Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 12/30

Meet Stats: 657 - 1977 / $3,290.40 (-$679.80)

Best Bets: 102 - 187 / $341.00 (-$33.00)

Spot Plays: 47 - 189 / $313.30 (-$64.70)

Best Bet: SNOW SHARK (3RD)

Spot Play: NIGHT SHADOW (8TH)

Early Pick 5: 7/2,3,4,5/6/3,6,8/3,4,9 = $7.20

Late Pick 5: 1,2/1,2,5/2/1,3,5/3,4,10 = $10.80

Early Pick 4: 3,6,8/3,4,9/1,2/1,2,5 = $10.80

Late Pick 4: 1,2,5/2/1,3,5/3,4,10 = $5.40

Race 1: 2YO Fillies NW1 or $10,000 LT **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**

(7) ABSOLUTE EUPHORIA was bet heavily in her debut considering his mediocre qualifier leading to that initial start and he exploded with a big wide move to win going away. She should be tough here as one of only two winners in this race. (4) MIKIS PRINCESS showed speed at Flamboro before he broke; price look. (3) ALLSTAR FINEST is the other winner in this race and he should be in the exotics mix racing close to the front throughout. (5) ROCKADELLA's debut was decent enough at Flamboro Downs to suggest he can take another share here.

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Race 2: F&M NW $3.000 L5 or $8,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $20,000

(3) MACH MY KISS' effort two starts back wins this race if she can reproduce it; top call. (2) WILDCAT DELIGHT ships in from Flamboro in sharp form and she seems to fit well here; using. (5) ROCKINWITHCUSTARD comes out of a fast race but she missed some time. She is capable but the time off is a concern. (4) KOUNNIS is better than she showed last week. She can improve enough in this second start back to land a share.

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Race 3: F&M NW $6,000 L5 or $14,500 L10 or NW $31,000 in 2022 AE: OPT CLM $45,000

(6) SNOW SHARK took her lifetime mark of 1:50 flat last time she raced this low in September when she dead heated with Got Sexy Scars. Her class stands out here and she should be tough to beat. (4) DARKRSHADEOFPALE N draws better and gets Macdonald. She is almost sure to improve but I wonder if she will get overbet. (3) CASIMIR SWAMP GIRL makes her own luck by getting in position to get good trips and she can be an exotics factor vs. these. (7) BORN A DRAGON comes off a decent effort in a good field and she can take another slice here.

Race 4: F&M 5YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT - Pick 4

(6) IM ON THE EDGE gets away from a sharp rival that beat her twice at Flamboro now she draws best and gets the leading driver. She should have a big shot vs. these. (3) MYSTIC WILD ROSE broke through for a nice maiden win but that came four weeks ago now. She fits well here on paper but I'd demand a price considering that absence. (8) WINSUN MOJITO qualified well with Filion in the bike and she is another in with a shot here. (5) FIERY SHADOW is capable of better than she showed last week and Young will likely put her into play tonight; using underneath.

Race 5: F&M 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT

(9) J M SPEAK EASY was out too long last time which left her ripe for the picking and she was passed by a debutant that took more support than you'd expect based on her qualifying lines. She can beat these if Roy is more decisive leaving the gate. (4) PHENOM SEELSTER showed sharp improvement last week in Ottawa and she fits okay here. She can be a threat. (3) GETITGETITGOTIT had a long trip and still took a share. She isn’t impossible in this spot. (8) RIBBON RIDGE figures to rally for a small share in this spot.

Race 6: F&M 5YO and Younger winners of 2 but not more than 4 or $45,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000 - Pick 5

(1) JM BETONSIX was used hard early last time racing over a track rated two seconds slow and she gets a better post now; top call. (2) COME ROLL WITH ME flew late to edge the choice for third and she should be closer early tonight. She should be a big threat tonight. (7) BABY BONITA looked good taking the Niagara series final here on Monday afternoon and Macdonald sticks. She isn’t out of this. (3) EMMY LOU HAYES should be good for a small share in this spot.

Race 7: F&M NW $12,000 L5 or NW $25,000 L10 or starters for a purse of $15K or less L4 AE: OPT CLM $60,000 - Pick 4

(1) LOCK BRIDGE has been good in two starts for Moreau and while she will likely need to be faster facing tougher tonight, she should be up to it. (5) SLY ELEANOR N is no stranger to Mohawk Park, having taken 12 of her 27 wins at this track. She goes for the leading trainer and Filion takes the lines. She would be no surprise here. (2) TWIN B SUNKISSED is sharp and dangerous and another that is worth using on multi-race tickets. (8) BETTER B DONNA dropped and popped now she steps back up. I see her taking a small share here.

Race 8: 5YO and Younger NW2 or $20,000 LT

(2) NIGHT SHADOW was starting to make a move from the back when he hooked wheels with a rival. He should handle these. (1) DON’T POKE THE BEAR finally broke his maiden, aided by a surging rival breaking in mid stretch but this isn't the toughest NW2 field and he can be an Exacta factor. (3) HASHTAG MONEY was 2nd to a well-meant winner two starts back and that teamster returns tonight. He is in the exotics mix. (4) JUJU HANOVER should be better in this spot; using on the bottom.

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Race 9: FILLIES and MARES PREFERRED 2

(3) NEED TO BREATHE was very aggressive last time and she looked a winner until the 1/16th pole when she started to tire from her early efforts. She could trip out and win at a price here. (5) VOELZ DELIGHT got the leading driver and broke her losing streak right away. She is a threat right back. (1) JKS ROLLIN BABY raced well in defeat but the rival that rode her cover was too strong late in the mile. She’s not out of this. (8) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN raced first up and just missed but she draws widest now and I'll use her on the bottom.

Race 10: NW $2,000 L3 or starters for a purse of $6K or less L3

Tough race to end the multis. (10) HP RUNNING MASS can improve sharply dropping to the bottom condition level and getting McClure in the bike tonight and the wide post helps his price. (3) HEAVENSDOR HANOVER suffered an equipment break in midstretch on Monday when he was probably going to win. He is a contender here. (4) MUAY HANOVER stickhandled through some traffic to win that race for Drury who had a big day and he gets J Mac now. He is another in with a chance. (9) STONEBRIDGE ZEUS comes off a good effort in London. He is worth using underneath. (1) DARKANGELDESBOIS should contend for a share dropping from the top class at Flamboro.