Woodbine Mohawk Park: Analysis for Friday 12/2

Meet Stats: 639 - 1935 / $3,206.10 (-$663.90)
Best Bets: 99 - 183 / $332.80 (-$31.20)
Spot Plays: 44 - 184 / $300.70 (-$67.30)
Best Bet: DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN (9TH)
Spot Play: KARMA SEELSTER (5TH)
Early Pick 5: 3,5,7/7,8/1,3,7/1,6,8/5 = $10.80
Late Pick 5: 5,6,7/5,8,9/1,4,6/4/1 = $5.40
Early Pick 4: 1,6,8/5/5,6,7/5,8,9 = $27
Late Pick 4: 5,8,9/1,4,6/4/1 = $9
Race 1: NW $2,600 L3 AE: Starters for a purse of $7,500 or less L3 **Gtd. $100,000 Pick 5**
(3) CHARMBO PRINCE had no shot of contending in a 1:52 4/5 mile last week and he gets to face much easier now. This is the spot where he should wake up. (5) MYSTIC was used hard early and stayed for 2nd against similar last week. He should contend here. (7) ROSE RUN XCENTRIC is another facing easier that could be much better tonight. He’s the third one that I'll use in the Pick 5. (4) SO NOT COOL should close for another small share here.
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Race 2: F&M 5YO and Younger NW1 or $7,000 LT
(7) MISS MAYCEE moves in two post positions and gets a driver change to Henry and I'll take a stab with her in this second start in a field with no standouts. (8) MYSTIC WILD ROSE is going to break her maiden soon you’d think, but she has failed to do so at odds-on in three straight starts, so I wouldn't take a short price. (4) RIBBON RIDGE was decent with Macdonald in the bike for the first time last week and she should be good for another share here. 0 for 71 (5) PERFECT MIA can close for a small share in this spot.
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Race 3: F&M NW $7,550 L5 or $12,000 L10 AE: OPT CLM $45,000
(7) CHIEFS DREAM GIRL made a big move that was difficult to sustain last week, considering trip and pace. I think she gets more aggressive in this spot; top call. (1) MCKELLA rallied to shade the choice at the wire and her improving form makes her a contender. (3) WESTERN WISH is capable of better than she has been showing recently and maybe the driver switch to Roy will wake her up tonight; using. (5) CARSONS GOUDA steps up but she is sharp and can close for another share here.
Race 4: F&M NW2 but not more than 5 or $45,000 LT AE: 3YO and 4YO to be claimed for $50,000 - Pick 4
(8) EMMY LOU HAYES likely needed last week's race after missing 5 1/2 months and I'll stick with her here expecting a good price. (6) GIRL SCOUT COOKIE keeps getting good trips and winning and that streak could continue here with her drawing the best post. (1) BEYOND THE SEA rebounded with a good effort and a nice closing kick last week and she is worth a look for early multi-race tickets. (3) J ONE TWENTY arrives from London with a lengthy winning streak but she hasn't been beating much and she will probably get over bet here with the leading driver taking the lines. I'll use her on the bottom.
Race 5: F&M NW $13,500 L5 or $22,000 L10 AE: Starters for a purse of $15K or less L4 AE: OPT CLM $60,000
(5) KARMA SEELSTER paced a 54 1/5 middle 1/2 last week which doomed her late but should have her nicely tightened up for a big mile in this third start back; top call. (4) TWIN B BETTY is on a roll and she will likely have to be caught, but she will need a faster final 1/4 to hold off the choice here. (1) SETTN A PRECEDENT should be able to close some ground late in here and land in the exotics. (8) PARISIAN BLUE CHIP is another that can pass a few of these late in the mile and take a small slice.
Race 6: NW $2,600 L3 AE: Starters for a purse of $7,500 or less L3 - Pick 5
(7) L DEES PATRICK flashed speed and tired late racing over a good track on 11/11 then missed a couple of weeks. I can see him carrying his speed further in this spot and he gets the nod. (6) THEE DESPERADO is in easier and he should get an aggressive McNair steer tonight; using. (5) MAPLE LEAF BOUND is another that is in easier tonight that could wake up in this spot. He is another possibility for multi-race tickets. (4) SPUN FROM MAGIC frequently finishes on the edges. He is a good one to use on the bottom here.
Race 7: Popup Final F&M NW $35,000 in 2022 - Pick 4
(9) BAD ROSSA has looked great in the first two legs of this series and she gets top billing despite drawing widest. (5) CASIMIR SWAMP GIRL showed her class last week and she was never in danger of getting beat. I could see these two battling to the wire tonight. I thought (8) TWIN B SUNKISSED raced well in defeat last week and she could sneak past the top two choices if they engage in an early battle; using. (4) MADDIGAL can pass a few of these late and land in the bottom of the exotics.
Race 8: F&M NW $3,550 L5 or $10,550 L10 AE: OPT CLM $10,000
(6) PEGGY J ships west from Ottawa and moves into the Barrington barn in a spot where she should contend immediately; top call. (1) TRAFALGAR raced decently on the class drop and she stacks up well vs. these. She would be no surprise in this spot. (4) ROCKINWITHCUSTARD showed a decent closing burst last week and she is in with a shot tonight. (3) MACH MY KISS likely takes another small share this week.
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Race 9: FILLIES AND MARES PREFERRED 2
(4) DABARNDAWGSWATCHIN gets away from So Much More again and she should be mighty tough here coming off a sharp first-over win. (5) VOELZ DELIGHT missed a week but she too gets in easier. She should be the main danger. (2) INTOTHEMYSTICMOON has been good for several weeks and she can land in the Tri here again. (1) NEED TO BREATHE is another sharp mare that should be in the exotics mix tonight.
Race 10: 4YO and Younger NW2 or $15,000 LT
(1) BARRETT HANOVER has looked like a monster beating maidens and a threepeat looms here against NW2 rivals. (7) BRING YOUR FIRE followed up a Popup final upset win with a strong showing and he can be an Exacta factor, here, too. (10) ABC ships in and is fast enough to contend but I'll use him underneath starting from the widest post. (5) MOONWATCHER, first up in a fast back 1/2 last time, can sit and rally for a share here. (2) E L GLADIATOR fits better here and he can take a small share.

