR BONDS is only 1 for 29, but this is a field she might be able to wire if she stays flat tonight and the price should be right; slight nod. (7) MAGIC WANDA faces much easier here dropping into NW2 and I expect Christoforou to put her into the race early; using. (9) VALI HANOVER has the best recent race, but you have to consider what kind of trip he might get from out there at an underlaid price. (4) SEWIN SUE comes off a decent try at this level and she is another that is in with a chance here.
Race 4: Claiming $17,500 for NW $75,000 LT - Pick 4
(3) CUTTING CLASS is on a big roll at this level and his most recent win was particularly impressive. He will be a multi-race single for me. (7) TAHUYA BREW took advantage of a slowing third 1/4 pace and attacked then won going away. I doubt the same move will work on the choice, but this gelding can be an Exacta factor. (8) THREE TRICK GAINER tried the choice first up last week to no avail. He can take another slice here. (2) CENTURY GIGALO will likely come on late and round out the Tri or Super.
Race 5: F&M NW $3,000 L5 or $6,000 L10
(6) WHISTYS PARADISE is razor-sharp now and she is likely sitting on a win if she gets a good trip; top call. (1) SHOULDABEENATD takes the plunge to the bottom conditioned level and a wakeup is likely coming; using. (5) TAKEYOURBREATHAWAY drops and draws better. She should be an exotics factor tonight. (9) SUNDAY AFTERNOON will likely get a conservative drive this week and I see her landing in the Super.
Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger NW3 or $30,000 - Pick 5
(1) BELINA faced tougher in recent stakes series and she should have a good chance in this easier and shorter field; top call. (5) DOCS DELIGHT is also in easier and she should improve here, likely racing on or near the lead; using. (3) JUST CALL ME SONG, the lone two-year-old in the race, was moving well late last week and she can improve here getting back to a 7-day rotation; using underneath. (6) CHELSIS CHOICE should pass a few of these late and land in the Tri or Super.
Race 7: F&M NW $9,000 L5 or $20,500 L10 or NW5 or $100,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $25,000
(6) ROCKINWITHCUSTARD was relentless in chasing down her stablemate as the pace accelerated last time and off that sharp win, she gets the call to repeat. (3) SWIFT ALLY still hasn't won in two years but she paced a huge mile on the rim last week and deserved a better fate. I'm convinced she will get there soon and it might be tonight; using. (1) MARY KAT will likely be well-positioned again and she isn't out of this. (2) SETTN A PRECEDENT is always in the hunt and she could win this with the right trip.
Race 8: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $16,000 L10 AE: Pop Up Starters - Pick 4
This race looks wide-open and the kind where a horse gets a major boost from a driver change to leading teamster Macdonald. I'll give (6) BIG MYRTLE a slight nod using that angle. (2) GREYSTONE NATALI O can get a good trip racing on or near the front tonight and I'll use her in late multi-race tickets. (1) JIMBELINA is in a better spot here and from a much-improved post, she is in with a chance. (3) TUGGINONCREDIT should be good for another small share here.
Race 9: F&M 5YO and Younger NW4 or $50,000 LT AE: 3YO NW $80,000 in 2021
(4) BLONDE ONTHE BEACH wasn't adversely affected by a slow early pace last week. She powered home on the rim to take a nice win and she gets the call to repeat here. (1) MYSTIFYING faces easier making her third start for Auciello since shipping west, and she should be a threat here; using. (3) MY ONLY SUNSHINE is another that fits better here. She should be in the exotics mix. (5) BOTTOMOFTHENINTH should close late to land in the Tri or Super.
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Race 10: F&M NW $30,500 L5 AE: NW 7 or $175,000 LT AE: OPT CLM $60,000
(2) TRAFALGAR gets McNair back and she draws much better. I see her bouncing back in this spot; top call. (6) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP fits well vs. these and she should be sent forward leaving the gate. She should be the main danger. (3) SNOW SHARK comes off a sharp win, but she isn't one that has been known for stringing victories together. I'll use her underneath tonight. (4) MAJESTIC VIRGIN should be in the Tri or Super again vs. these.
Race 11: NW $6,000 L5 or $13,500 L10
Most of (3) SOMBRE's wins have come on the class drop and I'll side with him to upset likely heavy favorite (2) TEDDYS LITTLEANGEL here. The latter makes a massive class drop, but she has missed more than a month's action. What price will you accept considering that layoff? (1) TIMESTORM is another class dropper that has upset potential in a spot where he could get a nice trip racing near the front. (5) FLY BEYOND can work his way into the exotics starting from a better post tonight. (7) MEADOWBRANCH NOBLE is worth a look for the High-5 on the barn change tonight.

